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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iran sez it has plan to close the straits
2012-07-08
Some very serious shooting will commence if this happens.
Posted by:Besoeker

#6  * OOOOOPPPSSS, forgot DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > ABU MUSA RESIDENTS [Emirati families]: IRANIANS TRYING TO HARASS US FROM OUR HOMES.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-07-08 21:13  

#5  One of the pragmatic reasons for Iran to dev NucWeaps is to avoid the casualties of the 1980's Iran-Iraq War, includ as per both the SCUD-centric "War of the Cities", as well the deadly at-sea confrontations between the IRGC + the US-NATO Navies.

IMO Iran is NOT ready yet to even attempt to carry out its "grand strategery" of restricting the US CVNS + Gator Boyz/Amphibs to the Sea of Oman + beyond - at this point in time, I see it as more willing to wage a LIMITED LAND WAR to mil defend its ally Syria or its interests in Central Asia + AFPAK. AS BEFORE, IRAN WILL PREFER TO REMAIN AMAP ALAP ON THE MEDIA, DIPLOMATIC, + MILPOL STRATEGIC DEFENSIVE DESPITE ANY RHETORIC TO THE CONTRARY, + AVOID ANY MAJOR CONFLICT WID THE US.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-07-08 20:20  

#4  An Iranian action would be a political gift to Obummer and he would seize it in a minute. Before November 6. Afterwards, it might take a day or two till the polling came in.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2012-07-08 13:55  

#3  And we probably have plans to close their ports, destroy their refineries, sink their Navy, ground or destroy their Air Force, and generally raise havoc all over.

Guess whose plan is more likely to work.


I do think the Iranians' plan is more likely to work.

The US has plans and the capability but I don't see the political will to inflict any serious damage on Iran.

An conflict with Iran couldn't be framed as a therapeutic intervention and thus would not be deemed legitimate by the Western political class.

There will be some hand wringing but there won't be a serious response, especially if Iranian civilians were among the likely victims. See Afghanistan.
Posted by: Chemp Grotch9948   2012-07-08 07:45  

#2  
Posted by: junkiron   2012-07-08 01:14  

#1  And we probably have plans to close their ports, destroy their refineries, sink their Navy, ground or destroy their Air Force, and generally raise havoc all over.

Guess whose plan is more likely to work.
Posted by: Rambler in Virginia   2012-07-08 00:50  

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