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China-Japan-Koreas
U.S. not to redeploy tactical nukes in S. Korea
2010-12-28
WASHINGTON, Dec. 27 (Yonhap) -- The United States does not have any interest in redeploying tactical nuclear weapons in South Korea due to the enhanced mobility of its weapons system and the South Korean public's antipathy toward nuclear weapons, a scholar said Monday.

"In an age of jet aircraft and intercontinental missiles, we don't need to forward-deploy nuclear weapons," Jeffrey Lewis, director of the Nuclear Strategy and Nonproliferation Initiative at the New America Foundation, said in a contribution to the Web site of "38 North," specializing in North Korean affairs. "Putting U.S. nuclear weapons back into South Korea is a dumb idea."
We can deliver from anywhere in about an hour, so he's got a point ...
Last month, then-South Korean Defense Minister Kim Tae-young said he would consider discussing with the U.S. redeploying U.S. tactical nuclear weapons back in South Korea, where all U.S. nuclear weapons were removed in 1991.

The removal took place as South Korea and North Korea signed an agreement calling for denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and inter-Korean rapprochement. The U.S. then withdrew its global forward deployment strategy.

Kim's remarks were quickly withdrawn by the presidential office, Cheong Wa Dea, and the Defense Ministry, but spawned heated debate on the issue. Nuclear-armed North Korea has made a series of provocations in recent months, including the sinking of South Korean warship and shelling of an island near the western sea border and made repeated threats of a nuclear war.

Lewis took note of the Bush administration's pledge to "deploy nuclear-armed Tomahawk missiles aboard attack submarines" and the Obama administration's commitment to "making a new fighter, the F-35, nuclear-capable and keeping the ability to forward deploy nuclear-capable B-2 bombers to Guam."

"The United States Air Force has absolutely zero interest in forward deploying tactical nuclear weapons," the scholar said. "Ask any Air Force officer about the 180 gravity bombs the United States still keeps in Europe. He'll tell you that they should have gone home years ago. South Korea doesn't have the facilities to handle forward-deployed gravity bombs and a U.S. support unit would need to be established and deployed."

Lewis also noted the South Korean public "remains ambivalent about South Korea's close relationship with the United States."

"South Korea is a vibrant democracy, which is a good thing," he said. "That vibrance, however, often expresses itself in the form of riots, sometimes directed at the United States and its military forces stationed in South Korea."

Lewis said any redeployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons in South Korea would be dumber than allowing Seoul to have its own nuclear weapons.

"Why not let South Korea have some totally useless nuclear weapons?" he asked. "As manifestly stupid ideas go, is it any dumber than the U.S. nuclear weapons stationed in Turkey with no evident means of delivering them?"

The U.S. maintains a nuclear cooperation agreement with South Korea that bans Seoul from enriching uranium or reprocessing spent nuclear fuel for fear of Seoul making nuclear bombs.

Late South Korean President Park Chung-hee sought a clandestine project for the development of nuclear weapons in the 1970s to cope with military threats from the North after the U.S. took steps to reduce its troops in Korea. Park's ambitions were thwarted by the U.S., which successfully pressured France and Canada to refrain from helping South Korea build nuclear reactors capable of producing weapons-grade material.

A report of the U.S. Joint Forces Command said in February, "Several friends or allies of the United States, such as Japan and South Korea, are highly advanced technological states and could quickly build nuclear devices if they chose to do so."
Posted by:Steve White

#8  Japan could have nukes in 6 weeks, Taiwan in about 18 months.

Not much good if the NorKs use a nuke. China could effectively crack the diplomatic whip on behalf of its client in less than an hour.
Posted by: Pappy   2010-12-28 21:53  

#7  Taiwan oughta get crackin'. Bambi ain't coming to their rescue.
Posted by: Hellfish   2010-12-28 21:39  

#6  Japan could have nukes in 6 weeks, Taiwan in about 18 months. Not sure on the South Koreans.
Posted by: Shieldwolf   2010-12-28 15:12  

#5  Doesn't matter about tactical nukes. The NORKS know that if they used nukes against the SKORS, Obama would respond with a UN resolution and a strongly worded letter. So much for deterrence. If I were the SKORS (or Japan or Taiwan) for that matter, I'd be rushing to produce my own nukes.
Posted by: CincinnatusChili   2010-12-28 15:09  

#4  Lemme play devil's advocate for a bit and throw out an off-the-wall argument.

Bringing nukes into a country and stationing them there is a long process. Getting nukes out of a country (vis a vis Turkey) is a long process. It implies there's going to be a long-term commitment to that country's defense.

Yes, there's nukes on a variety of US delivery platforms and perhaps they can be delivered in about an hour. The question then becomes: Would they be delivered when necessary?

Part of the South Korean government's request is theatrics, mostly for internal consumption. But I think that part is the South Korean government's concern of where US commitment stands.

Considering who the scholar represents, a better rephrasing of Mr. Lewis' comment would be 'the South Korean public U.S. left-leaning political elite "remains ambivalent about South Korea's close relationship with the United States" '.

Then again, that could be said on behalf of a lot of countries.
Posted by: Pappy   2010-12-28 12:47  

#3  I agree. We have nukes on subs and carriers, why the hell would we want to open up that can of political worms by adding tactical nukes? The South can't and won't use 'em and we have much better conventional options now than a tactical nuke. Hell, one MRLS battalion will do the work of a tactical nuke these days.
Posted by: DarthVader   2010-12-28 11:43  

#2  Board of Directors of the New America Foundation.
Posted by: Pappy   2010-12-28 01:22  

#1  Wel-l-l, PEOPLES DAILY FORUM > A HUGE SLAP IN THE FACE OF CHINA'S MILITARY LEADERS [US ONI Report describing PLA assets as potential "sitting ducks"].

ONI REPORT also read = DESPITE IMPROVEMENTS, CHINA + CPLA HAVE GOT A long Long LONG L-O-N-G WAYS TO GO YET.

The comments of RUSS DEFENSE MINISTER SERDYUKOV dismissing the threat to Russia + USA from China's growng nuclear arsenal ADDS THE PROVERBIAL "INSULT-TO-INJURY"???
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2010-12-28 00:22  

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