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India-Pakistan
After Osama: Stop feeding the beast
2011-05-03
[Al Jazeera] After years of former Pak military dictator General Musharraf assuring the world that the late Osama bin Laden
... who has made the transition back to dust...
was either dead or in Afghanistan, he was found and dispatched by US special forces in the town of Abbottabad, a mere 30 miles -- 50km -- as the crow flies from the capital Islamabad.

Abbottabad is a colonial era army "cantonment" or garrison town and home to the Pakistain Military Academy PMA Kakul, less than two miles from the compound in question. To put it in perspective, it is like capturing Carlos the Jackal just down the road from West Point or Sandhurst.

The notion that Pakistain's all pervasive Army-controlled Inter-Services Intelligence was unaware of bin Laden's presence beggars belief.

Although Bush-era National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley feigned total surprise about the location and its implications in an on-air interview after the news broke, WikiLeaks, as well as other sources such as investigative journalist Bob Woodward's most recent book, tell a very different story.

By 2008, the United States political and military leadership had lost all remnants of faith in the trustworthiness of the Pak military and its intelligence wing, the ISI, internally acknowledging that it consistently "hunted with the hounds and ran with the hares", including the Afghan Taliban, the Haqqanis, and the Lashkar-e-Taiba -- and was involved in planning terrorist attacks from Kabul to Mumbai.

Pak intelligence has had a close relationship with bin Laden since the early 1980s, when he acted as a courier, transferring funds from Saudi intelligence and its establishment to the Pak Jamaat-e-Islami to support the anti-Soviet jihad.
Qazi's Jamaat is such an obvious terrorism support organization that it would be asking way too much for the Pak government to crack down on it or even disband it.
It is no surprise that bin Laden chose to relocate to eastern Afghanistan, an area within Pakistain's sphere of influence, in 1996 -- after he was expelled from Sudan under US pressure.

Of course, the relationship has never been smooth -- Pakistain's opportunism alienated al-Qaeda just as much as such behaviour alienated the United States -- but also made it just as indispensable.

Funded by the US taxpayer
Despite this, the United States continued to funnel billions to the Pak armed forces in sophisticated weapons and cash -- most recently a $2 billion package announced in October 2010 under the State Department's Foreign Military Finance Program.

The US is paying, not only for the use of Pakistain as a logistical corridor to its troops in Afghanistan, but for the privilege of conducting an increasingly aggressive covert counter-terrorism campaign on Pak soil -- often against the Pak government's client groups.

Analysis by SISMEC, the New America Foundation and others showed a massive increase in drone strikes in the tribal area of North Wazoo after the summer of 2008, largely aimed at pro-ISI groups such as the Haqqani network.

Most recently, US security contractor Raymond Davis was held in Pakistain for almost two months (17 January to March 16, 2011) after fatally shooting two alleged ISI agents, when he was believed to be surveilling the LeT in Lahore.

As for Davis' claim that he thought he was being robbed, well that one's for the birds. The Davis saga came at the same time that the B.O. regime was reportedly finalising plans for the killing of Osama bin Laden, a coincidence that we are sure we will be hearing more about.

America's first attempt to kill Osama bin Laden came 13 years ago in August 1998, when president Bill Clinton launched "Operation Infinite Reach" in retaliation for the suicide kabooms that devastated US embassies in Nairobi and Daressalam.

Sixty six cruise missiles were launched from the Arabian Sea at camps in eastern Afghanistan to kill Al Qaeda's senior leadership who were due to meet in a shura council.

Pakistain's military leadership was informed by US counterparts shortly before the missiles entered their airspace, just in case they mistook it for an Indian attack (India and Pakistain had just tested nuclear weapons earlier in May).

Shortly after, bin Laden cancelled his planned meeting. Many US officials believe the Pak Army and the ISI tipped bin Laden off.

Covert operations
It is this long and frustrating history that explains why the US chose to conduct this mission covertly and unilaterally.

In spite of face-saving Pak claims of joint execution, it was conducted in much the same way the US might have in a semi-hostile country, such as Syria in October 2008, rather than its proclaimed "frontline ally" in what used to be called the "war on terror".

It seems that Pak authorities had no clear idea of what was going on until it was all over, and a US helicopter bearing the SEAL team and bin Laden's body touched down at Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan.

There is an inevitable question about timing. Why on earth did it take the US so long to succeed?

The standard, official defence was that this was a rugged area, filled with implacably hostile rustics. Today, questions are being finally asked about the Pak Army's complicity.

The truth is deeper, and more unpleasant, and has much to do with the ways in which dictators around the world manipulate US policy with embarrassing ease.

For almost seven years after 9/11, General Musharraf, a warmonger who seized power in a coup in 1999, assured Bush that he was the only man who could hold back the violent fundamentalists and prevent them from seizing control of Pakistain's government and its nuclear weapons.

The US should not push too hard, but rather leave Musharraf to crush the jihad boys.

The reality was that the Pak government deliberately supported the takeover of jihad boy parties -- such as the Islamist MMA alliance in 2003 -- and facilitated the comeback of the Taliban, all the while profiting handsomely from generous US aid and the lifting of nuclear sanctions.

This was despite the fact that democratically elected governments in both Afghanistan (Karzai's 2004 election was accepted as free and fair) and India complained vociferously of the Pak military's support of jihad boy groups in both their countries.

Eventually a newly amalgamated Pak Taliban turned on their former patrons in the government.

Despite this, Pakistain continued to support the Afghan Taliban, the Haqqani group, and the LeT, and the politicians in the US continued to enrich a militarist dictatorship that fanned the flames of extremism at the cost of thousands of Asian and American lives.

