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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Coronavirus global crisis
2020-03-06

  • [Daily Mail, where America gets its news] WHO chief said many countries were not committed enough to deal with virus
  • Comes as nearly 100,000 have been infected globally, including 3,305 deaths
  • Meanwhile EU said it may need to draft in medical students and retired medics
  • COVID-19 is forcing closures and cancellation of many events around the world

Top US health official: Coronavirus mortality rate 1 percent or less
[IsraelTimes] A top US health official says the overall mortality rate for the novel coronavirus was estimated at one percent or less, lower than previously thought, basing the new figure on a high number of unreported cases.

It came after US President Donald Trump was criticized for saying he believed the World Health Organization’s reported death rate of 3.4 percent to be “false,” based on a “hunch.”

Trump was invoking the fact that the WHO figure is based on reported cases only, and as such the true lethality of the disease may only be understood better over time — a point on which health experts agree.

“The best estimates now of the overall mortality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere between 0.1 percent and one percent,” Admiral Brett Giroir, the assistant secretary of health says at a news briefing.

“That’s lower than you heard probably in many reports, why is this? Number one is because many people don’t get sick and don’t get tested — this reflects the overseas experience — so probably for every case, there are at least two or three cases that are not in that denominator.

“It certainly could be higher than normal flu, it probably is, but it’s not likely in the range of two to three percent.”

The seasonal flu mortality rate is 0.1 to 0.15 percent, says Giroir.

Trump Admin. Reverses Obama-Era Regulation Blocking Coronavirus Testing
[AMGREATNESS] The Trump Administration has rolled back an Obama FDA rule that required "state-run laboratories to only run medical tests pre-approved by the F.D.A."

"The B.O. regime made a decision on testing that turned out to be very detrimental to what we’re doing, and we undid that decision a few days ago so that the testing can take place at a much more accurate and rapid fashion," Trump stated. "That was a decision we disagreed with. I don’t think we would have made it, but for some reason it was made. But we’ve undone that decision."

Keep calm, wash your hands and don’t panic. People are freaking out that they can’t get tested for the virus, but does it matter if you aren’t showing life threatening symptoms in this time of crisis? If you go to the ER, and you aren’t sick you will be when you leave because that is where the sick people are. If you do have the virus but aren’t dangerously sick, they are going to send you home to self-quarantine, you won’t be admitted because hospitals are saving space for really sick people like the elderly and immuno-compromised.

The Trump deranged are acting like the people working at the CDC are inbred, Jesus morons Trump put in the agency when he was elected. NO. The CDC are career employees, they are the same people who worked there under Obama, W and probably Clinton. THE SAME PEOPLE. Why did Obama get the white glove treatment on Ebola but now Trump is personally responsible for the jacked up agency response? Because Trump. There’s only so much a centralized government can do during a nationwide epidemic. Give the resources to the states, remove the roadblocks of federal regulations and let the states and localities handle it the best they can. Local is always better than the fedgov.

I just returned from a medical emergency, cross country trip where I spent 5 hours on an airplane each way. [Random story: On my return to the swamp, I sat in the row behind Donna Brazile who had hand sanitizer and wiped down her seat and was very polite.] I’ll have to make the same trip in a few weeks, I have hand sanitizer and travel sized Lysol. It’s just life, don’t freak out, stay away from sick people and wash your hands. Stop hoarding water, go buy a filtration system like a Brita or a Berkey (I have one) because the water supply will probably not be compromised. The panic is always worse than the actual crisis.


Televangelist Jim Bakker warned to stop peddling unproven coronavirus cures
[SEATTLETIMES] The Rev. Jim Bakker, a televangelist and salesman, has long promoted "Silver Solution" ‐ a scientifically dubious medication made from the precious metal ‐ to cure all sorts of ailments.

On Feb. 12, as the novel coronavirus was making worldwide headlines, a clip on Bakker’s TV show included on-screen text saying people "seeking a cure for coronavirus" should buy tubes of Silver Solution from Bakker’s website.

Calling herself "extremely concerned" about the clip from the show, Lisa Landau, the chief of the attorney general’s health care bureau, sternly told Bakker that there is no known medical treatment for the coronavirus disease, which has sickened patients around the world, including in New York.

