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| --Tech & Moderator Notes |
| Election Projection |
| 2010-11-02 |
| In the comments, enter your predictions for -- 1) Final number of seats the Pubs gain in the US House (e.g., R+72) 2) Final number of seats the Pubs gain in the US Senate (e.g., R+8) 3) Tiebreakers -- a) who wins, Fiorina or Boxer? b) who wins, Sielat or Frank? c) what time (EDT) does MS-NBC start blaming the American people? Should be fun. Vote until 7 am EDT tomorrow (we'll roll this over at midnight tonight). Winner gets bragging rights and the right to say 'Arclight' without having to buy rounds in the O Club (one time only). AoS |
| Posted by:Steve White |
| #55 Col. West is IN! |
| Posted by: GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 23:42 |
| #54 Col. West is IN! |
| Posted by: GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 23:42 |
| #53 Shocka! Rick Boucher (Dem Representative, Va.) defeated. That was unexpected. Hot double damn! :-D |
| Posted by: Barbara Skolaut 2010-11-02 23:18 |
| #52 #42 Blondie - I'm happy to say Webster was one of the people I contributed to. Glad Grayson has been shown the door. Even though my donation was very small ($50), I received a hand-written note from his wife thanking me. I've never heard of such a thing. I was so impressed I sent them an extra $25. (I didn't really need those books I was going to buy with that money, anyway.) I'm starting my 2012 donation fund now. I figure at least $10/paycheck put aside (and more when I get some overtime) should add up in the next 2 years. :-D |
| Posted by: Barbara Skolaut 2010-11-02 22:37 |
| #51 News agencies are calling the house won for the 'pubs. |
| Posted by: DarthVader 2010-11-02 22:33 |
| #50 Love to see Barney Frank and Weaselface Waxman investigated. |
| Posted by: OldSpook 2010-11-02 22:20 |
| #49 Barney in a minority is now subject to ethics and corruption investigations. Count me among the Darrell Issa fans |
| Posted by: Frank G 2010-11-02 21:48 |
| #48 They just called it for Barney. |
| Posted by: tu3031 2010-11-02 21:42 |
| #47 Col. West is leading 57% to 43% |
| Posted by: GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 21:37 |
| #46 6:13 PM PST and Fox sez Madam Pelosi has to turn over the big gavel. Come January? Back to the back benches, bitch |
| Posted by: Frank G 2010-11-02 21:23 |
| #45 GBUSMC, dont even go there for Grayson, he's a completely contemptible Anyway glad to see his ass OUT of Congress. People with rabies should not hold office. |
| Posted by: OldSpook 2010-11-02 20:56 |
| #44 Well, it appears the botox is still eating away at Madame Speaker's brain... House Speaker Nancy Pelosi rejected numerous polls predicting a Republican landslide among House candidates and defiantly predicted tonight that Democrats will retain control of the House of Representatives. "The early returns and overwhelming number of Democrats who are coming out – we're on pace to maintain a majority in the House of Representatives," Pelosi told reporters during a photo op in Washington. |
| Posted by: tu3031 2010-11-02 20:47 |
| #43 another notch on the Remove-A-Dick-O'meter |
| Posted by: Frank G 2010-11-02 20:43 |
| #42 Ding dong, Grayson's gone! I can go to sleep happy now. Christie/Rubio '12. Heard it here first. ;) |
| Posted by: Swamp Blondie 2010-11-02 20:43 |
| #41 Alan |
| Posted by: GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 20:30 |
| #40 Drudge has Boxer over Fiorina, so I think I'm off to a good start with my picks.... |
| Posted by: Scooter McGruder 2010-11-02 20:05 |
| #39 This is what Drudge has based on exit polls, and we all know how reliable they are. Arkansas: Boozman (R) over Lincoln (D) Ohio: Portman (R) over Fisher (D) North Dakota: Hoeven (R) over Potter (D) Wisconsin: Johnson (R) over Feingold (D) |
| Posted by: Deacon Blues 2010-11-02 18:37 |
