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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
IDF assessing plans to counter possible Cairo threat
2011-12-28
A debate is raging within the IDF regarding the so-called inflection point when it will need to begin establishing new formations and procuring new platforms to counter a future threat from Egypt.

The current assessment within the IDF is that Egypt will, for the coming years, retain the peace treaty with Israel due to its need for continued financial and military assistance from the United States.

Nevertheless, there is concern within the military over two different scenarios involving the deployment of Egyptian military forces into the Sinai Peninsula, which is supposed to be demilitarized under the 1979 peace treaty.

The first scenario involves an Egyptian decision to deploy troops there for training. The second scenario sees the movement of an Egyptian division into the peninsula, on the sidelines of a future Israeli war with Hezbollah or Syria, as a demonstration of unity with the Arab countries.

“In both cases, Israel will be in a quandary regarding what to do,” a senior defense official explained recently. “On the one hand, no Israeli prime minister will go to war with Egypt over such violations but on the other hand, if we don’t respond then we are turning a blind eye to the violation.”

As a result, the IDF Planning Directorate has recommended that a Muslim Brotherhood victory in the ongoing Egyptian elections serve as the cutoff line for when the military should begin establishing long-lead items – such as new divisions and combat squadrons.

“These are formations that take a number of years to create, and that is why we will need to begin working on them sooner rather than later,” a senior IDF officer explained.
Posted by:g(r)omgoru

#2  OOOPSIES, forgot to include DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > AL-QAEDA LEADERSHIP ALMOST WIPED OUT FROM PAKISTAN: REPORT, as per same UK Intel Services.

Estmated 70-80% gone - iff true, this will be a real test for Ayman Zawahiri's leadership skills, espec as per orgz rebuild.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2011-12-28 21:23  

#1  ION CHINA DAILY FORUM > ISRAEL MK WANTS EGYPT TO RETURN BRIBES [US$300.0Milyuhn] DURING REIGN OF HOSNI MUBARAK.

Hosni, you rascal, we hardly knew ya.

and

* CHINA DAILY FORUM > [Russia Today] WAR THREATS BEING TAKEN SERIOUSLY BEYOND PERSIAN GULF.

* WAFF > [UK INTEL] TOP AL-QAEDA LEADERS MAY LEAVE PAKISTAN TO NORTH AFRICA.

Well, AYMAN did live in EGYPT???

Not convinced - methinks it'll only be the surviving younger set of AQ Leaders.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2011-12-28 21:14  

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