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Science & Technology
Copenhagen climate conference: World risks 4C rise even if there is a deal
2009-12-05
The UN summit in the Danish capital is likely to end in a global deal to limit greenhouse gases in order to control global warming.

But writing in the journal Nature, a group of leading academics, have warned that unless countries meet their most ambitious targets temperature rises will go above 3.6F (2C).

If there is a "weak agreement" temperatures may even rise by 7.2F (4C) by the 2060s.

This will mean melting of the glaciers, sea level rise, mass droughts and flooding.

Mark New of the University of Oxford and one of the authors of the paper, said even countries like Britain could suffer from problems like mass migration and food shortages.

"Even affluent communities would see substantial and unprecedented changes to how they live, while for the majority, fundamental transformations might be necessary for survival."

Dr New called for a rich countries to increase their targets, while also giving developing nations help to reduce emissions. He also said it will be necessary to help vulnerable countries like Bangladesh adapt to sea level rise and other impacts of warming.

"The challenges involved in reducting emissions soon and fast enough to have even a small chance of keeping temperatures below 2C are much larger than most people realise, requiring unprecedented collective will among the governments of both the developed and developing world. Ongoing climate negotiations offer little to suggest that sufficient collective will currently exists to meet this mitigation challenge. The risk of allowing the world to experience 4C of warming this century demands both accelerated efforts at effective mitigation and serious planning for adaptationto changes that may be larger than those usually considered."
Posted by:Fred

#13  We had snow Thursday, and it's supposed to start again tonight. Thursday night was COLD - -1F. We usually don't get temps like that until January.

The idiots predicting the "end of the world" all have their names on those emails I've downloaded and been reading. The most overwhelming sense one gets from those emails is utter contempt for anyone not in their little "group". They should all be forced to emigrate to Alice Springs or Coober Peady in Australia, and be forced to live on charity.
Posted by: Old Patriot   2009-12-05 22:28  

#12  21 Degrees, right here, right now, in central Alabama to boot. (Montgomery area)

Global Hysteria is a far bettr name.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2009-12-05 22:18  

#11  "World risks 4C rise even if there is a deal"

I wish it would hurry the hell UP!

Nothing's a much fun as packing the car after a craft show, in cold rain changing to snow - in early December - in central Virginia.

These clowns keep promising Gerbil Worming - when are they going to deliver? >:-(
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2009-12-05 22:03  

#10  the place where you live was under a mile or two of ice 10,000 years ago.

Holey shit! I'm surpised the 3 million degrees of the earths core didn't melt that.
Posted by: Shipman   2009-12-05 16:18  

#9  What is the perfect global temperature anyway?
For which month? JOE! is keeping my sekret data sekret, but I can crank out a number for you if you will write the month you're interested in on the back of quality 500K negotiable dollar bond I can may cough up an answer in dawgs good time.
Posted by: Shipman   2009-12-05 13:31  

#8  If you live in much of the northern US, the place where you live was under a mile or two of ice 10,000 years ago. That's just a blink of the eye in geological time. The earth's climate changes, and has changed for billions of years before we arrived on the scene. It will continue to change whether or not we allow a bunch of crooked politicians to cheat us out of several hundred billion dollars.
Posted by: DMFD   2009-12-05 13:23  

#7  What is the perfect global temperature anyway? Seriously, there doesnÂ’t seem to be a consensus on what earthsÂ’ optimal median temperature should be. It may sound incredibly ignorant but maybe a slight temperature increase may be a good thing – or at least not necessarily a universal bad thing. If the climate gurus are correct life may get even more unpredictable for the folks that live in a flood plain but I get an extension on my growing season. And isnÂ’t evolution what the Gaia worshipers are all about?
Posted by: DepotGuy   2009-12-05 13:05  

#6  GIGO. Garbage in---garbage out.

Wotta scam!
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2009-12-05 12:17  

#5  It's snowing in North carolina this morning...
Posted by: Parabellum   2009-12-05 10:25  

#4  Why not 40 degrees? Why not 400? The computer models are set up to spit out whatever result is desired after all.
Posted by: Iblis   2009-12-05 10:18  

#3  Snowing nicely in Maryland this morning.
Posted by: eLarson   2009-12-05 09:39  

#2  Would it hurry up and get warm already- I'm frickin freezing here!
Posted by: Nimrod Finster   2009-12-05 09:05  

#1  Meanwhile Senator Vreenak reviews a flashdrive full of climate model predictions.
Posted by: DMFD   2009-12-05 03:00  

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