| #38 1) 60 2) 8 3a) Boxer 3b) Frank 3c) What time does the show start? ;-P I hope that my predictions are way too pessimistic and that the tea-nami blows away all the usual number crunching strategies - BUT I'm pegging my guess to that of Michael Barone, because I am in awe of his grasp of the data and his analytical prowess generally. Here are some guesses by some notable conservatives over at the Washington Examiner. |
| Posted by: ryuge 2010-11-02 18:27 |
| #37 Good luck! I will stay up to watch the results |
| Posted by: European Conservative 2010-11-02 18:21 |
| #36 I have a side bet going with one of the guys in our Florida office: Rubio's margin of victory over his nearest competitor in Florida versus Portman's margin over "Landslide Lee" Fisher here in Ohio. A bottle of Scotch is riding on it. |
| Posted by: Mike 2010-11-02 17:11 |
| #35 #32 was me. I am full of vinegar though. |
| Posted by: charger 2010-11-02 16:17 |
| #34 I'm surprised so many people predict Fiorina will take it. I just can't see the Boxer machine failing to get the fix in. |
| Posted by: Scooter McGruder 2010-11-02 16:13 |
| #33 I'd love if both Boxer and Frank lost. Both need booting. They are part of what's wrong with the state of the economy and the nation. However, California and Massachusetts are involved. |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2010-11-02 16:13 |
| #32 1) +64 2) +7 3) a)Boxer (Forget it, Jake. It's California.) b)Frank (Bielat fails by the margin of fraud) c)7:47:12 p.m. EDT |
| Posted by: Vinegar Elmaimp3194 2010-11-02 15:56 |
| #31 "c) what time (EDT) does MS-NBC start blaming the American people?" 7:01 p.m. EDT. |
| Posted by: Barbara Skolaut 2010-11-02 15:29 |
| #30 1) +51 2) +7 3) a) Fiorina b) Frank c) 1968 (isn't that obvious?) |
| Posted by: no mo uro 2010-11-02 14:41 |
| #29 1) +80 2) +12 3a) Fiorina (+3) 3b) Sielat (+2) 3c) 7:01 PM |
| Posted by: BigEd 2010-11-02 13:46 |
| #28 good point beavis also, I left off that INDIANA polls close at 6 pm EDT (and I think the whole state is now on Eastern time) |
| Posted by: lord garth 2010-11-02 12:02 |
| #27 LG don't forget the FL pan handle is an hour behind so they officially aren't supposed to release anything until after those polls close at 8 edt. |
| Posted by: Beavis 2010-11-02 09:02 |
| #26 re: 3c Indiana polls close at pm EDT. Most of the State should have reported by 630pm EDT. Florida, GA, Virginia, Vermont close at 7 pm EDT. Results from those States should be coming in by 8 pm EDT. MSNBC has already been blaming voters. They also blame Bush, Obama (for not communicating or not being aggressive enough), FoxNews, Harry Reid (for not being cute and also not scheduling a vote on cap & trade), Bill Clinton (for not supporting ObamaCare when it counted), the Senate Democrats (for taking too long to debate Obamacare), the Supreme Court (for the decision allowing more free speech in campaign funding), various cabinet officials (especially in the Treasury Dept), DrudgeReport and probably they could blame Rantburg also I suppose. |
| Posted by: lord garth 2010-11-02 08:41 |
| #25 1) R+76 2) R+10 3a) Boxer (I suspect the fix is in) 3b) Sielat 3c) 10AM 11/2 |
| Posted by: CrazyFool 2010-11-02 08:30 |
| #24 1)+65 2)+7 3a)Boxer 3b)Frank 3c)When did they not? Of more concern to me: Kirk over Giannoulias (IL Senate), Brady over Quinn (IL gov) |
| Posted by: Spot 2010-11-02 08:19 |
| #23 Pubs gain 80 in the house, 8 in the senate. I'll be a contrarian and say Fiorina and Sielat barely win, with litigation to follow. (There will be "missing" ballots that turn up weeks later, but strangely enough, none of them will be from military personnel serving overseas. All will be favorable to the Dems. Just a coincidence, really.) PMS-NBC already started the blame game, along with the other usual suspects (Puffington Ho, CNN, Slate/Salon). Will now start with the BS line about how this is really a "victory" and puts them in a great position for 2012 with a huge honkin' win for the O. I'm just looking forward to hearing the lamentations of their "women" (Madcow, Behar, Garofalo, Olbermann). And Grayson getting defeated in the next district over. |
