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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Red Cross: Huge Drop in Ebola Bodies across Liberian Capital
2014-10-29
[AnNahar] The Red Thingy said Tuesday the weekly total of Ebola victims collected by its body disposal teams around the Liberian capital is falling dramatically, indicating a sharp drop in the spread of the epidemic.

The announcement appears at odds with an assessment by the World Health Organization (WHO), which said last week transmission "remains intense" in the capitals of Liberia and neighbouring Guinea and Sierra Leone.

Fayah Tamba, head of the Liberian Red Thingy, said his workers collected 117 bodies last week from Montserrado county, which includes Monrovia -- a drop of almost two-thirds from the high of 315 from September 15 to 21.

"I am sure you don't need a rocket scientist to tell you that the cases are dropping," he told private radio station Sky FM.

Montserrado county, which accounts for more than a quarter of Liberia's population of around four million, now sees the vast majority of new cases and deaths.
"What does this mean for us? It is very important, for all of us, that while it is true that these numbers are reducing, we want to use this time to call on every one of us to remain very engaged because Ebola is still in Liberia.

"We should not be complacent too early and start to celebrate because we still have this enemy in our corridors."

Tamba gave week-by-week figures for collections which rise quickly from 60 on August 3 -- but the weeks after the September peak show a consistent decline.

His conclusions jar with the WHO's update on the crisis on October 22, which reported that case numbers "continue to be under-reported, especially from the Liberian capital Monrovia".

Liberia has been worst hit by the outbreak, with 4,665 recorded cases and 2,705 deaths, according to the WHO, relying on figures however which are now 10 days out-of-date.

Liberia confirmed its first two Ebola cases at the end of March, but the outbreak was largely confined to the northern area bordering Guinea during the first few months of the crisis, until an kaboom of cases in and around Monrovia.

Montserrado county, which accounts for more than a quarter of Liberia's population of around four million, now sees the vast majority of new cases and deaths.
Posted by:trailing wife

#13  there is another reason it's slowing. Read that WHO report John QC linked to. The statistics artificially spiked last time they gathered them as it was more methodical and caught a heap of hidden cases. That's why it would look like it's going down this time as they are just working off a base that spiked artificially. My bet is it's still grinding on the same as ever. 150% increase every 2 weeks
Posted by: anon1   2014-10-29 23:42  

#12  thanks John QC i only just discovered that new WHO disease update notification on reddit. Previously I'd been checking the website where they posted all their updates.... and that ceased august 27
Posted by: anon1   2014-10-29 23:35  

#11  correct chris the WHO are in fact screaming for US$260 million to put on top of their US $4.27 billion annual budget

which they didn't use to stop ebola back in february when it was just one village in guinea

plus they never advised travel restrictions as it spread through 8 countries because their political masters in government in guinea, liberia and SL told them not to because it would harm the economy
Posted by: anon1   2014-10-29 23:32  

#10  This Red Cross?
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2014-10-29 18:23  

#9  WHO case statistics through 10/27/2014: WHO ebola case statistics.
Posted by: JohnQC   2014-10-29 18:17  

#8  we see the same kind of declines in remoter places That's the big unknown in the Hot Zone. Expect we will learn later about depopulated rural regions as the investigation continues.
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418    2014-10-29 15:35  

#7  according to the WHO, relying on figures however which are now 10 days out-of-date.

Anybody still alive there to count the bodies ?
Posted by: junkiron   2014-10-29 12:05  

#6  It seems communicating what not to do is working.

Something that would work better in a capital city with better communications - TV, mobile, than in remoter areas.

Very encouraging, but until we see the same kind of declines in remoter places, I'd say we are not out of the woods yet.
Posted by: phil_b   2014-10-29 09:00  

#5  Red Cross: Huge Drop in Ebola Bodies across Liberian Capital

Hopefully they're not getting up at night and walking away. We've seen that movie before. We have our own Day of the Living Dead celebrated on 4 November.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2014-10-29 08:47  

#4  I'm sure the WHO will be screaming for at least one more donation drive today
Posted by: chris   2014-10-29 06:50  

#3  Hmmm, burned itself out,did it, so much for the hysterical screaming by the newspapers, which you WON'T hear about.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2014-10-29 06:31  

#2  "We should not be complacent too early and start to celebrate because we still have this enemy in our corridors."

Was he referring to the outbreak, or the upcoming midterm ?
Posted by: Besoeker   2014-10-29 05:49  

#1  This could be how the outbreak slows down & eventually comes to halt, unless there is some huge collection of sick Ebola patients that is being kept secret. All along the reported numbers of affected patients in the Hot Zone have been very, very doubtful.
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418    2014-10-29 00:07  

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