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Home Front: WoT
CIA found militant links a day after Libya attack
2012-10-19
Released early this morning -- from AP, so read carefully...
The CIA station chief in Libya reported to Washington within 24 hours of last month's deadly attack on the U.S. Consulate that there was evidence it was carried out by militants, not a spontaneous mob upset about an American-made video ridiculing Islam's Prophet Muhammad, U.S. officials have told The Associated Press.

It is unclear who, if anyone, saw the cable outside the CIA at that point and how high up in the agency the information went. The Obama administration maintained publicly for a week that the attack on the diplomatic mission in Benghazi that killed U.S. Ambassador Chris Stevens and three other Americans was a result of the mobs that staged less-deadly protests across the Muslim world around the 11th anniversary of the 9/11 terror attacks on the U.S.

Now congressional intelligence committees are demanding documents to show what the spy agencies knew and when, before, during and after the attacks.
The White House now says the attack probably was carried out by an al Qaida-linked group, with no public demonstration beforehand. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton blamed the "fog of war" for the early conflicting accounts.

The officials who told the AP about the CIA cable spoke anonymously because they were not authorized to release such information publicly.

Congressional aides say they expect to get the documents by the end of this week to build a timeline of what the intelligence community knew and compare that to what the White House was telling the public about the attack. That could give Romney ammunition to use in his foreign policy debate with Obama on Monday night.

The two U.S. officials said the CIA station chief in Libya compiled intelligence reports from eyewitnesses within 24 hours of the assault on the consulate that indicated militants launched the violence, using the pretext of demonstrations against U.S. facilities in Egypt against the film to cover their intent. The report from the station chief was written late Wednesday, Sept. 12, and reached intelligence agencies in Washington the next day, intelligence officials said.

The briefing points, obtained by the AP, added: "There are indications that extremists participated in the violent demonstrations" but did not mention eyewitness accounts that blamed militants alone.

Such raw intelligence reports by the CIA on the ground would normally be sent first to analysts at the headquarters in Langley, Va., for vetting and comparing against other intelligence derived from eavesdropping drones and satellite images. Only then would such intelligence generally be shared with the White House and later, Congress, a process that can take hours, or days if the intelligence is coming only from one or two sources who may or may not be trusted.

U.S. intelligence officials say in this case the delay was due in part to the time it took to analyze various conflicting accounts. One official, speaking on condition of anonymity because he wasn't authorized to discuss the incident publicly, explained that "it was clear a group of people gathered that evening" in Benghazi, but that the early question was "whether extremists took over a crowd or they were the crowd."

But that explanation has been met with concern in Congress. "The early sense from the intelligence community differs from what we are hearing now," Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., said. "It ended up being pretty far afield, so we want to figure out why ... though we don't want to deter the intelligence community from sharing their best first impressions" after such events in the future.

"The intelligence briefings we got a week to 10 days after were consistent with what the administration was saying," said Rep. William Thornberry, R-Texas, a member of the House Intelligence and Armed Services committees. Thornberry would not confirm the existence of the early CIA report but voiced skepticism over how sure intelligence officials, including CIA Director David Petraeus, seemed of their original account when they briefed lawmakers on Capitol Hill.
"How could they be so certain immediately after such events, I just don't know," he said. "That raises suspicions that there was political motivation."

National Security Council spokesman Tommy Vietor declined comment. The Office of the Director of National Intelligence did not respond to requests for comment.

Two officials who witnessed Petraeus' closed-door testimony to lawmakers in the week after the attack said that during questioning he acknowledged that there were some intelligence analysts who disagreed with the conclusion that an unruly mob angry over the video had initiated the violence. But those officials said Petraeus did not mention the CIA's early eyewitness reports. He did warn legislators that the account could change as more intelligence was uncovered, they said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the hearing was closed.

Beyond the question of what was known immediately after the attack, it's also proving difficult to pinpoint those who set the fire that apparently killed Stevens and his communications aide or launched the mortars that killed two ex-Navy SEALs who were working as contract security guards at a fallback location.
Wrong -- the SEALs were not working as security guards, they were there chasing down those 20,000 weapons the militias took over -- and ran to the sound of the gun fire. That "truth" needs to be known to recognize these heroes for their actions that cost them their lives.That delay is prompting lawmakers to question whether the intelligence community has the resources it needs to investigate this attack in particular or to wage the larger fight against al-Qaida in Libya or across Africa.

Intelligence officials say the leading suspected culprit is a local Benghazi militia, Ansar al-Shariah. The group denies responsibility for the attack but is known to have ties to a leading African terror group, al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb. Some of its leaders and fighters were spotted by Libyan locals at the consulate during the violence, and intelligence intercepts show the militants were in contact with AQIM militants before and after the attack, one U.S. intelligence official said.

But U.S. intelligence has not been able to match those reported sightings with the faces of attackers caught on security camera recordings during the attack since many U.S. intelligence agents were pulled out of Benghazi in the aftermath of the violence, the two U.S. intelligence officials said.

