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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Columbus blamed for Little Ice Age
2011-10-14
...and a belated Happy Indigenous Peoples Day to everybody.
By sailing to the New World, Christopher Columbus and the other explorers who followed may have set off a chain of events that cooled Europe's climate for centuries.

The European conquest of the Americas decimated the people living there, leaving large areas of cleared land untended. Trees that filled in this territory pulled billions of tons of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, diminishing the heat-trapping capacity of the atmosphere and cooling climate, says Richard Nevle, a geochemist at Stanford University.

"We have a massive reforestation event that's sequestering carbon ... coincident with the European arrival," says Nevle, who described the consequences of this change October 11 at the Geological Society of America annual meeting.
Hah. And you thought trees were good. Evil, evil trees, just pave the damned planet over and be done with it...
Tying together many different lines of evidence, Nevle estimated how much carbon all those new trees would have consumed. He says it was enough to account for most or all of the sudden drop in atmospheric carbon dioxide recorded in Antarctic ice during the 16th and 17th centuries. This depletion of a key greenhouse gas, in turn, may have kicked off Europe's so-called Little Ice Age, centuries of cooler temperatures that followed the Middle Ages.

By the end of the 15th century, between 40 million and 80 million people are thought to have been living in the Americas. Many of them burned trees to make room for crops, leaving behind charcoal deposits that have been found in the soils of Mexico, Nicaragua and other countries.

About 500 years ago, this charcoal accumulation plummeted as the people themselves disappeared. Smallpox, diphtheria and other diseases from Europe ultimately wiped out as much as 90 percent of the indigenous population.

Trees returned, reforesting an area at least the size of California, Nevle estimated. This new growth could have soaked up between 2 billion and 17 billion tons of carbon dioxide from the air.

Ice cores from Antarctica contain air bubbles that show a drop in carbon dioxide around this time. These bubbles suggest that levels of the greenhouse gas decreased by 6 to 10 parts per million between 1525 and the early 1600s.

"There's nothing else happening in the rest of the world at this time, in terms of human land use, that could explain this rapid carbon uptake," says Jed Kaplan, an earth systems scientist at the Federal Polytechnic School of Lausanne in Switzerland.

Reforestation fits with another clue hidden in Antarctic ice, says Nevle. As the population declined in the Americas, carbon dioxide in the atmosphere got heavier. Increasingly, molecules of the gas tended to be made of carbon-13, a naturally occurring isotope with an extra neutron. That could be because tree leaves prefer to take in gas made of carbon-12, leaving the heavier version in the air.

Kaplan points out that there's a lot of uncertainty in such isotope measurements, so this evidence isn't conclusive. But he agrees that the New World pandemics were a major event that can't be ignored -- a tragedy that highlighted mankind's ability to influence the climate long before the industrial revolution.
Once again, everything would be wonderful if only human beings - Westerners, in particular - had never existed. As soon as Al Gore declares the science settled, the UN can take the appropriate measures.
Posted by:lotp

#18  I will take it on advisement since there wasn't even a reproducible temperature scale until Fahrenheit in 1724.
Posted by: Eohippus Phater7165   2011-10-14 20:54  

#17  A question: isn't the CO2 level a lagging rather than leading indicator of climate change?

lotp, thank you for your useful summary.
Posted by: trailing wife   2011-10-14 20:45  

#16  OOOOOOOOOO, you just know ole' Chris wiped out the NORAM Mammoth/Mastodon, sabre-tooths, giant antelopes, etc. + caused Bigfoot!
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2011-10-14 20:35  

#15  A beautifully crafted satirical article from the Onion...err, it's from the Onion, isn't it?
Posted by: tipper   2011-10-14 18:42  

#14  But-but-but (Hockey Stick) Mann, et al., said Hide the decline! there wasn't a Little Ice Age.

I'm so confused....
Posted by: Barbara   2011-10-14 14:47  

#13  I always thought it was Bush'es fault.

(Either that or the (cue sinister music) evil Kosh Brothers.)
Posted by: CrazyFool   2011-10-14 11:59  

#12  USN, Ret. - Go to your room.
Posted by: Pappy   2011-10-14 10:25  

#11  So the http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event
made what influence in world climate?
Posted by: Chomosing Hupimp6046   2011-10-14 10:24  

#10  There has been massive reforestation across the rural areas of the eastern US since the 1930's as small farms were abandoned. Of course it has been more than offset by deforestation in the tropics.
How much land was kept cleared of trees by Indian farmers? I thought the practice was one of clear, farm, move on, since fertilizers were limited.
The Maunder Minimum may have been at fault - the miscorellation in time due to those pesky faster-than-the-speed-of-light particles we've been reading about...
Posted by: Glenmore   2011-10-14 10:04  

#9  CrazyFool, the observation is that the native peoples deforested, but when the pandemics hit much of that land reverted to vegetation again. Another deforestation came later as the european settlers spread west.

The Maunder Minimum hit over a century later than Columbus. It kicked off the depths of the Little Ice Age, but didn't start it. As I remember the data, Nevle is correct that there is a significant downturn during the 16th century that correlates with the rapid spread of pandemics in north America.

Aussie Mike, did you read the whole article? We don't have the full journal paper to analyze yet, but I don't think your back of the envelope calculations prove much. For one thing, the effect of CO2 is not symmetrically linear at the gross level - cooler land accelerates in cooling as the amount of snow/ice increases and winters last longer, thereby reflecting solar energy out into space through an atmosphere with less CO2 to trap it.
Posted by: lotp   2011-10-14 09:35  

#8  What about the massive amount if DEforestation which occured in North America?
Posted by: CrazyFool   2011-10-14 08:10  

#7  Okay, the LIA started about 1350 about 150 yrs before Columbus sailed. The number of people that came to the new world prior to the 19th century was in the hundreds.

The 40-80 million burning trees are all the "native Americans" that predate the Euros so the LIA is all their fault.

Dipshit ain't the half of it.
Posted by: AlanC   2011-10-14 07:39  

#6  I thought the sun had a Maunder Minimum at the time, or something like that?
Posted by: trailing wife   2011-10-14 07:19  

#5  Mike! You're supposed to embrace the concept and leave the math to the professionals!
Posted by: Bobby   2011-10-14 06:20  

#4  Seeing as an extra 300 ppm CO2 is meant to cause a 3 deg C warming according to the IPCC "consensus", 6 to 10 ppm decrease should cause around 0.06 to 0.1 deg C cooling. Maybe a little more but not enough to explain the Little Ice Age. The guy is a dipshit. Wonderful who can claim to be a professional "scientist" nowadays.
Posted by: Aussie Mike   2011-10-14 04:58  

#3  Yes, but with Christopher's help, and the blue pill, we now have 'the fountain of youth'.
Posted by: Skidmark   2011-10-14 00:47  

#2  DOn't believe all that stuff; in fact Chris was one of the world's first greenies; he practiced amazing fuel economy methods. Everybody knows he crossed the entire ocean on just 3 galeions.....
Posted by: USN, Ret.   2011-10-14 00:37  

#1  Still trying to blame CO2.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2011-10-14 00:11  

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