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Afghanistan
Afghanistan 2011: Three Scenarios
2009-10-21
Posted by:tipper

#3  Scenario 1: end heroin-jihad connection
Scenario 2: end heroin-jihad connection
Scenario 3: end heroin-jihad connection
ad nauseum
Posted by: Bugs Slath3086   2009-10-21 15:49  

#2  Insurgent. Uh huh.
Posted by: trailing wife   2009-10-21 07:18  

#1  In the “worst-case” and most unlikely scenario, Afghanistan returns to pre-9/11 conditions where insurgent groups again gain control of the nation, reestablish an Islamic Emirate, and grant refuge to transnational terror groups.

Won't happen, because the Soviet Union is gone and the situation that brought the Taliban to power won't happen again - once side armed by the Paks and the other by no one. Uzbeckistan and Tadjickistan will support their ethnic brothers in a civil war.
Posted by: phil_b   2009-10-21 04:27  

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