A new approach
Since Bush's final year in power, freed from the baleful influence of Donald Rumsfeld, the US has taken a much firmer line with Pakistain's military -- calling its bluff by acting more directly against jihad boys, and demanding ever greater accountability (for example the Kerry-Lugar bill) for the billions in assistance poured into Pakistain.

However these measures were totally inadequate for the stew of militarism, illiteracy, and bad governance.

The Arab Spring has eroded many of the conventional assumptions about the relationship between dictators, Islamists and the West.

In Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and Syria, we heard dictators playing the Islamist card for three decades -- "support us unless you want the faceless myrmidons to win".

The reality has been quite different. Dictators from Musharraf to Mubarak have relied on faceless myrmidons and Orcs and similar vermin to bring in the US aid they so desperately need to survive.

In the case of the Pak Army, they have been only too happy to feed the hand that bites them.

Musharraf, having worn out the patience of both the Pak public and his US patrons was finally forced out in August 2008.

He has been replaced with a weak civilian government that has served as little more than a useful facade for an army that remains addicted to both jihad and US money.

It is a stark warning of what the Arab Spring in Tunisia and Egypt can turn into unless people remain vigilant.

Today, the US continues to lavishly fund the Pak military, while using drones and secret soldiers such as Raymond Davis to attack the jihad boy forces that the same regime supports. It is up to the US to stop feeding the beast.
Posted by:Fred

#14  The pic is available at the link, you just have to look around and find the link and click it. There are a couple right below the "missing" picture.

Obviously a fake.
Posted by: gorb   2011-05-03 21:05  

#13  One other thing to consider. The US does not want to be seen killing all these people off. But that's not an obstacle in the region if you approach it right. An indirect approach might take a bit longer but can be more effective. For instance: if other agencies of nations hostile to Pakistan are active there, simply revealing the ISI person of interest to the right people is enough to guarantee their disappearance (for interrogation) or demise without a whiff of US involvement. And it does wonders in improving the other agency/nation's relationship with the US, clandestinely. Just something to consider.
Posted by: OldSpook   2011-05-03 20:17  

#12  Speamble Wittlesbach8094, a price will be extracted. As long as the Executive branch and certain legislative persons don't get in the way. Its just taken a while for the bulk of the IC to catch up to the view that the ISI is not only not our friend, but is an active enemy in many instances. This raid hammered the point home rather well.
Posted by: OldSpook   2011-05-03 20:10  

#11  The US should start permanently dispatching ISI people promptly and in large numbers. There must be a price paid by directly the Pakistani intelligence rank and file as well as leadership for screwing with us like that. Cutting funding does nothing in the long run.
Posted by: Speamble Wittlesbach8094   2011-05-03 16:47  

#10  Ummm, Newc, your picture's gone.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2011-05-03 15:41  

#9  I think that's the fake pic, newc - I'm eagerly awaiting the real one.
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2011-05-03 13:14  

#8  I thought the Special Ops guys got him during Cast Lead - at least thats what I was told. Just saw the picture - they truly got him this time.
Posted by: newc   2011-05-03 12:55  

#7  i too thought he was dead.
Posted by: bman   2011-05-03 11:03  

#6  Obambi was trapped into it.

He would have had a full blown riot on his hands if word had leaked that he knew where OBL/UBL(who cares, he's dead) was and did not take action.

He also was looking at plummeting poll numbers. He did it for the votes and he did it for the PR.

As for where OBL/UBL(who cares he's dead) was, I always thought he was living in Detroit working for CAIR or was in Riverside down the street from me or running a Motel 6 in Daggett.
Posted by: Bill Clinton   2011-05-03 10:43  

#5  #1 None of this is news. Aside from the folks who have been claiming for years that OBL was dead (you know who you are), who didn't think he was in Pakistan?

that would be me on both counts
Posted by: Frank G   2011-05-03 09:52  

#4  I suspect a lot of folks at the top in Pakistan might not have known about this, or were afraid of the ISI. This raid exposes the ISI internationally. We are fools if we don't drop some names of bad people indicating them as informants in order to get them killed or at least scurrying for cover.

As for Pakistan. We should not declare them as an Enemy. We are involved in too many places now. But we should increase friendly relations with India and set up some ops that are designed to root out informants within the ISI, or set them up. Say let them in on a mission to extract someone, then bomb that extraction point instead, sewing distrust between the ISI and Al Queda and killing any ISI that hope to help prevent such an extraction.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2011-05-03 08:55  

#3  what did Bammo trade the Pakistanis for OBL's life?

I'm thinking back not too long ago about the uproar over the station officer in Pakland and the shooting of two 'suspected' ISI agents before they shot him and the ensuing diplomatic hissy fit. Obama might have been facing a mutiny over at the agency. Regardless of his man at the top, with his numbers tumbling, he didn't need to have the place start leaking as during the Bush administration. In effect, Pakland got thrown under the bus. Given the man's tendency to be petulant, it fits the scenario.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2011-05-03 08:40  

#2  Too true how dictators like Perv,Mubarak and Saleh have been using the Bogey man-The Islamists to gain money from the West.

This must stop as recent events show how unpopular Islamist parties really are!
Posted by: Black Bart Phuling7750   2011-05-03 06:59  

#1  None of this is news. Aside from the folks who have been claiming for years that OBL was dead (you know who you are), who didn't think he was in Pakistan?

Which begs the question, what did Bammo trade the Pakistanis for OBL's life?
Posted by: Iblis   2011-05-03 00:43  

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