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Europe
Looks Like Sweden Was Right After All
2020-07-13
Long. A taste:
[UNZ] Why is the media so fixated on Sweden’s coronavirus policy? What difference does it make?

Sweden settled on a policy that they thought was both sustainable and would save as many lives as possible. They weren’t trying to ‘show anyone up’ or ‘prove how smart they were’. They simply took a more traditionalist approach that avoided a full-scale lockdown. That’s all.

But that’s the problem, isn’t it? And that’s why Sweden has been so harshly criticized in the media, because they refused to do what everyone else was doing. They refused to adopt a policy that elites now universally support, a policy that scares people into cowering submission. The Swedish model is a threat to that approach because it allows people to maintain their personal freedom even in the midst of a global pandemic. Ruling class elites don’t want that, that is not in their interests. What they want is for the people to meekly accept the rules and conditions that lead to their eventual enslavement. That’s the real objective, complete social control, saving lives has nothing to do with it. Sweden opposed that approach which is why Sweden has to be destroyed. It’s that simple.

Of course, none of this has anything to do with Sweden’s fatality rate, which is higher than some and lower than others. (Sweden has 543 deaths per million, which means roughly 1 death in every 2,000 people.) But like every other country, the vast majority of Swedish fatalities are among people 70 years and older with underlying health conditions. (“90% of the country’s deaths have been among those over 70.”) Sweden was not successful in protecting the people in its elderly care facilities, so large numbers of them were wiped out following the outbreak. Sweden failed in that regard and they’ve admitted they failed. Even so, the failures of implementation do not imply that the policy is wrong. Quite the contrary. Sweden settled on a sustainable policy, that keeps the economy running, preserves an atmosphere of normality, and exposes its young, low-risk people to the infection, thus, moving the population closer to the ultimate goal of “herd immunity”.

Presently, Sweden is very close to reaching herd immunity which is a condition in which the majority have developed antibodies that will help to fend-off similar sars-covid infections in the future. Absent a vaccine, herd immunity is the best that can be hoped for. It ensures that future outbreaks will be less disruptive and less lethal. Take a look at this excerpt from an article at the Off-Guardian which helps to explain what’s really going on:

“Sweden’s health minister understood that the only chance to beat COVID-19 was to get the Swedish population to a Herd Immunity Threshold against COVID-19, and that’s exactly what they have done…

The Herd Immunity Threshold (“HIT”) for COVID-19 is between 10-20%

This fact gets less press than any other. Most people understand the basic concept of herd immunity and the math behind it. In the early days, some public health officials speculated that COVID-19’s HIT was 70%. Obviously, the difference between a HIT of 70% and a HIT of 10-20% is dramatic, and the lower the HIT, the quicker a virus will burn out as it loses the ability to infect more people, which is exactly what COVID-19 is doing everywhere, including the U.S, which is why the death curve above looks the way it looks.

Scientists from Oxford, Virginia Tech, and the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, all recently explained the HIT of COVID-19 in this paper:

We searched the literature for estimates of individual variation in propensity to acquire or transmit COVID-19 or other infectious diseases and overlaid the findings as vertical lines in Figure 3. Most CV estimates are comprised between 2 and 4, a range where naturally acquired immunity to SARS-CoV-2 may place populations over the herd immunity threshold once as few as 10-20% of its individuals are immune….

Naturally acquired herd immunity to COVID-19 combined with earnest protection of the vulnerable elderly – especially nursing home and assisted living facility residents — is an eminently reasonable and practical alternative to the dubious panacea of mass compulsory vaccination against the virus.

This strategy was successfully implemented in Malmo, Sweden, which had few COVID-19 deaths by assiduously protecting its elder care homes, while “schools remained open, residents carried on drinking in bars and cafes, and the doors of hairdressers and gyms were open throughout.
Posted by:Bright Pebbles

#13  Based on this, g(r)om: "#6 Not every post - just the ones that are blatant & dishonest propaganda." It was a joke...Twitter, FB, YouTube, etc., deleting videos/posts from scientists/doctors if they don't toe the leftist/establishment line.
Posted by: Clem   2020-07-13 21:17  

#12  It means people aren't buying your disaster pr0n, G. The more you flog your Molly the less anybody buys it.
Posted by: Frank G   2020-07-13 19:57  

#11  ^???
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-07-13 19:15  

#10  g(r)om, I didn't know you moonlighted at Twitter and YouTube as "editor". (j/k)
Posted by: Clem   2020-07-13 19:14  

#9  #7 Of course I think and feel subjectively and make mistakes. But, in this particular area I've been trained to think objectively. I'm not for lock-downs, masks, and HCQ because it satisfies my emotional needs. I'm because all my training & experience as mathematical biologist show that herd immunity is dangerous fantasy. And therefore, I'm for lock-downs, masks, and HCQ - and any other thing that'll work - because it's the only way until there is a vaccine.

Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-07-13 18:57  

#8  More specifically, any post that (due to the poster's ideological orientation/personal preferences) which presents a distorted picture (usually underestimating by orders of magnitude) of the requirements for herd immunity. cf.
Dowdy, D., & D’Souza, G. (2020). Early herd immunity against COVID-19: A dangerous misconception. Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Research Center.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-07-13 18:35  

#7  ie: the ones you disagree with
Posted by: Frank G   2020-07-13 18:24  

#6  Not every post - just the ones that are blatant & dishonest propaganda.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-07-13 18:09  

#5  g(r)omgoru, why do you take every Covid posts so personally?
Posted by: rjschwarz   2020-07-13 17:46  

#4  Oh there's no doubt about that.
Posted by: swksvolFF   2020-07-13 12:39  

#3  Exactly, Frank. You people can keep pretending that your position is not fantasy. But the Gods of the Copybook Headings are here.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-07-13 12:07  

#2  You can bleat that all you want, doesn't make it right, Eeyore
Posted by: Frank G   2020-07-13 11:51  

#1  Anybody who still believes in herd immunity needs psychiatric treatment - middle ages style.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-07-13 11:26  

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