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Home Front Economy
Get ready for a wave of bank failures
2009-02-21
If it's Friday, there must be a bank failing somewhere across the country.

For five consecutive weeks, industry regulators have seized control of a bank after the market closed on Friday, bringing the total number of failed banks so far this year to 13. To put that into perspective, 25 banks failed in 2008, suggesting that the rate of failures is quickening as the economic crisis deepens.

"We'll have a banner year [of failures] this year," said Stuart Greenbaum, retired dean and professor emeritus at the Olin Business School at Washington University in St. Louis.

At the current rate, nearly 100 institutions-- with a combined $50 billion in assets -- will collapse by year's end.

But with more consumers and businesses likely to default on loans as the recession drags on, some industry observers think the pace of bank failures could accelerate further.

Gerard Cassidy, managing director of bank equity research at RBC Capital Markets, upped his expectations for bank failures earlier this month, warning that he anticipates 1000 institutions could fail over the next three to five years. "The sooner the bank regulators can shut down the troubled banks, the faster the industry will get back on its feet, in our view," he wrote.
Posted by:Fred

#7  MIKE, find a Credit Union Quick, transfer all your funds then just give the wife a new checkbook/check card.

Yep it really is that easy.
Posted by: Rednek Jim   2009-02-21 19:34  

#6  Rednek-

Careful, brother - right now my money's in BoA. I'm trying to figure out how to convince the wife it needs to go.

Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski   2009-02-21 14:29  

#5  I saw yesterday that Bank Of America was likely to be taken over by the treasury, good fuckin riddance.
Posted by: Rednek Jim   2009-02-21 12:36  

#4  Assume a developer constructs an office building for $10 million, and same becomes non-viable. A Trustee in bankruptcy would be required to sell same for the best price. Assume that is: $5 million. The buyer - not having to rent at rates to cover the original construction cost - is able to fill same at lower rates. That type of phenomena happens in every recession, and explains why turnarounds occur.
Posted by: Alistaire Greash5374   2009-02-21 11:10  

#3  At the current rate, nearly 100 institutions-- with a combined $50 billion in assets -- will collapse by year's end.


I guess this guy thinks Citi and BofA will survive. Not too sure about that.
Posted by: DoDo   2009-02-21 10:44  

#2  A lot of banks are going to implode when the alt-a and ARM mortgage bubbles collapse. Those banks that are stable are desperate to disconnect themselves from the losers and not get caught up in government controls.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2009-02-21 09:10  

#1  . "The sooner the bank regulators can shut down the troubled banks, the faster the industry will get back on its feet, in our view,"

Just after "The sooner the flow of credit is restarted, the faster the industry will get back on its feet" and "The sooner the mortgage problem is resolved, the faster the industry will get back on its feet" and ....
Posted by: Procopius2k   2009-02-21 08:34  

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