Landau said any future claims promoting Silver Solution as a cure would violate laws against false advertising.
Related:
Jim Bakker: 2018-01-03 Michele Bachmann eyeing run for Franken's Senate seat
Jim Bakker: 2016-10-27 History Professor Warns America: 2016 Election Could Prompt Civil War [VIDEO]
Jim Bakker: 2008-04-22 Lileks: "It was a difficult time."
Related:
Coronavirus: 2020-03-05 Is your meth contaminated with coronavirus? This Florida police dept. will test it for free
Coronavirus: 2020-03-05 Trump Solves Problem Caused by Obama-Era Regulation Which Was Stalling Ability to Test for Coronavirus
Coronavirus: 2020-03-05 VDH: What We Don't Know About the Coronavirus Is What Scares Us


And courtesy of DarthVader:
2 presumptive cases of COVID-19, coronavirus, in Colorado
[KKTV] Gov. Jared Polis announced Thursday afternoon that he learned of the first "presumptive" positive case of COVID-19, coronavirus, case in Colorado.

"The case had known exposure to the virus through close contact with a person with COVID-19 outside of Colorado," the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment wrote in a release.

During a news conference, the governor announced he had learned of a second presumptive case, not tied to the first. Very few details on the second case were made available last time this article was updated.

According to a release sent out by the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, the first presumptive case is tied to an out-of-state visitor in his thirties. He was visiting Summit County and is now in isolation in the Denver metro area.

"We are hopeful that the patient will have a swift recovery," said Jill Hunsaker Ryan, executive director, Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment. "Like other states, we expected to begin seeing cases in Colorado and that is why we have been preparing for the past couple of months, in conjunction with local public health agencies and healthcare partners. Our goals are to protect the public from the disease, get people the care they need, and minimize disruption to daily lives."
Work is already getting ready for disruptions and my conference was cancelled.
Stores are already out of sanitizers and disinfectant, masks and some long term food.
Got my supplies and can hunker down to avoid the idiot panic that comes with this.


Coronavirus Patient Zero in Italy Was Pakistani Migrant Who Refused to Self-Isolate After Testing Positive For The Virus
[SummitNews] He continued to work at restaurant and deliver Chinese food. Authorities were alerted to the situation and the military intervened to return the man to his home.

The migrant now faces up to 3 months in jail for failing to self-isolate under article 650 of the Italian penal code.

Italy has recorded a total of more than 3,000 cases of the coronavirus and 148 people have died. The country was the primary source of the virus spreading to numerous other European countries.
Posted by:Skidmark

#12  "A top US health official says the overall mortality rate for the novel coronavirus was estimated at one percent or less, lower than previously thought, basing the new figure on a high number of unreported cases."

Estimates can't be computed on speculations, but it's way to early to assess the correct mortality rate (and due to mutations this will change over time anyway).

Italy's death rate stands at 4% which is high.
Germany's death rate is 0% as of today. One person is reported to be in a critical condition, so if he dies that would bring the rate to less than 0.2 %, but of course low numbers are misleading.

Unreported cases certainly exist, but nobody knows how high they are, and otoh we don't know how many people who are believed to have died from the flu or pneumonia actually had the corona virus.

Only hard numbers count and they will change.

Italy's numbers are alarming. Almost as many people died from corona as people in Germany have died from influenza (since October).

Posted by: European Conservative   2020-03-06 17:31  

#11  we should've sterilized Mecca on 9/12/2001
Posted by: Bob Grorong1136   2020-03-06 13:57  

#10  Pompeo says China gave imperfect coronavirus data
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-03-06 12:54  

#9  Chinese province reports 17 new coronavirus infections imported from Iran
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-03-06 12:49  

#8  Don't remember
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-03-06 12:41  

#7  Didn't we type about that a couple of weeks ago?
Posted by: Skidmark   2020-03-06 12:21  

#6  ^Click on monoclonal antibody in wiki article.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-03-06 11:46  

#5  Skid do me a favor - read the wiki article
Posted by: g(r)omgoru PB   2020-03-06 11:21  

#4  Cool idea, but one also gets everything else from the donor blood. Done in times of crisis or primitive environs I suppose.
Posted by: Skidmark   2020-03-06 10:26  

#3  I'm beginning to wonder - am I the last person in the world who remembers passive immunization?
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-03-06 08:25  

#2  Most excellent rubbish bin graphic.
Posted by: Besoeker   2020-03-06 08:13  

#1  A top US health official says the overall mortality rate for the novel coronavirus was estimated at one percent or less, lower than previously thought, basing the new figure on a high number of unreported cases.


To be accepted, a novel scientific theory must fit all the available data.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2020-03-06 05:53  

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