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| The Grand Turk |
| VDH: Untenable Alliance Is No Turkish Delight |
| 2019-10-24 |
| [Townhall] There are about 5,000 members of the U.S. military, mostly airmen, stationed at the huge, strategically located air base in Incirlik, Turkey, northwest of the Syrian border. The American forces at Incirlik are also the custodians of about 50 B61 nuclear bombs. Data on these weapons is classified, but at their maximum yield each is 10 times more powerful than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima, according to Stars and Stripes. It's a "Dr. Strangelove" scenario: No one quite knows how the American contingent could manage to secretly remove the deadly nukes from their concrete vaults, bring them out to the tarmac, load them on planes and fly them out safely over Turkish objections. ...Under Islamist strongman Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey has become NATO's only non-democratic nation. It's also NATO's only Muslim-majority member. Erdogan has been trying to re-create Turkey as a new Ottoman imperial power. He feels no allegiance to Western-style democracy. ...Turkey opposes, if not detests, almost every American ally in the region, and befriends almost every U.S. enemy. ...Turkey has frightened and alienated most NATO allies. The European Union has limited arms sales to Turkey. Germany has pulled its small forces out of the country. Recently, Turkish forces "accidentally" shelled a U.S. Special Forces peacekeeping outpost on the Turkish-Syrian border. ...Why, then, is the U.S. still an ally of this anti-American rogue nation? There are a number of scary reasons. -- The U.S. military has not quite figured out how either to stay in or leave Incirlik in a now-hostile Turkey. -- Washington knows that fighters at the valuable Incirlik base can reach any strategic conflict in the Middle East. -- American diplomats naively hope that democracy will return to Turkey and that Erdogan is a temporary nuisance who does not reflect a rising Islamist constituency in the Turkish heartland. -- America believes a bad ally is better than a bitter enemy. It fears that a hostile Turkey could start and win wars against our vulnerable regional friends and create a formidable nuclear alliance with Russia, China or Iran. -- The West in general is blackmailed by Turkey, a gateway to the Middle East that has threatened to unleash a flood of millions of migrants onto European soil. -- NATO in general is underfunded and undermanned. In contrast, NATO member Turkey has the second-largest military in the alliance at nearly 650,000 troops. Europe and the U.S. either believe such a force helps maintain credible NATO deterrence or are terrified it will be put into the service of others. -- The U.S. fears that fighting against, or failing to aid, a NATO partner might unravel the entire alliance. Turkey has invoked Article IV of the treaty, requiring crisis consultation when a NATO ally claims it is threatened, three times in its regional disputes. Not since the U.S. came to the aid of Joseph Stalin's USSR in World War II has America so disliked and so feared a valuable but utterly untenable ally. |
| Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
| #3 Fifth Column. Who would've guessed the biggest threat to NATO would come not from Russia but from a NATO member itself? Not our brilliant strategists with their heads in the ground.. |
| Posted by: Lex 2019-10-24 23:28 |
| #2 This.^^ |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2019-10-24 23:11 |
| #1 The West in general is blackmailed by Turkey... Story of the west for a long time to come now, if something doesn't change Trump's mind. I think Bolton was right on this, apart from other things. Trump expects islamic states to behave as a corporation would, dance to the tune of economic realities imposed by trade and investment restrictions. These islamist entities are not however, affected by that. To them the hubris of Saracen glory and the Ottoman empire is more real than pecuniary concerns and state responsibilities to citizens. Their hatred of America and desire to see an America sized hole in world politics is a motivating factor in all of their policies. These are people who will evolve ramshackle economies independent of and unanswerable to the sanction-based punitive policies of the west. Look at Iran. It presses on. Turkey should be sanctioned, kicked out of NATO, the nukes dismantled, their warheads flown out. If Erdogan 'doesn't allow' that, he's declaring war. War. Staying out of wars you didn't start must not be confused with being a ninny islamists can coerce into doing their bidding. Being Turkey's ally now, especially under duress would be the ultimate ignominy and a victory for every islamist from Algiers to Zafarwal. |
| Posted by: Dron66046 2019-10-24 14:04 |