Nor have they found proof to back up their suspicion that the attack was preplanned, as indicated by the military-style tactics the attackers used, setting up a perimeter of roadblocks around the consulate and the backup compounds, then attacking the main entrance to distract, while sending a larger force to assault the rear.

Clear-cut answers may prove elusive because such an attack is not hard to bring about relatively swiftly with little preplanning or coordination in a post-revolutionary country awash with weapons, where the government is so new it still relies on armed militants to keep the peace. Plus, the location of U.S. diplomat enclaves is an open secret for the locals.
Posted by:Sherry

#13   I see I've misspelled Crowley, but I rather enjoy the error.

An innocent but amusing typo, I'm sure. Now if you had gone with Manateeley, I'd be suspicious.
Posted by: SteveS   2012-10-19 23:28  

#12  There is a video of the action in real time as it unfolded. Hannity mentioned it last night. Tonight he is going talk about it further. He said there was no mob that was spontaneous that reacted to some schlocky video from California. The Monday night presidential debate on foreign policy ought to be very interesting.
Posted by: JohnQC   2012-10-19 16:54  

#11  I see I've misspelled Crowley, but I rather enjoy the error.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-10-19 16:50  

#10  "read the transcript" and Candy Crowley said, "I have the transcript"? How did Obama know to say that? Posted by: jack salami

It was a carefully laid trap set by the Champ, with the help of a nervous Cowley to gobsmack and disarm Willard, which it nearly did. Remember, the Champ was once a lawyer. This bit of prime-time theater could be "walked back" the next day. In fact, the Camp didn't even wait until the audience had left to seek out the questioner and caveat his statement.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-10-19 16:41  

#9  How come during the debate Obama was able to reference his Rose garden speech and say to Romney, "read the transcript" and Candy Crowley said, "I have the transcript"? How did Obama know to say that?
Posted by: jack salami   2012-10-19 14:44  

#8  And remember, a presidential candidate begins getting security briefings before election date.

Reported on Sept 14, Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan will start getting regular briefings on intelligence issues from President Obama's national security team next week.

Romney-Ryan campaign spokeswoman Andrea Saul confirmed the detail to The Washington Post. It is a tradition for the major-party presidential candidates to receive these briefings once their nominating conventions are complete.
Posted by: Sherry   2012-10-19 14:01  

#7  anyone notice who isn't saying much of anything... (yet)?

That's why they call it an "October Surprise." Of course, all those knuckle-dragging military types just love Champ, so I guess he's got nothing to worry about.
Posted by: Matt   2012-10-19 12:41  

#6  Very true Rambler.

BTW, anyone notice who isn't saying much of anything... (yet)? Yes, that would be DoD and the Special Operators, who would have had a NEO (Non-Combatant Evacuation Operation) plan for that poorly secured consulate, and who would have executed such a plan.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-10-19 12:26  

#5  1. Apparently the intel community dislikes being 'thrown under the bus'.

2. One must realize that an analyst will never give you a straight answer. That's the nature of the beast. Considering the political shenanigans over the past decades, that trait has become even more pronounced.

3. It may have been political motivation; it may have been a clumsy attempt at deflection. It may have been both.
Posted by: Pappy   2012-10-19 12:21  

#4  Well, Obama said he called it terrorism the next day. Or at least he mentioned terrorism in the same speech. So he was WAY ahead of all those intel weenies.
Posted by: Rambler in Virginia   2012-10-19 12:11  

#3  I suspect it is Sherry. It is VERY plausible the initial assessment provided POTUS by the CIA provided at least 3 possibilities regarding those responsible. The most "likely" scenario would have been given a weighted assessment. I cannot believe anyone would have put a video about Allah at the top. The assessment selected and follow-on actions would have been purvue of the POTUS.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-10-19 11:59  

#2  One official, speaking on condition of anonymity because he wasn't authorized to discuss the incident publicly, so -- is this the beginning of the "leaks" coming from the CIA?
Posted by: Sherry   2012-10-19 11:55  

#1  Nor have they found proof to back up their suspicion that the attack was preplanned, as indicated by the military-style tactics the attackers used, setting up a perimeter of roadblocks around the consulate and the backup compounds, then attacking the main entrance to distract, while sending a larger force to assault the rear.

Isolation of the target and the diversionary attack are the phueching proof! Those actions, fused with Special Intelligence from other sources leaves little doubt. In light of the date (9/11), host-nation turmoil, along with the "reasonal man" theory....what else could one conclude....aliens or zombies ?

The report from the station chief was written late Wednesday, Sept. 12, and reached intelligence agencies in Washington the next day, intelligence officials said.

You can bet your arse there was plenty of prelimary reporting via secure SATCOM traffic between the COS and Washington prior to the official cable.

Such raw intelligence reports by the CIA on the ground would normally be sent first to analysts at the headquarters in Langley, Va.,

With info-copies and preliminary assessments to the highest levels of the intelligence community. Remember, US personnel have just come up dead and other US Missions may be in line for similar fates.

Navy SEALs who were working as contract security guards at a fallback location.

WRONG! Those two fellas were on a mission to find MANPAD's, likely under the direction of the State Dept's POLMIL section.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-10-19 11:53  

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