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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iraq's Syria stance Sunni-Shiite related
2011-11-20
[Al Ahram] Iraq now has a Shiite-led government, but was ruled by members of the country's Sunni minority for most of its history. Syria is ruled by minority Alawites, an offshoot of Shiite Islam, while protesters demanding reforms are largely from its Sunni majority.

More than 3,500 people have been killed in the conflict, according to UN figures.

Iraq has trod carefully in its response to the violence, and was the only country to abstain from a November 12 vote to suspend Syria from the Arab League
...an organization of Arabic-speaking states with 22 member countries and four observers. The League tries to achieve Arab consensus on issues, which usually leaves them doing nothing but a bit of grimacing and mustache cursing...
. "Our country is deeply confessionally divided, and the Shiites voted for (Syrian President) Bashir al-Assad," reacting along sectarian lines, said Hamid Fadhel, a professor of politics at Storied Baghdad
...located along the Tigris River, founded in the 8th century, home of the Abbasid Caliphate...
University.

"Sectarian divisions are already a reality here, with the desire of politicians to create Sunni and Shiite regions," Fadhel said of moves by Sunni-majority Salaheddin province, and earlier by Shiite-majority Basra, to form autonomous regions.

"The same thing that is happening here will arrive in Syria. Syria will be like Iraq and Leb," he said.

Various Iraqi Shiite leaders have said they support the freedom of the Syrian people, but at the same time condemned the vaporous Arab League suspension of Syria on Wednesday.

"Suspending Syria's membership in the Arab League came in an unacceptable way," Iraq government front man Ali al-Dabbagh said on Iraqiya television.

"We want complete freedom for (Syrians), but not in this forced way that moves the Syrian issue... to internationalisation," he said. "This issue is very dangerous."
Iraq's anti-US Shiite holy man Moqtada Tater al-Sadr
... the Iranian catspaw holy man who was 22 years old in 2003 and was nearing 40 in 2010. He spends most of his time in Iran, safely out of the line of fire, where he's learning to be an ayatollah...
said in a recent statement on Syria that "we support your demonstrations to show your opinion."

But at the same time he asserted that there is "a big difference" between events in Syria and other Arab states that have seen anti-regime protests this year, as "Bashir al-Assad is against the American and Israeli presence and his attitudes are clear."

Ali al-Saffar, an Iraq analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit in London, said Iraqi leaders fear instability in Syria spilling over into Iraq, but that Storied Baghdad's position on Syria risks increasing domestic sectarian divisions.

"I think they (Iraqi leaders) to some extent fear Assad being tossed will empower the Sunni majority, and that if there was any instability, that that could spill over... into Iraq," Saffar said.
Syria and Iraq share a 605-kilometre (375-mile) border, and Sunni-majority provinces along the frontier were strongholds of resistance against United States forces and the Shiite-led Iraqi governments that have followed the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled Sunni dictator Saddam Hussein.

Saffar noted that Storied Baghdad's position on Syria is at odds with its strong condemnation of a crackdown by Bahrain's Sunni government on protests led by the kingdom's Shiite-majority in March.
"The Iraqi government took a very strong stance against the violence in Bahrain, or at least it made the right noises back then," Saffar said, which contrasts sharply with its stance on Syria.

"It's going to be very difficult for the Iraqi government to venture, actually, that this is not a sectarian move, and that there are actually internal security implications that they're taking into consideration," he said, referring to Iraq's stance on Syria.

And if the government "is not managing to convince the Iraqi Sunnis that... this isn't a sectarian issue," he said, "then I think it's going to spread the (division) along Iraqi sectarian lines."
Political analyst Ihsan al-Shammari, meanwhile, said he believes Iraq is concerned by the stances of Sunni-ruled Gulf countries.

"Concerned that certain movements that are hostile to the political system in Syria and linked to Gulf states are becoming predominant, Iraq wants to impress upon those countries that it oppose their desire to intensify the crisis in Syria," Shammari said.
Posted by:Fred

#2  The latest is Turkey looking to implement a no fly zone.

We are looking at war from the Med to the Indus to the Caspian Sea. Interesting times.
Posted by: phil_b   2011-11-20 05:02  

#1  No sh*t, Sherlock?
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2011-11-20 02:52  

00:00