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| Coronavirus by the numbers |
| 2020-03-13 |
| [American Thinker] - I have always been fascinated by numbers, so looking at data on the coronavirus spread and its lethality is revealing and also raises lots of questions I cannot answer, since I am not a virologist, nor am I on top of what each country is doing to contain the spread of the virus. There are several good sources of information on the numbers if this interests you. A 17-year-old prodigy from Seattle has created an excellent database [https://ncov2019.live/data], which updates every minute. Here is an article on the young software designer. Johns Hopkins University, recipient of the largest gift ever made by one person to a university (Michael Bloomberg's gift of $1.8 billion), also has good data. The country-by-country information, especially when examined over time, suggests that there are some disparities. First: the incidence rate ‐ that is, the number of cases compared to a country's population. This virus began in China and grew rapidly there, particularly in one area of the country, but case volume now has leveled off with very small growth in the caseload, and well over half recovered. This is encouraging, or should be; it suggests that containment is possible. |
| Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
| #11 European Conservative Whew! Didn't want it on my conscience that I may've helped deprive folks of info and entertainment during what stand to be dark days for the Burger demo. Boxers and Lederhosen, betcha. |
| Posted by: Albert Untervehr4295 2020-03-13 23:22 |
| #10 Boxers or briefs? Depends. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2020-03-13 23:01 |
| #9 depends rather... |
| Posted by: European Conservative 2020-03-13 22:54 |
| #8 Yesterday, Germany's Angela Merkel predicted that 60‐70% of that country's population of roughly 85 million would come down with the virus. Really? Based on what? One in 17,000 in China but 7 in 10 in Germany? Merkel has a doctor in physics. And she understands exponential growth. The numbers are based on the assumption that the virus can't be stopped by social distancing and is calculated over 2 years. All the measures taken now are meant to flatten the exponential rise in order not to overwhelm the hospitals. This of course also brings down the death rate. China may have brought down the numbers with its rigid measures, but they will rise again because people will need to work. Herd immunity will ultimately defeat the virus. Nobody can tell what the real death rate of the virus is because it defends on many factors. Germany currently has one of the lowest death rates. We have about 25,000 beds to treat the most severe cases with patients needing ventilation. |
| Posted by: European Conservative 2020-03-13 22:53 |
| #7 And re #4, Confucius say, "Communist magic trick Make sick disappear if impolitic, So counting this fodder Both softer, and harder, Than usual Chinese arithmetic." |
| Posted by: Albert Untervehr4295 2020-03-13 22:37 |
| #6 Excerpt from secret report to Chairman Pooh from General Hu: "An American submarine force Has steered too aggressive a course, Infecting our coast Like a galloping ghost. Thus, the virus is traced to its source!" |
| Posted by: Albert Untervehr4295 2020-03-13 22:33 |
| #5 Leme see....Naval Base Kitsap is a U.S. Navy base located on the Kitsap Peninsula in Washington state. Virus surfaces early in Washington State, not Missouri, Wisconsin, or Kansas. Interesting, or coincidental? You decide. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2020-03-13 21:35 |
| #4 Chinese numbers are a work of fiction. Throw them out and start over. |
| Posted by: Enver Johnson9172 2020-03-13 21:29 |
| #3 Oh, they're all back now. 15,000 in Italy, South Korea looks like it's leveling off. |
| Posted by: Bobby 2020-03-13 12:38 |
| #2 At the Johns Hopkins SITE, Iran, Iraq, Italy, and South Korea have disappeared. From the data. Maybe updating, but haven't seen that before. |
| Posted by: Bobby 2020-03-13 10:21 |
| #1 CV by the numbers: 40 US deaths so far. 23 are linked to one ground zero event at Life Care Center of Kirkland, WA. Nov/Dec '19 flu stats: 23K hospitalizations and ~2K deaths. The difference is media. Before someone counters and says this virus is more deadly more contagious. Who is doing the counting, who is paying the counters, and who is reporting the counts. Tells you most you need to know. Will end: What did Mark Twain famously say about the three types of lies -- "lies, damned lies, and statistics." |
| Posted by: mossomo 2020-03-13 09:33 |