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| Home Front: Politix |
| Poll: Trump Takes Lead over Biden |
| 2020-08-03 |
| [Breitbart] A new poll released this weekend shows President Donald Trump, the incumbent GOP president, has taken a national and battleground states lead over his Democrat challenger presumptive nominee former Vice President Joe Biden. The survey, from the Democracy Institute commissioned by the Sunday Express newspaper, shows Trump leading Biden 48 percent to 46 percent. What's more, Trump has opened up a bigger lead according to this poll in the crucial battleground states, meaning the president by this pollster's estimates currently is projected to win 309 electoral votes‐more than he did in 2016. Overall, this poll has Trump nationally at 48 percent to Biden's 46 percent with six percent undecided. Among white voters, Trump leads 53 percent to 46 percent. Trump is surprisingly strong with black voters at 20 percent in this poll‐he got about eight percent of the black vote in 2016‐while this survey has Biden at 77 percent. Hispanic voters in this poll break for Biden 51 percent to 38 percent, which would also represent an increase for the president over his 2016 performance with Hispanics. "Crucially, President Trump has a lead of 48 percent to 43 percent in the swing states Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin which would put him back in the White House with an electoral college tally of 309 to Biden's 229," David Maddox, the political editor for the Sunday Express, wrote about his newspaper's survey. The poll has Trump leading in Florida 47 to 45 percent, leading in Minnesota 46 percent to 45 percent, and in New Hampshire 46 percent to 43 percent. "The polling suggests Mr Trump is emerging as the race leader because of a belief he is best in handling the economy," Maddox wrote. "With a third of voters putting the economy as the top election issue and 66 percent thinking that the economy is bouncing back after coronavirus, voters believe that Trump is better for the economy by 57 percent to 43 percent." When it comes to the electoral college, this pollster argues that Trump will pick up Minnesota and New Hampshire but that Biden would pick up Wisconsin. Democracy Institute Director Patrick Basham is quoted as saying the survey data seems to demonstrate that Biden's campaign may have "reached its high water mark." |
| Posted by:Alistaire Oppressor of the Welsh6649 |
| #22 I suspect current polls matter less than ballot fiddling will. |
| Posted by: James 2020-08-03 23:21 |
| #21 Weird thing for me is I watch YouTube a lot lately and I get Biden and Trump ads in equal measure. It seems as if they aren't targeted at all. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2020-08-03 19:15 |
| #20 Trump has probably been leading in the polls all along. The pollsters are not trustworthy. |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2020-08-03 19:00 |
| #19 I saw two Biden for Prez ads this afternoon on HGTV. Other than climate change, his platform is very much like Trump's - less China, more American jobs, more American productss, more small business. I didn't catch anything about law and order, however. |
| Posted by: Bobby 2020-08-03 17:08 |
| #18 You noticeable became scared and thought I was a "jihadi" at the time. I wish to apologize for that. Ospas Dhahran 49, forgiveness gladly given. I’m sorry I misunderstood you then, and I’m very glad you came back. Congratulations on your retirement! May it be all you hoped for and more, though if you are like Mr. Wife and several others around here, you'll find yourself working about as hard on projects of your own choosing as you did when you were in the payroll, despite plans to sleep until noon and grow a beer belly (or to finally take the time to recover the body of your youth). ;-) |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2020-08-03 16:52 |
| #17 @ "trailing wife" I made a comment while in Dhahran about 15 years ago to you on this website. You noticeable became scared and thought I was a "jihadi" at the time. I wish to apologize for that.....but....the internet being what it is, and the fact that we can't see who is infront of us talking..... it does change the human conversation dynamic. We are all learning to adjust when someone comments and isn't physically in-front of us at the time we talk. I don't know who you are "trailing wife' but I have good idea. You probably now have a good idea too of who I am from my recent comments......long winded.... so be it. Just wanted you to know that I'm sorry about scaring you. Didn't mean to do that. Took years to make my apology.... but I had to safely retire before posting this. Chow..... |
| Posted by: Ospas Dhahran 49 2020-08-03 14:58 |
| #16 We're all human. We all make mistakes, both spelling and otherwise. But I like to think that we don't all stumble over our words like Joe does. I'm not sure if it's dementia, brain farts or what. But he does appear to have a problem. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2020-08-03 14:25 |
