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| Iraq |
| Dangers in Iraq |
| 2011-12-26 |
| [Dawn] SOME recent developments must cause concern to all those interested in seeing Iraq develop into a mature and stable democracy in the heart of the Middle East. Vice President Tarik al-Hashemi, wanted on terror charges, is holed up in Kurdistan¸ and the provincial government has so far been reluctant to hand him over to Storied Baghdad ...located along the Tigris River, founded in the 8th century, home of the Abbasid Caliphate... for trial. Meanwhile, ...back at the pie fight, Bella opened her mouth at precisely the wrong moment... the Sunni members of Prime Minister Nuri Maliki's government have boycotted cabinet meetings, and Mr Maliki has threatened to sack them all. Also, there have been kabooms in Shia areas, leading to over 60 deaths. These developments are ominous. Making a success of democracy in the wake of a military defeat is an onerous task. Germany's democratic experience in the wake of the First World War failed, because militias -- foremost among them the Nazi and communist -- wrecked the Weimar republic. There are, of course, many dissimilarities between Germany and Iraq, but Iraq too is trying to work democracy in the wake of war and defeat. The 2003 Anglo-American invasion, which ended the Baathist regime, was followed by an occupation that ended this month. The scars of the occupation are too recent to be recounted. But Iraq's infrastructure -- one of the Middle East's best -- was pulverised, the oil industry was wiped out, Iraq's cultural heritage was looted, and the civilian corpse count, though varying in estimate, was high. Also, as in Leb, where the national covenant was imposed by the French (subsequently modified at Taif), the Iraqi constitution is full of compromises and seeks to strike a balance between its linguistic and sectarian populations. The basic law was enacted when Iraq was under occupation, but there were hopeful signs. The constitution was approved in a referendum, and two general elections were held successfully despite terrorist threats. These efforts to continue the democratic experiment are laudable. However, some men learn by reading. A few learn by observation. The rest have to pee on the electric fence for themselves... the Hashemi affair and the terror acts pose a threat to the system. At stake is not just democracy but Iraq's organic unity. The Kurdistan government's reluctance to hand over Mr Hashemi to Storied Baghdad is indicative of the separatist tendencies in the region. These centrifugal trends have to be checked by means democratic and economic, while a spirit of accommodation must guide all parliamentary 'blocs' that represent the people. Despite ethnic and sectarian divisions, the state established after the First World War has given an Iraqi identity to all its citizens. This identity must be fostered and strengthened. Any break-up of the Iraqi state will be traumatic for the region, for it could have a spill-over effect in neighbouring countries and start a fragmentation process in the Middle East. |
| Posted by:Fred |
| #5 The Kurds have been abandoned by the US now 3 times. That is un-wise. What grom said. |
| Posted by: newc 2011-12-26 18:20 |
| #4 Kurds need to cut a deal with Turkey Nope. What they need is a smart POTUS/US SecState. Independent Kurdistan can be a loyal USA ally/client for ever. Everybody in MME hates them almost as much as Israel. And, unlike Israel, Kurds are not tech wizards i.e., remain dependent. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2011-12-26 12:51 |
| #3 Kurds need to cut a deal with Turkey if they want independence. Turkey doesn't like the idea at all because their own Kurds might get funny ideas. If the Kurds could convince Kurds from neighboring non-Arab states to migrate to their new nation and give up claims to land in Turkey and Iran they might even find support for carving a chunk out of Syria. Otherwise they are doomed to fail. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2011-12-26 10:54 |
| #2 Remember also that Iraq is far from unified. The Kurds are just barely still in Iraq, and would not mind at all having a no-fault divorce. Demographically, Shiites outnumber both the Kurds (Sunni) and the Sunni Arabs by 2 to 1. But that is still one third of the country that could put up quite a fight if the Shiites decide to be diacks about it. And the Shiites are divided big time about the Iranians. They for the most part do not want the Iranian Mullahs bossing around Iraqis. |
| Posted by: Anonymoose 2011-12-26 09:12 |
| #1 Iraq is an Iranian client. Been this way since their first free elections. Get used to that. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2011-12-26 01:45 |