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| And now it's time for Children's Hour |
| 2019-09-27 |
| h/t Instapundit [WattsUpWithThat] Hello, children! Are you all sitting comfortably? Then I’ll begin. Greta, dear, do wipe that nasty, frowning sneer off your face. If the wind blows on it, you’ll look like that for the rest of your life, and that wouldn’t be very nice, now, would it? Once upon a time, some very naughty grown-ups made up a wicked story to frighten all you little ones with. They said it was going to get hotter and hotter and hotter. It was going to be ever so hot. Really, really hot. Yes, Alexandria, hotter even than Brad Pitt, if that’s possible. But, you see, children, you can’t always believe what grown-ups say. Part of growing up is learning to work out when you are being told the truth and when you are not. And if the grown up happens to be your So today, children, I’m going to have to tell you that quite a lot of what dear old Ms Snorkel, your science teacher, has been telling you about global warming turns out not to be true. Not true at all. Dear me, no. You see, Miss Snorkel thinks that just because someone says something dreadful is going to happen, then it’s going to happen. Just like that. But just because someone says they think something bad is going to happen, that doesn’t mean it’s going to happen. It might not happen. So you mustn’t just believe it’s going to happen. You must check what you are told. Don’t just believe it. Miss Snorkel has told you the experts say the weather is going to get a whole lot warmer. So I’ve drawn a nice picture for you, so that you can see whether they’re right. ...Deary me, it really doesn’t look as though the experts Mrs Snorkel trusts were right about how much warmer the weather was going to be. My oh my, they seem to have overshot quite a bit, don’t they? ...By now, kiddiwinks, you’ll be wondering why all those experts got it so wrong. Well, here’s the thing. They made some big mistakes. Yes, Greta, I’m saying they screwed up, but we don’t use language like that in class. There’s that face again, Greta. Just relax. Yes, of course, I’ll tell you what they got wrong. You see, they forgot the Sun was shining. But if you look out of the window you can see for yourself that it is. Yes, I know it seems strange that they forgot the Sun was shining, but that’s exactly what they did. Silly of them, wasn’t it? Yes, Greta, there are "feedback loops". But that doesn’t mean the feedback loops will make the climate run away to a "tipping point". What it does mean is that the feedbacks don’t just respond to warmer weather caused by the fact that there are greenhouse gases in the air. They have to respond to the fact that the Sun is shining. Not much choice about it. But the experts more or less completely forgot about the feedback response to the sunshine. They made the mistake of counting it as part of the feedback response to greenhouse gases. And that made them think there would be a whole lot more warming from greenhouse gases than anyone sensible would ever expect. How do I know? Well, here’s another picture. What it shows is that if there were 4 K global warming, which the experts now predict, the feedbacks would have to make 350 times as much more warming for each degree of greenhouse-gas warming than they did for each degree of the emission temperature that would keep the Earth warm even if there were no greenhouse gases and no feedback loops. And they can’t do that. It’s impossible. ...But the trouble with the official figure of about 255 K is that the experts calculate it by imagining that the Earth is flat. Then they divide the sunshine by a kludge-factor of 4 in a clumsy attempt to adjust their sums for the fact that the Earth is round. Not very clever, are they, acting as though the Earth was flat? But that’s not the only mistake they make when they try to calculate emission temperature. They calculate it by imagining there would be clouds in the air, just as there are today, reflecting almost a third of that lovely sunshine harmlessly straight back into space. But clouds are made of water vapour, and water vapour is a greenhouse gas, and it is only in the air because of feedbacks. But at emission temperature there would be no water vapour in the air and no feedbacks. Oops! Aren’t the experts silly, children? No, Greta, I’m not an expert. But Professor Richard Lindzen is. He’s the very expertest of all the experts. And here’s what he says about it:
...Well, that’s all we have time for today, children. But don’t worry, Greta: your future will be a rosy one. The world will be a little warmer, but that’s a very good thing, not a very bad thing. Now, stop worrying about the weather, go out and play, and enjoy the sunshine! The most important thing, IMO, to remember about "Science" is that our schools are conditioning centers for conformism and intellectual dishonesty - unavoidable really once you decided that the differences among students are environmental and not inborn. That's why no week goes by without some brilliant young "scientist" (straight A's since kindergarten) being caught faking results - and that just for experimentalists. They get away with it in computer simulations because nobody checks. |
| Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
| #8 Or tally+1 another disenchanted corpse. |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2019-09-27 16:54 |
| #7 One day Greta may actually learn the truth... Typically this type of personality will just believe that "If my side is Bad then the Other Side must, MUST be Evil Incarnateâ„¢!!" So she can go about her business afterwards secure in her Moral Superiorityâ„¢. |
| Posted by: magpie 2019-09-27 14:43 |
| #6 One day Greta may actually learn the truth about the load of crap that her parents and other trusted authority figures have been feeding her. She will then have to determine if they were mere fools or if they had some malicious purpose. Her sense of dismay and betrayal will be devastating but at least she can take some comfort in the fact that the sky is not falling. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2019-09-27 12:27 |
| #5 Hidden world of undersea volcanoes and lava flows discovered off Italian coast |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2019-09-27 09:36 |
| #4 Or variation thereon? Probably just me... Two parents vacationed afar In a place that you can't reach by car, But when they got back... What a mess! Said the pack, "Yeah, we just had a nuclear war." |
| Posted by: Bob Smiter of the Swedes5172 2019-09-27 07:38 |
| #3 Lord of the Flies 2.0? |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2019-09-27 07:00 |
| #2 ^Do you think it's accidental? |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2019-09-27 05:44 |
| #1 They said it was going to get hotter and hotter and hotter. It was going to be ever so hot. Really, really hot. Sounds like the old descriptions of Hell... |
| Posted by: Glenmore 2019-09-27 03:41 |