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China-Japan-Koreas
N.Korea's Grandstanding 'Suggests Internal Power Struggle'
2009-05-22
North Korea's recent grandstanding may be motivated by internal power struggles over who is to succeed ailing leader Kim Jong-il, Korean and U.S. diplomats speculate.

In an interview with VOA on Wednesday, Scott Snyder, the director of the Center for U.S.-Korea Policy at the Asia Foundation, said the internal situation in North Korea is ominous and recent actions including the launch of a long-range rocket seem to have something to do with the succession question. There are opinions that for want of a properly prepared heir apparent, one of Kim's sons will end up as a figurehead for one or the other power group in the North.

A senior South Korean government official on Thursday said, "We understand that recent acts by North Korea are not actually messages for the U.S., as we believed during the early days of the Obama administration."

North Korea launched a long-range rocket, arrested two female American journalists, boycotted the six-party talks on its nuclear program and threatened another nuclear test despite the Obama administration's expression of willingness to talk.

"In the past, North Korea took a flexible attitude toward South Korea when it was at loggerheads with the U.S.; and when it was at odds with the South, the North adopted a strategy of seeking dialogue with the U.S. But in recent days, the North has taken a rough stance toward both," a diplomatic source said. "The North doesn't seem to have made any calculations but appears to be in some other trouble."

And that concerns Kim's ill health and the issue of his succession, experts speculate. After his stroke last year, the question of the succession, for which no preparations had been made, suddenly came to the fore. As a result, it appears that the hardline military seized all the power it could and stoked international tensions to keep society under control.

That also suggests that a softening of the North's position is for the time being unlikely.
Posted by:Steve White

#2  Various POSTERS/ARTICS on WORLD MIL FORUM + OTHER make no bones that NOKOR is a "FACE OF CHINA" [PRC = CCCC/CPC], + a de facto CHIN "BUFFER STATE", etc. CHIN's desired or proposed JOINT PRC-NK MASSIVE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJS [Dual Use"] essens means that any sovereignty the STARVING DPRK thinks it has will be steadily inevitably lost to Chin + CHIN "SOFT POWER" in future time. PRAGMATICALLY, it behooves NOKOR = DPRK to dev indigenous nucweapons, OVERTLY AGZ THE US-ALLIES BUT COVERTLY REALISTICALLY AGZ CHINA. Iff CHIn is success in its endeavors, it means in LT that SOUTH KOREA WILL BE THE ONLY ANCIENT KOREAN TERRITORY ACTUALLY CONTROLLED BY KOREANS.

Lest we fergit, CHINA > desires to extend its sovereignty into the NORTH-EAST CHINA SEAS = SEA OF JAPAN INCLUD CONTINENTAL SHELF. MEANING ANY FUTURE REMNANT OF ANCIENT KORYE = SOUTH KOREA WILL BE SURROUDED ON THREE SIDES-PLUS BY CHINA.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2009-05-22 19:04  

#1  I doubt that 'Emperor Kim' has had any real control for a few years now.
Posted by: Pappy   2009-05-22 12:05  

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