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| Science & Technology |
| Experts warn that coronavirus tests have high rate of false-negatives |
| 2020-04-06 |
| Several Israeli ministers have promised the shutdown will be gradually lifted, and the economy gradually restarted, after the Passover holiday break, provided that mass testing of the population gives mostly negative results. However, new research has shown that the tests may not be reliable. Israel’s 46th "coronavirus fatality," Rabbi Benzion Kuperstock, a seemingly healthy 63-year-old man, tested negative for coronavirus just four days before he collapsed and died at home. He was re-tested for the virus after his death. Reports from across the world are emerging that suggest that the tests people are placing so much stock in are not nearly as reliable as we would like to believe. Every test has false-negatives and false positives. Probability theory tells us that, when most of the population is healthy, most people tested positive are actually false positive: cf https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/probability-false-negatives-positives.html |
| Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
| #2 Is anyone else getting tired of "experts" and their pronouncements? |
| Posted by: AlanC 2020-04-06 07:23 |
| #1 and the corollary is that when most people are infected most people tested are false negatives... |
| Posted by: Bright Pebbles 2020-04-06 04:30 |