| #15 Holly cow Batman.... I made a mistake trying to correct my mistake..... |
| Posted by: Ospas Dhahran 49 2020-08-03 13:50 |
| #14 Please forgive me for my spelling misakes. I'm human. Are you ? |
| Posted by: Ospas Dhahran 49 2020-08-03 13:49 |
| #13 Information is coming at your six ways from Sunday. It will always be this way. Forever into the future. It is not something one can control or organize into a nice sequential process. "Mom, can you please help me?" Those days are gone. "Did I say gone ? Yes I did ! " Nature being what it is..... I recommend we all decide for yourselves. The USA is devolving into a disorderly construct. The past 5 decades were comforting ( half century for this ewho cann't pay attention. 50 years is a sufficiently long enough time to decern a "trend". Take it for what it was. The time to grow a backbone and decide what is real and what is not is here. Tradecraft has long taught me that one has to stand on one's own two feet. Not parental advice, but one's self. Take what comes along and make your own decision. You cannot, repeat.... cannot ask that other people take responsibility for your own choices. The time for choosing is now...... I have made mine. You make yours. See you on the battle field. Either your are in front of me or..... beside each other. Your choice. Time to be self actualized. Google it if you don't comprehend. I've stopped long ago trying to accommodate idiots. May they remain on the battle field... Antiedam or Gettiysburg . Literally hundreds of mu ancestors were there. I can list them by name. Can you? The 2nd 1865 is coming. How it will unfold is not relevant... but is will shortly unfold in your life time..... That is all that is important and frightening. I never wanted it to be, but its beyond my control. That I can tell. Decide for yourself what you will choose to do. Choice is everything. |
| Posted by: Ospas Dhahran 49 2020-08-03 13:45 |
| #12 Gosh, Ospas, I would have thought any surgery he had was the plugs but it appears that you are correct. Well, it appears sometimes that he has difficulty expressing himself sometimes.. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2020-08-03 13:41 |
| #11 I don't believe we've seen enough of old Joe to accurately judge his real state. But the longer he stays in his basement the more people will wonder and rightfully so. He'll either have to come out swinging at some point or let somebody else have a go. Problem is, if they replace him with anybody but Bernie, they're gonna lose the Bernie vote. But then, if they nominate Bernie, the lose anyway. Maybe they have become increasingly loud and shrill because they know they have no good options. Maybe they'll try another impeachment. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2020-08-03 13:22 |
| #10 This is NOT a logical process.... but simply a media process. Decide for yourself if this is what it is or should be. |
| Posted by: Ospas Dhahran 49 2020-08-03 13:20 |
| #9 According to the internet... Biden had two brain surgeries back in 1988. Decide for yourself if he should be a viable candidate for President of the USA. |
| Posted by: Ospas Dhahran 49 2020-08-03 13:18 |
| #8 No way I believe a non-candidate like Biden would beat Trump. The assumption in some quarters that it’s actually Joe’s VP versus Trump, not that that improves the odds. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2020-08-03 12:34 |
| #7 #5 - Mansplaining from Big Mike just won't do it |
| Posted by: Frank G 2020-08-03 11:39 |
| #6 Polls, the ultimate fake news. |
| Posted by: Procopius2k 2020-08-03 10:44 |
| #5 I expect Michelle Obama with a "Make America Hope Again" slogan or some shallow marketing thing like that to appeal to blacks and liberals. I also think she would have to dodge debates as she has no real experience in anything beyond watching her husband (how'd that work out for Hillary?) |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2020-08-03 10:02 |
| #4 Not picking Bernie could cause ... problems. Picking anyone will cause problems. |
| Posted by: magpie 2020-08-03 09:35 |
| #3 Dems invented the Torricelli maneuver. They can be expected to repeat it. Of course, "Borking" only worked against Bork, so we can always hope for a massive FAIL again. |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2020-08-03 09:21 |
| #2 We just have to wait and see who the Demos actually put up as a nominee. Joe is obviously on the way out so????? Lizzie, Bernie, Kammie, Andy or some total dark horse? I can see this getting really ugly depending on them trying to replace their demented old jack-ass. |
| Posted by: AlanC 2020-08-03 08:34 |
| #1 No way I believe a non-candidate like Biden would beat Trump. If a young, Bill Clinton like candidate was running I would say Trump was in serious trouble, but not no-show Groper. |
| Posted by: DarthVader 2020-08-03 08:29 |