HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
200 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 2009
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RICK STILL STRENGTHENING...MAY BECOME A
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TONIGHT...
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES ...470 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 660 MILES...1065 KM ...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE HURRICANE MOVES GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH... 240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES RICK AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND RICK COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES...250 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.
OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.8N 104.5W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT.
