In an election for New York Governor today, 09/22/10, 1 week after the Primary and 6 weeks until the General Election, Democrat Andrew Cuomo defeats Republican Carl Paladino 49% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for Gannett, including WGRZ-TV in Buffalo, The Rochester Democrat & Chronicle, and the Journal News in White Plains.Lower-income voters account for all of Cuomo's lead. The contest is effectively even among middle-income and upper-income voters. Cuomo leads 2:1 in New York City. Paladino leads 5:3 in Western NY. The candidates are effectively even in the NYC suburbs and Upstate. Consistent with SurveyUSA polling in other statewide races: men in 2010 are voting Republican, women in 2010 are voting Democrat; there is a 34-point gender gap for Governor.
New York voters will, unusually, elect 2 United States Senators in 2010. In the Special Election to fill the final 2 years of Hillary Rodham Clinton's term, incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand and former Congressman Republican Joe DioGuardi today finish effectively even, Gillibrand's nominal 1-point lead being within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error. Gillibrand leads in the 5 boroughs of NYC, trails elsewhere. Men vote Republican, women vote Democrat and, in this contest, cancel each other out. Lower-income voters break significantly Democrat. Middle-income and upper-income voters break slightly Republican.