You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Africa North
The Future of the Libyan revolution
2011-09-07
by Dr. Mohamed Elmasry

[Tripoli Post] My two personal contacts with Libya have been at airports and both were shocking.

The first was at Tripoli airport seven years ago. The airport was in a very bad shape considering I was at the capital of an oil rich country. I wondered then why few billion dollars were not spent on the facility.

The second time it was at a London airport's book store three months ago when I picked up the second edition of a 2005 British book with, "He is a prophet and revolutionary. A seer and fighter," the reference was to Muammar Al Qadaffy
...Megalomaniac dictator of Libya, admired everywhere for his garish costumes, funny hats, harem of cutie bodyguards, and incoherent ravings. As far as is known, he is the only person who's ever declared jihad on Switzerland...
and his "vision". I wondered then how much Al Qadaffy paid to get this propaganda published twice, and to whom he paid?

The final chapter of the life of Al Qadaffy has not been written but what we know is shocking even for a dictator. He ruled his country for 42 years as a family business. He held onto power when he was losing his touch with his people.

He claimed to be "The King of African Kings," "Grand Imam of Mohammedans," and "The Dean of Arab Leaders." He managed to buy his way to gain favours with the West. But last week Bab Al-Azziziyah compound in Tripoli, Al Qadaffy's headquarters, was liberated by Libya's revolutionary youth with AK-47s.

For all its oil wealth, Libya is a country that lacks the basic structures of a state and there has been little investment in education, health care or civil society.

Al Qadaffy spent the country's oil revenues on his family and on what he considered revolutionary causes around the globe, from Columbia to Ireland's IRA. But it was his involvement in the Lockerbie affair that unleashed the full wrath of the West and led to an economic embargo that crippled the country.

Two main differences distinguish Libya's revolution from that of Egypt and Tunisia. The first is that Libya has no constitution, no parliament, no legal system, no ruling or opposition parties and no national army but rather a military run by his family to protect him and to keep him in power.

The second is that the response of the Libyan dictator to the peaceful protesters was not to use violence to disperse them as in the case of Egypt and Tunisia.

Instead Al Qadaffy started to use the full military might of his air, land and navy (all run by his sons) to kill all the one million inhabitants of the city of Benghazi near the Egyptian border where the protesting started on 17 February, five days after Mubarak was forced out.

The Libyan people had no choice but to take up arms to protect themselves and their families and to seek the help of the Arab League
...an organization of Arabic-speaking states with 22 member countries and four observers. The League tries to achieve Arab consensus on issues, which usually leaves them doing nothing but a bit of grimacing and mustache cursing...
, the Security Council and NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Originally it was a mutual defense pact directed against an expansionist Soviet Union. In later years it evolved into a mechanism for picking the American pocket while criticizing the cut of the American pants...
to impose a no-fly zone over Libya.

On the military side the challenges facing the people liberation army of the National Transitional Council (NTC) are two folds. One is to capture Al Qadaffy and his family, especially his son Seif Al-Islam who was groomed to take over his father's job.

The second is to liberate Al Qadaffy's hometown of Sirte, a coastal city of 140,000 and the southern desert city of Sebha with a population of 130,000 which has an important military and air force base located at a strategic crossroad to neighbouring African countries of Algeria, Chad, Mali and Niger.

Al Qadaffy failed to mobilise support last week even though he tried hard with his desperate speeches for his people to rise up against "the Crusaders and Western imperialists".

If he is captured alive he will be tried by his own people or by the International Criminal Court
... where Milosevich died of old age before being convicted ...
(ICC) based in The Hague, Netherlands. The NTC leadership rightly cautioned against a policy of vengeance and retribution.

But more challenging to the NTC is to build a modern democratic state with executive, legislative and judicial institutions where there are none. All this has to be done, and soon, by a coalition of contradictory revolutionary factions, many ideological movements and several political interest groups from the far right to the far left.

Is Libya's revolution up to the task? I believe it is.
Posted by:Fred

#4  Remember if you will, Zues did not punish Pandora. Some things are inevitable.
Posted by: Besoeker   2011-09-07 12:03  

#3  Some distinctions don't make a difference. Property rights / courts / communication are key elements of a civil society. A collection of warring tribes, each trying to impose its strong man on the others and steal the others' property, is a long way from that.
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418   2011-09-07 07:34  

#2  > Libya is a country that lacks the basic structures of a state and there has been little investment in education, health care or civil society.

Eh? They're the metastasis of the state. The state is external defence, property rights, courts and communication (i.e. common land to allow citizens to travel between private land).
Posted by: Bright Pebbles   2011-09-07 07:18  

#1  Is Libya's revolution up to the task? I believe it is.

You Arabs believe all kinds of things.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2011-09-07 00:47  

00:00