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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
UK Met Office runs 400 Climate Change Models, finds three they like
2009-06-18
British summers could soon be akin to those in the drought-ridden Mediterranean and our winters characterised by severe flooding, according to a new report on climate change.

UK Climate Impacts Report predicts extremes of temperature will hit the UK if global temperatures continue to rise.

The report is the Met Office's most comprehensive assessment yet of what might happen by the middle to end of the century.

The head of climate predictions at the Met Office, James Murphy, told Sky News Online: "Certainly we would expect much warmer wetter winters to be part of the story and also a risk of drier summers.

"The report will confirm some of the broad storylines that have emerged before. However, what it does for the time is to quantify the risks associated with different levels of change."

The Met Office climate experts used their software to run 400 different computer models. They wanted to understand the range of future climate changes the UK might have to deal with over the next 100 years.

The Met Office came up with three scenarios - low, medium and high - depending on how much carbon we emit over the next century. Even the medium climate predictions are gloomy - for example, in 2003, more than 30,000 people, and perhaps as many as 70,000, died in a Europe-wide heatwave.

The report warns that even if we can constrain global temperature rise to 2C, such record temperatures could occur every other year. Under the worst possible scenario, temperatures could rise by up to 8C by 2080.

The consequences of that would be catastrophic.

With 75% of the UK's land given over to agriculture, farmers will be among those most affected by changes.

At Otter Farm in Devon, Mark Diacono has already started to grow peaches and apricots and even has a small olive grove. He told Sky News Online: "It's not often you get to look into the future and we're absolutely committed to certain levels of climate change, so you've got to adapt to survive.

"Otherwise, the changes are going to be forced on you.

"You've got to try to make your farming and growing more resilient."

While some of today's predictions may look alarming, the experts say there is still time to stop the worst from happening if we are prepared to make the necessary changes.
Posted by:GolfBravoUSMC

#8  How many people died last winter due to cold/storms?
Do they really want cold, cold winters with massive snowfall?
Or is the climate right now (or a few years ago) perfect, and it must never change?
Posted by: Rambler in Virginia   2009-06-18 21:29  

#7  My God. British wine again?!

yep - whites. Serve warm
Posted by: Frank G   2009-06-18 20:16  

#6  In 2003, more than 30,000 people, and perhaps as many as 70,000, died in a Europe-wide heatwave.

I thought that had more to do with families going on vacation and leaving the grandparents at home unattended and without air conditioning. On the plus side, it saved a bundle on the national health care budget.

With 75% of the UK's land given over to agriculture, farmers will be among those most affected by changes.
My God. British wine again?!
Posted by: swksvolFF   2009-06-18 19:58  

#5  Climate "models" don't produce data.
Posted by: Bright Pebbles   2009-06-18 18:07  

#4  Holy Crap! Soon England will be as warm as Michigan.
Posted by: ed   2009-06-18 17:12  

#3  already started to grow peaches and apricots

They're growing peaches? Oh, the humanity!
Posted by: SteveS   2009-06-18 17:05  

#2  Ignoring Data is NOT 'Science".
Posted by: mstrmech   2009-06-18 16:43  

#1  Picking cherries in the fields of "science"...
Posted by: mojo   2009-06-18 13:08  

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