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India-Pakistan
Peshawar attack
2017-12-04
[DAWN] ON a day of deep religious commemoration, murder was committed. Beautiful Downtown Peshawar
...capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa administrative and economic hub for the Federally Administered Tribal Areas of Pakistan. Peshawar is situated near the eastern end of the Khyber Pass, convenient to the Pak-Afghan border. Peshawar has evolved into one of Pakistan's most ethnically and linguistically diverse cities, which means lots of gunfire.
bled yet again on Friday as a TTP-claimed attack on the Agricultural Training Institute left nine dead and many more injured.

The heroism of the police and security forces who helped prevent a greater tragedy is undeniable. However,
facts are stubborn; statistics are more pliable...
the impulse of officialdom to praise an operation as successful for limiting the number of casualties is misguided. While morale must be maintained in the security apparatus and despair not allowed to spread in society, the reality is that the banned TTP was able to organise and execute a sophisticated terror strike.

The bully boyz are surely plotting further strikes and the announcement that a number of arrests were made in and around Peshawar yesterday suggests the existence of a disturbingly active terrorist network inside the country.

The greater threat, however, emanates from the TTP sanctuaries in Afghanistan. It is in Afghanistan that the TTP leadership is believed to be based and without some steps taken to reduce the space the TTP has across the border, it may well be impossible to put an end to attacks inside Pakistain.

Thus far, the Peshawar attack has not stirred up a fresh round of cross-border accusations and recriminations ‐ suggesting that the two states are continuing with efforts to improve bilateral ties that had threatened to fall apart. If that is true, it is welcome news and efforts must be redoubled to improve intelligence-sharing and address threats that jointly and separately affect the two countries.

The pattern has been that intelligence gathered and shared immediately in the wake of an attack can lead to important gains in the fight against militancy and deplete the upper ranks of Lion of Islam groups. That in turn has the effect of reducing the effectiveness and organizational capacity of Lion of Islam groups, at least temporarily.

Yet, there remains an inescapable reality: for Pakistain to obtain Afghan cooperation, Pakistain will have to cooperate with Afghanistan to address that country’s security concerns. The common fight against the Lion of Islam Islamic State
...formerly ISIS or ISIL, depending on your preference. Before that al-Qaeda in Iraq, as shaped by Abu Musab Zarqawi. They're very devout, committing every atrocity they can find in the Koran and inventing a few more. They fling Allah around with every other sentence, but to hear the pols talk they're not really Moslems....
group can engender goodwill and reduce tensions in other areas of the bilateral relationship, but at some point the strategic questions will have to be addressed.

Given that the Afghan government recognises that a political settlement with the Afghan Taliban
...the Pashtun equivalent of men...
is the only logical end to the war in that country, Pakistain has an opportunity to prepare the ground for an intra-Afghan peace deal by nudging the Afghan Taliban towards the negotiating table and giving Kabul access to potential negotiators the government may want to hold preliminary talks with.

Clearly, that will not be easy ‐ 16 years of war alone tell their own story. But the strategic imperatives are just as clear: peace will not be achieved in the region until the question of sanctuaries is addressed. Courage and enlightened self-interest will be needed on both sides.

Posted by:Fred

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