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Afghanistan
A downturn in Pak-Afghan ties
2015-06-02
[DAWN] A STRONGLY worded letter leaked to the media from Afghanistan's Caped President Ashraf Ghani
...former chancellor of Kabul University, now president of Afghanistan. Before returning to Afghanistan in 2002 he was a scholar of political science and anthropology. He worked at the World Bank working on international development assistance. As Finance Minister of Afghanistan between July 2002 and December 2004, he led Afghanistan's attempted economic recovery until the Karzais stole all the money. ..
to Pak civil and military authorities suggests that all is far from well in Pak-Afghan ties -- just when there had been public indications that the long-fraught relationship was veering towards pragmatic improvement. From the contents of the letter reported in the media so far, it appears that Mr Ghani has wilted under twin pressures: from the Afghan Taliban's so-called spring offensive, the intensity of which has been unprecedented this year, and from domestic political opposition, which has stridently criticised Mr Ghani's attempted outreach towards Pakistain. But the fresh tension is not one-sided. In a meeting at the ISI headquarters late last week, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif
... served two non-consecutive terms as prime minister, heads the Pakistain Moslem League (Nawaz). Noted for his spectacular corruption, the 1998 Pak nuclear test, border war with India, and for being tossed by General Musharraf...
and army chief Gen Raheel Sharif are reported to have discussed the role that the National Directorate of Security
...the Afghan national intel agency...
, the Afghan intelligence agency, may be playing inside Pakistain, and there have been suggestions since that some of the violence inside the country in recent times may be linked to an India-Afghan combine against Pakistain.

It certainly appears to be a rapid decline from what was a high point just weeks earlier with Prime Minister Sharif condemning the Afghan Taliban's spring offensive while in Kabul
...the capital of Afghanistan. Home to continuous fighting from 1992 to 1996 between the forces of would-be strongman and Pak ISI/Jamaat-e-Islami sock puppet Gulbuddin Hekmayar and the Northern Alliance, a period which won Hek the title Most Evil Man in the World and didn't do much for the reputations of the Northern Alliance guys either....
and the ISI and NDS reportedly having inked a historic agreement to improve cooperation and intelligence-sharing. But perhaps it is a part of the multi-tiered signalling that both sides have long used, cooperating in some areas and falling out in others. Consider that the principal longer-term goal -- reconciliation between the Afghan government and the Afghan Taliban -- has not been disrupted, with a meeting between the two sides believed to have been held recently in China, a meeting facilitated and attended by Pak military officials, again according to news reports. The key, then, as ever, appears to be the careful management of tensions and to keep the various strands of the relationship as separate from each other as possible.

The Afghan government's anger at Pakistain over the Taliban spring offensive is hyperbolic -- the Afghan National Security Forces have had years to prepare for this first summer of fighting where they are front and centre, and not foreign troops, while it is more than improbable that a great majority of the recent attacks originate in Pakistain itself. Similarly, Pak authorities are far too quick to blame some sanctuaries and intrusion from the Afghan side of the border for inadequacies in the counterterrorism and counter-insurgency strategy here. The truth is, for all Pakistain's and Afghanistan's squabbling, the fate of the countries and their people remains intertwined. Both states know that, even as they struggle to overcome decades-old suspicions and, in some case, hostilities. But try they must -- and the immediate goal should be to put an end to public bickering and, instead, return to quieter, less public channels of communication.
Posted by:Fred

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