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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Endgame: Putin Plans To Strike ISIS With Or Without The U.S.
2015-09-24
[ZeroHedge] On Sunday, we noted that Washington's strategy in Syria has now officially unravelled.

John Kerry, speaking from London following talks with British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond, essentially admitted over the weekend that Russia's move to bolster the Assad regime at Latakia effectively means that the timing of Assad's exit is now completely indeterminate. Here's how we summed up the situation:

Moscow, realizing that instead of undertaking an earnest effort to fight terror in Syria, the US had simply adopted a containment strategy for ISIS while holding the group up to the public as the boogeyman par excellence, publicly invited Washington to join Russia in a once-and-for-all push to wipe Islamic State from the face of the earth. Of course The Kremlin knew the US wanted no such thing until Assad was gone, but by extending the invitation, Putin had literally called Washington's bluff, forcing The White House to either admit that this isn't about ISIS at all, or else join Russia in fighting them. The genius of that move is that if Washington does indeed coordinate its efforts to fight ISIS with Moscow, the US will be fighting to stabilize the very regime it sought to oust.

Revelations (which surprised no one but the Pentagon apparently) that Moscow is coordinating its efforts in Syria with Tehran only serve to reinforce the contention that Assad isn't going anywhere anytime soon, and the US will either be forced to aid in the effort to destroy the very same Sunni extremists that it in some cases worked very hard to support, or else admit that countering Russia and supporting Washington's regional allies in their efforts to remove Assad takes precedence over eliminating ISIS. Because the latter option is untenable for obvious reasons, Washington has a very real problem on its hands - and Vladimir Putin just made it worse.

As Bloomberg reports, The Kremlin is prepared to launch unilateral strikes against ISIS targets if the US is unwilling to cooperate. Here's more:

President Vladimir Putin, determined to strengthen Russia's only military outpost in the Middle East, is preparing to launch unilateral airstrikes against Islamic State from inside Syria if the U.S. rejects his proposal to join forces, two people familiar with the matter said.

Putin's preferred course of action, though, is for America and its allies to agree to coordinate their campaign against the terrorist group with Russia, Iran and the Syrian army, which the Obama administration has so far resisted, according to a person close to the Kremlin and an adviser to the Defense Ministry in Moscow.

Russian diplomacy has shifted into overdrive as Putin seeks to avoid the collapse of the embattled regime of Bashar al-Assad, a longtime ally who's fighting both a 4 1/2 year civil war and Sunni extremists under the banner of Islamic State. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu flew to Moscow for talks with Putin on Monday, followed by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Tuesday.

Putin's proposal, which Russia has communicated to the U.S., calls for a "parallel track" of joint military action accompanied by a political transition away from Assad, a key U.S. demand, according to a third person. The initiative will be the centerpiece of Putin's one-day trip to New York for the United Nations General Assembly on Sept. 28, which may include talks with President Barack Obama.

"Russia is hoping common sense will prevail and Obama takes Putin's outstretched hand," said Elena Suponina, a senior Middle East analyst at the Institute of Strategic Studies, which advises the Kremlin. "But Putin will act anyway if this doesn't happen."

And that, as they say, it that. Checkmate.
So we get to use ISIS as proxies in a (local, I hope) war with Russia?
Posted by:Blossom Unains5562

#4  ISIL appears to be composed of a significant fraction of Central Asian (i.e. Chechens, Uzbeks, Tajiks, Afghans) mixed in with arab groups of troops: a bunch that Moscow has long wished they could get a clean shot at.

The "Western Front" of Islamic State is run by Central Asians; the "Eastern Front" is led (for a lack of a better term) by ex-Saddam-era, Russian - excuse me - Soviet trained Baathists.

The former tend to stick with their own for fighting forces, plus the pick of the Western, North African and Asian volunteers. The Kurdish region apparently functions as a sort of boot-camp for the possibly-useful; if one survives, one gets to move up to the Western League.

The latter get the leftovers from the initial pick, plus fellow Iraqi Sunnis and whatever volunteers come in from Arabia and the African Horn.
Posted by: Pappy   2015-09-24 16:30  

#3  ISIL appears to be composed of a significant fraction of Central Asian (i.e. Chechens, Uzbeks, Tajiks, Afghans) mixed in with arab groups of troops: a bunch that Moscow has long wished they could get a clean shot at. They're out in the open, where you can bring troops to bear on them, if you're not too fussy about collateral damage.
As for Assad, his regime is now tied to how useful he can make himself to Vlad.
Posted by: ed in texas   2015-09-24 13:39  

#2  What's he doing in Africa? Do you mean Libya?
Posted by: rjschwarz   2015-09-24 13:17  

#1  Putin'sproposal, which Russia has communicated to the U.S., calls for a "parallel track" of joint military action

Ahhhh! Opportunity knocks. Perhaps some carefully crafted diplomacy could help put an end to Vlad's attempting to penetrate UK airspace with partially armed nukes as well as some of his other bullying tactics.

No, forget it. The Champ is too spiteful and narcissistic, besides, the creation of an Islamic State in the former Iraq is a monument to Bush's alleged 'failed foreign policy.' It also serves as a convenient media diversion for the Obama regime, which as we all know, is vitally important.

Champ pivoted to Africa years ago. He's lost interest in the ME.
Posted by: Besoeker   2015-09-24 10:04  

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