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Africa North
Rich Egyptians weigh emigration as Islamists surge
2011-12-04
Has it been mentioned that whoever is running Egypt has only about two months of expenses in cash remaining? What will they do when the top X percent toddles off to foreign climes, taking their bank accounts -- and tax paying habits -- with them?
Don't worry, Uncle Sugar will step up. He always does. And no one says 'thank you' in that part of the world.
It depends. The House of Representatives hasn't been in the mood to hand out treats to ill-mannered foreign pets the way they used to -- as UNESCO and the PA recently became aware.
(AFP) -- For decades, Egypt's Westernised elite kept the country's growing religiosity at arm's length, but a projected Islamist surge in the first post-revolution polls has driven many to think of moving abroad.

Sporting the latest fashions and mingling in upmarket country clubs, Egypt's rich fear a victory for the Moslem Brüderbund and hardline Salafis in the first phase of parliamentary elections presages change ahead. "I hope they don't impose the veil and ban women from driving like in Soddy Arabia," said coquettish fifty-something Naglaa Fahmi from her gym in the leafy neighborhood of Zamalek.

In a nearby luxury hotel, Nardine -- one of Egypt's eight million Coptic Christians who are alarmed by the prospect of a new Islamist-dominated parliament -- is pondering a move abroad. "My father is seriously thinking about sending me and my brothers elsewhere because he thinks we won't have a future in the country with the Salafis," said the banker in her twenties.

Ten months after a popular uprising ended the 30-year autocratic rule of Hosni Mubarak
...The former President-for-Life of Egypt, dumped by popular demand in early 2011...
, millions of Egyptians embraced their new democratic freedoms earlier this week at the start of multi-stage parliamentary elections.

The preliminary results to be published on Friday were expected to show the moderate Moslem Brüderbund as the dominant force, but with a surprisingly strong showing from the hardline Al-Nur party. Its leaders advocate the fundamentalist brand of Salafi Islam, rejecting Western culture and favoring strict segregation of the sexes and the veiling of women. They say they have been the victims of Islamophobia
...the irrational fear that Moslems will act the way they usually do...
and sustained fear-mongering by liberals in the Egyptian media.

Nevertheless, the fear that they will try to impose their values on the rest of society has driven Angie to consider leaving her comfortable Cairo life behind. "My husband recently got a job offer in Dubai. In the beginning I was hesitant, but now, with all that's happening, I'm encouraging him to take the job and I'll join him with our daughter," she said. "The Gulf has become more liberal than Egypt," she told AFP.

For Ahmed Gabri, having the Islamists in power means having his freedoms restricted. "I will leave the country," said Gabri, a Moslem. "I will not stand living in a puritanical climate. Why don't they just let people live the way they want?"

The next parliament will be charged with writing a new constitution and the idea of an Islamist-dominated assembly has sent shockwaves through some segments of society.

Many stress the difference, however, between the various Islamist groups. "They don't scare me. We have democracy now which means we'll be able to remove them if they don't suit us," said Manar, a tall blonde in her 40s.
That was the original plan, yes.
"It's the not the Moslem Brüderbund that worries me because they want to appear in the best light, it's the Salafis that I'm concerned about," she said.

Iman Ragab, a shop assistant, has resigned herself to the election's likely outcome. "This is democracy, you have to accept the results of the ballot," she said.
Posted by:trailing wife

#9  "Egypt's population is the largest in the Arab world, and is generally young, with 35 percent below age 14 and just 4 percent older than 65. Almost 50 percent of the population is below 20 years of age and 39 percent under 15, presenting a real challenge to government in creating job opportunities."

Read more: Egypt - Location and size, Population, Industry, Mining, Manufacturing, Construction, Services http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/economies/Africa/Egypt.html#ixzz1fb0s5uvq

Also Suez canal revenue has been dropping for years, several billion. I look for Suez canal to be a hot spot shortly.
Posted by: Dale   2011-12-04 14:32  

#8  The way, *any* government in Egypt could become very popular right now would be to scrape together whatever money they could and import LOTS of cheap food that Egyptians want to eat. Give it away.

That's the problem. Bread is cheaper than animal feed. Guess what the animals eat - foreign exchange.
Posted by: Eohippus Phater7165   2011-12-04 13:02  

#7  And I'm not so sure Uncle Sugar will want to step up to the plate to save the MB in an election year.

Whether or not President Obama wants to, he'd have to persuade the House Republicans to spend the money. What odds would you give?
Posted by: trailing wife   2011-12-04 11:34  

#6  The way, *any* government in Egypt could become very popular right now would be to scrape together whatever money they could and import LOTS of cheap food that Egyptians want to eat. Give it away.

That is the rub. They don't have enough money to buy LOTS of any kind of food. And I'm not so sure Uncle Sugar will want to step up to the plate to save the MB in an election year.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2011-12-04 09:56  

#5  I am not so pessimistic about Egypt in the short term, or more properly, I am not so pessimistic about the same things.

To start with, because of helpful humanitarianism, and reusing inoculation needles, about 10% of the Egyptian population have hepatitis C. Nothing can be done for them, except what could be done to alleviate the most troubling problem for most people.

That is, they need cheaper food. The way, *any* government in Egypt could become very popular right now would be to scrape together whatever money they could and import LOTS of cheap food that Egyptians want to eat. Give it away.

That would buy a lot of breathing room for whoever is in charge.

As far as who is in charge goes, if it's not the Salafists, then Egypt will remain much the same, with only cosmetic differences. The MB refuses to form a coalition with the Salafists, so their only alternative is to form one with the secularists.

And the MB over the years has frequently culled its membership that were too radical. They spun off into little groups to do their radical thing, but the parent party became increasingly moderate at the same time. This is why the MB has never been classed as a terrorist organization by governments other than Egypt's, and they are intensely aware of the fact.

They are quite aware that they are large, powerful, and *not* shunned. And they most likely want to keep it that way.

Of course, having power is always different than wanting power, but even then they have an excellent example in Turkey of how a more moderate Islamist party can get and keep power.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2011-12-04 09:31  

#4  the Egyptian on the street needs to get the lifestyle they voted for. Crushing religious tyranny, stifled tourism, no food, no jobs.

Fun, fun, fun. You voted for it, you deserve it. Idiots
Posted by: Frank G   2011-12-04 08:54  

#3  ..they're call 'fees'. They have a whole book of examples to follow from their American counterparts who've had decades of creative experience of squeezing blood from a rock.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2011-12-04 08:38  

#2  prohibiting banks from loaning at interest or from paying interest and quite a few other things


That. right there, will doom him, the banks cannot survive without intrest (Call it whatever yoi wosh)
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2011-12-04 01:01  

#1  "...Salafi Islam, rejecting Western culture and favoring strict segregation of the sexes and the veiling of women..."

this includes banning sale and distribution of alcohol, banning all public eating during daylight in Ramadan, prohibiting non Moslems from any supervisory positions where Moslems would be reporting to them, prohibiting outdoor concerts and outdoor art, prohibiting banks from loaning at interest or from paying interest and quite a few other things

notwithstanding this, expect the salafis to begin a charm offense soon with support from much of the western left
Posted by: Lord Garth   2011-12-04 00:15  

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