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| Syria-Lebanon-Iran | ||
| Iran actively weighs Syrian-Israeli clash. Iron Dome posted in N. Israel | ||
| 2013-01-28 | ||
1. A new outbreak of armed violence would direct world attention away from the Syrian civil war: 2. Israel would be sidetracked from a possible strike against Iran's nuclear facilities -- even a "surgical operation" such as Defense Minister Ehud Barak spoke of over the weekend -- by being thrown into multiple battles with Iranian forces in Syria and Lebanon, the Shiite Hizballah and the Palestinian Hamas and Islamic Jihadi in the Gaza Strip. The clash would be programmed to end without winners or losers like Israel's war against Hizballah in 2006 and its two anti-terror operations the Gaza Strip in 2009 and 2012. But meanwhile Israel would have its hands too full with threats on three borders to pursue military action against a nuclear Iran. 3. Tehran would buy another year's delay for spinning out its talks with the Six Powers (US, Russia, France, Britain, China and Germany) on their nuclear controversy. At the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem Sunday, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said "Israel faced some of the gravest threats in its existence" and they continue to run riot "in the east, the north and the south." Behind his words, was an immediate neighborhood beset in last couple of weeks by al Qaeda's advance in Mali - now checked by French intervention; the Algerian gas field hostage siege; and the discovery of the strong interface among the various African Al Qaeda branches, including Egypt, in operations, logistics, shared arms suppliers and the pooling of jihadist manpower in the different arenas. Israel's prime minister and security chiefs are clearly troubled by the perceived danger of the jihadist networks based in Egyptian Sinai and al Qaeda affiliates fighting in Syria joining up to attack Israel from two directions, the north and the south. This would be in keeping with the multiple, multinational terrorist threats surfacing in Africa. With regard to Syria's chemical weapons, after convening an expanded security-diplomatic cabinet meeting last Wednesday, Jan. 23, the day after Israel's general election, Netanyahu remarked: "We have to look around us... What's happening in Iran and the lethal weapons in Syria, which is falling apart..." He left the specifics to Deputy Prime Minister Sylvan Shalom, who said Sunday that if chemical weapons reached Hizballah or Syrian rebel hands, "Such a development would be a crossing of all red lines that would require a different approach, including even preventive operations." But even Shalom did not specify where the red lines would be. | ||
| Posted by:lotp |
| #6 WORLD NEWS > [Syrian Deputy IM Khalaf al-Meftah] DEPUTY MINISTER: WAR ON SYRIA [can]TRIGGERS WORLD WAR 3. #4 dats fun to think about. One has to expect more than little ineptitude when dealing wid an Enemy that hasn't fought a war or high-level war in a while, as ditto for an Enemy that has never used HT Advanced Weapons or Miltechs before. I suspect that both Iran + China will suffer such a prob in the initial or early phases of any mil conflict that occurs vee the US - truth be told, even the US = US-Allied will suffer similarly. OVER TIME, HOWEVER, THE RUST WILL EVENTUALLY INEVITABLY BE CLEANED OUT, + POOR-TO-MEDIOCRE MILPOL LEADERS WILL BE REPLACED WID COMPETENT DYNAMIC ONES - the issue becomes what will de facto won-versus-lost by the time it occurs as CHINA HAS BOTH "RELIABLE" MISSLE DEFENSE TECHS, SYS? AS WELL AS "RELIABLE" ANTI-CVN ASBMS IN ITS ARSENAL. Iran has between now 2013 - EOY 2016 to acquire or dev its own indigenous NucBombs + GMD-TMD + ASBMS + .....@etc. to counter a US threat. A US-Iran war might not occur until later this summer 2013 at the earliest - OTOH, iff the situation between China + Japan continues to escalate wid no let up, THE US CAN BE INVOLVED IN MAJOR CONVENTIONAL ANDOR NUCLEAR CONFRONTATION, WAR? AGZ CHINA ANYTIME BETWEEN NOW + EOY 2013. > Iran + China concede = BAD FOR ANTI-US LEFTISTS-GLOBALISTS. > Iran + China refuse to concede = US refuses to intervene, take action, or otherwise makes concessions in favor of Iran + China = GOOD FOR ANTI-US LEFTISTS-GLOBALISTS. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2013-01-28 23:02 |
| #5 DAILY TIMES.PK > OBAMA STRUGGLES OVER WHETHER TO INTERVENE IN SYRIA. versus * WORLD NEWS [Middle East Online] PARIS [France] PREDICTS RISE OF CALIPHATE IN SYRIA, iff West fails to materielly, $$$ support anti-Assad, anti-Qaeda, etc. Rebel opposition = Syrian National Council [SNC]. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2013-01-28 21:54 |
| #4 What if both Hezbollah and Iran R Guard forces in Syria and Al Q forces in Syria had chem weapons and what if they used them on each other? |
| Posted by: lord garth 2013-01-28 14:57 |
| #3 An open are fizzled nuke at one of the Iranian tests sites would definitely bring some more sanctions on Iran too. I mean how could the deny it wasn't their nuke? |
| Posted by: Water Modem 2013-01-28 14:53 |
| #2 " Limited ...clash of arms" > I have to wonder iff China will do the same vee Nippon in NE Asia??? * TOPIX, FREEREPUBLIC > NORTH KOREAN CANNIBALISM FEARS AMID PEOPLE "EATING CHILDREN + CORPSES" [dead = cemeteries], + general hunting, murder of people as food. PLA takeover of the DPRK = takeover of KNPA airfields, etc. = that much closer to disputed Senkakus/Diaoyus, Okinawa, + espec TAIWAN. * SAME > [Daily Yomiuri] ASDF [Japan Air SDF] MONITORING SENKAKUS 24 HOURS A DAY/ RADAR-EQIUIPPED AIRCRAFT DEPLOYED IN BID TO PREVENT INTRUSION BY CHINESE PLANES. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2013-01-28 00:45 |
| #1 It would make a nice distraction, from the Persian perspective. But last I looked, the Syrians were somewhat occupied. The Hezbullies are always up for some fun, but since they've upgunned, the Israelis have no choice but to deal with them harshly. Chemical weapons could up the ante, but no one would be happy with the results. |
| Posted by: SteveS 2013-01-28 00:08 |