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| Home Front: Culture Wars |
| Failed Predictions of Climate Alarmists Make Future Predictions Suspect |
| 2018-08-09 |
| h/t Gates of Vienna It’s hard for the average citizen to read the news these days and not be worried for the future of the planet. ...But to get a good gauge of such predictions, it is wise to look at how similar predictions have turned out in the past. So, don’t sell your beachfront property just yet. |
| Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
| #9 Alan, I remember that post and comment thread. My Fortran is pretty good, and if I recall, the basis for the hockey stick graph was embedded in a data statement for the input variable. I've told people that for years now, and they don't believe it. Do you remember the date of that, so I can go back and find the source. |
| Posted by: rammer 2018-08-09 19:19 |
| #8 That's what I figured. |
| Posted by: charger 2018-08-09 18:48 |
| #7 I spent many years as a system auditor examining software to make sure it would do what they said. It took me 2 minutes looking at the code that "snuck" out of UEA in the "climate gate" incident, even though my Fortran was very rusty, to identify 3 blatant gotchas that would have to get serious consideration professionally. I don't trust or believe any of them. |
| Posted by: AlanC 2018-08-09 17:07 |
| #6 Publish all the algorithms. Plug in known data from the past. See how well the solution tracks with (fully verified) historical climate/weather outcomes. i.e. how well do these climate formulas "predict the past"? |
| Posted by: charger 2018-08-09 15:44 |
| #5 From the Department of NoFuckingShitAsswipe and Truth |
| Posted by: DarthVader 2018-08-09 10:46 |
| #4 In ancient societies, false prophets were stoned to death. Now they're just stoned. |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2018-08-09 09:52 |
| #3 OK,OK.OK. In. |
| Posted by: Dale 2018-08-09 08:56 |
| #2 I current society, false profits are given political positions in power. Then they live on and on. |
| Posted by: Dale 2018-08-09 08:55 |
| #1 In ancient societies, false prophets were stoned to death. |
| Posted by: Procopius2k 2018-08-09 06:52 |