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| Home Front: Politix |
| New dangers for Dems in 2010 |
| 2009-11-29 |
| Are storm clouds brewing on the horizon for Democrats? That's the bad news for Dems from a source that usually prefers news that makes Republicans look bad. When voters were asked if they will "definitely vote" or not in next year's congressional elections, the latest weekly tracking poll commissioned by the decidedly liberal Daily Kos shows a growing enthusiasm gap in favor of Republicans. It breaks down like this. The first number is certain or likely to vote; the second is unlikely or certain not to vote. Republican Voters: 81 / 14That means 81 percent of self-described Republicans say they are certain or likely to vote, compared to 65 percent of independent voters and only 56 percent of Democrats. And note that Democrats are three times more likely to say they won't vote in 2010 than Republicans are and almost twice as likely as independents. Where has all the enthusiasm gone? We know conservatives and Republicans were getting fired up even before Sarah Palin's book tour began. Independents also have been drifting measurably to the right in recent polls — not to mention the recent off-year gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey—partly because of misgivings about a spendthrift Washington run by Democrats. At the same time, progressives are demoralized or burned out by Washington's political compromising on issues like health care, Afghanistan and Guantanamo. Young voters, their Obama fever flamed out, have retreated to study for finals or look for work amid growing unemployment. Kos thinks these numbers, which are enough to make any liberal nervous, "make passing legitimate health care reform an absolute political necessity for Democrats." Unless the conservative Democrats panic, forget to dance with the ones that brung 'em and run even farther to the right, further extinguishing whatever fire is left beneath their base. That's just my theory. I'd like to hear yours. |
| Posted by:Fred |
| #4 People are more likely to vote against something they despise than for something. |
| Posted by: Omusomp Darling of the Hemps3369 2009-11-29 13:19 |
| #3 True, the Democrats will simply expand their "margin of fraud". |
| Posted by: DMFD 2009-11-29 10:50 |
| #2 1. It's early. 2. The Donks have yet to expand their rolls by the ?Million of amnestied illegals. 3. If Holder, etal, have their way, the reborn ACORN will be just as, if not stronger, than before.... |
| Posted by: Uncle Phester 2009-11-29 09:48 |
| #1 You hear people complaining about negative campaigning, But, people are more inspired to get out and vote against something than for something. |
| Posted by: Formerly Dan 2009-11-29 09:13 |