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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia

Putin orders military test in west, central Russia

2014-02-26

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday ordered a test of the battle readiness of military forces deployed in the western and central areas of the country, a likely show of Kremlin muscle to reassure ethnic Russians in Ukraine that their rights and interests will be defended.

That'll be an interesting exercise; I assume US intel assets will monitor how well the 'test' goes. Is the Russian military a juggernaut or a paper tiger? If the latter, could it still occupy and pacify the Ukraine?

The announcement of the immediate and thorough readiness exercises was made by Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and reported by the Interfax news agency.

Putin ordered confirmation of troop capabilities for action in the event of a crisis situation that presents a threat to the military security of the country, as well as anti-terrorism and emergency response readiness, Shoigu was quoted as saying by Interfax.

The readiness test was ordered amid growing tensions in Ukraine between the Russian-allied eastern areas of the restive country and pro-Western political forces now in control of the capital, Kiev, following a rebellion that drove President Viktor Yanukovich to flee his office.

Here again, some sort of deal allowing eastern and western Ukraine to go their own ways would seem to be in everyone's interests, including Putin. Give Russia guarantees on its pipelines through the western half and Putin might not care what else they do.

Russia had been backing Yanukovich with a promised $15-billion package of loans and energy subsidies after he angered liberal and nationalist politicians in late November by scrapping an association agreement with the European Union. That pact would have enhanced Ukrainian economic ties with the West and opened a path to eventual membership in the EU.

Yanukovichs rejection of the EU deal in favor of strengthening ties with Russia, for centuries the dominant political force in Ukraine, set off three months of demonstrations that escalated into rioting last week and a bloody crackdown by security forces. At least 82 people died in the confrontations before an EU-brokered peace accord and agreement on early elections.

Pro-Western opposition politicians who led the rebellion have filled the power vacuum in Kiev, which triggered demonstrations in Russian-speaking areas of eastern and southern Ukraine, where industry remains elaborately entwined with Russias economy and Moscow keeps its Black Sea fleet based in Sevastopol.

Even if Ukraine separates from Russia the industry can't, not easily. It's not like EU industrial interests will pick up the tens of thousands of contracts, deliveries, raw materials, shipping and so on with any sort of reasonable timeline.

Several dozen Russians worried about their status in a potentially opposition-ruled Ukraine have been demonstrating for the last three days outside public buildings in Sevastopol, Simferopol, Odessa and other southern cities, some demanding that Russia protect them or that the region secede and annex to Russia.

On Wednesday, rival demonstrations involving thousands of Crimean Tatars, who were exiled from Russia to Crimea by dictator Josef Stalin during World War II, pledged allegiance to Kiev and their place within Ukraine.

Shouts of Ukraine is not Russia and Allahu Akbar could be heard from the crowd of historically Muslim Tatars as they waved the yellow and blue Ukrainian and Tatar flags in defiance of the considerably smaller pro-Russian turnout, according to news agencies and Ukrainian television.

The Kremlin has taken a cautious approach to the evolving crisis in Ukraine, a country of 46 million and arguably Russias most important ally as most of Moscows exports of natural gas pass through pipelines on Ukrainian territory.

In Moscow, the speaker of the upper house of the Russian parliament dismissed warnings by Russian nationalist politicians that the Kremlin would take military action against Ukraine if it senses any threat to the Russian-speaking population, which numbers about 7.5 million.

This scenario is impossible, said Valentina Matvienko, speaker of the Federation Council. Russia has been stating and reiterating its stance that we have no right and cannot interfere in domestic affairs of a sovereign state. We are for Ukraine as a united state, and there should be no basis for separatist sentiments.

Posted by:Steve White

#2 Vlad warning the Ukrainians + SSSSHHHHHH ... CCCCC
the Turks.

Posted by: JosephMendiola 2014-02-26 19:06

#1 "We are for Ukraine as a united state, and there should be no basis for separatist sentiments."

You'd think so, look at E/W Germany! But consider Yugoslavia, East Pakistan, Sudan, and the list goes on an on - of countries who would rather be tribes.

Posted by: Bobby 2014-02-26 13:33

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