| Posted by: Swamp Blondie 2010-11-02 07:48 |
| #22 I voted absentee 2 weeks ago but... 1. 67 2. 5 3a. Boxer b. Fwank c. About one second after the polls close on the East Coast cause they'll realize the Dems/Messiah got crushed. |
| Posted by: Bangkok Billy 2010-11-02 07:33 |
| #21 We'll see. 1) R+87 2) R+7 3) A)Fiorina B)Sielat C) 4pm (Though they've kind of started already) |
| Posted by: Silentbrick 2010-11-02 00:48 |
| #20 Lots of illegal aliens, dead and pretend people will vote many times each to insured Democratic wins in Illinois. |
| Posted by: Water Modem 2010-11-01 22:52 |
| #19 1) R+86 2) R+9 3a) Fiorina 3b) Fwank (Not Frank G!) 3c) 7:15PM |
| Posted by: Muggsy Glink 2010-11-01 22:36 |
| #18 I'm just hoping Ryan Frazier wins. I'll actually know a Congressman - and even better, he's a good one. |
| Posted by: OldSpook 2010-11-01 22:02 |
| #17 Political Class wins, you lose. |
| Posted by: Bright Pebbles 2010-11-01 21:24 |
| #16 1) R+75 2) R+9 3a) Fiorina 3b) Frank (ugg) 3c) 9:00, thus giving everyone plenty of time to have a beer or two in celebration |
| Posted by: IG-88 2010-11-01 20:59 |
| #15 R +67 R +10 Boxer (ugh, ugh) I say that with great disdain. Frank (ugh, ugh) Same comment. I'll say 10 p.m. (I don't think MSNBC ever stopped blaming the American people.) |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2010-11-01 20:52 |
| #14 Got no idea. I've already started drinking. The Dems are masters of "finding" new un-counted ballots. |
| Posted by: Deacon Blues 2010-11-01 19:31 |
| #13 1) 85 2) 9 3a) Fiorina 3b) Frank 3c) 7PM |
| Posted by: Frank G 2010-11-01 19:14 |
| #12 1) R+80 2) R+9 3a) Boxer 3b) Bielat 3c) 7:32 pm EST |
| Posted by: Scooter McGruder 2010-11-01 19:02 |
| #11 1) R+77 2) R+9 3a) Fiorina 3b) Sielat 3c) 10:05 PM |
| Posted by: Iblis 2010-11-01 18:03 |
| #10 #1 My predictions 1) R+81 2) R+9 3a) Fiorina 3b) Frank 3c) already started via lending credence to Obama rantings Warty |
| Posted by: Warthog 2010-11-01 16:53 |
| #9 Remember Boss Tweed of Tammany Hall's motto: "In counting, there is strength" |
| Posted by: rwv 2010-11-01 16:52 |
| #8 House R+56 Senate R+6 Boxer Frank They started weeks (months?) ago. Remember who counts the votes in most of the close jurisdictions. Dems NEVER lose under those circumstances. |
| Posted by: Glenmore 2010-11-01 16:36 |
| #7 My prediction is based on them not finding "extra" ballots once the counting is done. |
| Posted by: Cyber Sarge 2010-11-01 16:29 |
| #6 I entered another pool two weeks ago betting R +60 in the House and R +10 in the Senate. I'm starting to wonder if that House number is pessimistic. For this pool, let's try this: - House R +78 - Senate R + 10 - Carly "Demonsheep" Fiorina beats Barbara Boxturtle - Sean Beilat shocks the world by beating Barney Frank - 8:35 pm, as Keith Olbermann has an on-air psychotic break Those of you in Ohio, please be sure to vote and help rid our fair state of Ted Strickland! |
| Posted by: Mike 2010-11-01 16:26 |
| #5 I don't want to jinx it but Carly has a VERY good chance of kicking Babs out of office. (crossing fingers) |
| Posted by: Cyber Sarge 2010-11-01 16:26 |
| #4 R+71 R+7 Fiorina Frank Sep 13th 2001 And since Steve said the magic word without having won, I'd like to thank him for my drink. |
| Posted by: Mike N. 2010-11-01 16:20 |
| #3 1. R +75 2. R +8 3. a) Litigation 3. b) Frank (too bad not G) 3. c) 8:42 pm EDT 11/1/10 |
| Posted by: Nimble Spemble 2010-11-01 16:11 |
| #2 R+75/10, Fiorina/Frank, 8:42am EDT |
| Posted by: gorb 2010-11-01 15:57 |
| #1 My predictions 1) R+72 2) R+8 3a) Fiorina 3b) Frank (ugh) 3c) 8:42 pm EDT Steve |
| Posted by: Steve White 2010-11-01 15:32 |