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| Caribbean-Latin America |
| Weak and Failing States: Mexico |
| 2008-12-21 |
In terms of worst-case scenarios for the Joint Force and indeed the world, two large and important states bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse: Pakistan and Mexico. Some forms of collapse in Pakistan would carry with it the likelihood of a sustained violent and bloody civil and sectarian war, an even bigger haven for violent extremists, and the question of what would happen to its nuclear weapons. That “perfect storm” of uncertainty alone might require the engagement of U.S. and coalition forces into a situation of immense complexity and danger with no guarantee they could gain control of the weapons and with the real possibility that a nuclear weapon might be used. The Mexican possibility may seem less likely, but the government, its politicians, police, and judicial infrastructure are all under sustained assault and pressure by criminal gangs and drug cartels. How that internal conflict turns out over the next several years will have a major impact on the stability of the Mexican state. Any descent by the Mexico into chaos would demand an American response based on the serious implications for homeland security alone. h/t Westhawk. Did the US Joint Forces Command really publish this? |
| Posted by:Nimble Spemble |
| #10 The absolute LAST thing we want to do is annex any part of Mexico. |
| Posted by: buwaya 2008-12-21 22:33 |
| #9 1st person imperative. Use it and sound like you know WTF you're talking about. |
| Posted by: .5MT 2008-12-21 22:14 |
| #8 Don't need a wall B. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d8hlj4EbdsE |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2008-12-21 21:11 |
| #7 Don't need a wall B. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d8hlj4EbdsE |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2008-12-21 21:10 |
| #6 Don't need a wall B. |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2008-12-21 21:08 |
| #5 Fixed that for ya', Hellfish. |
| Posted by: Barbara Skolaut 2008-12-21 19:05 |
| #4 JM, Sorry to all. It's a .pdf and I should have noted that. It just worked for me, but the pdf may be the problem. |
| Posted by: Nimble Spemble 2008-12-21 18:51 |
| #3 Annex the northern part of mexico. Lay down some law. |
| Posted by: Hellfish 2008-12-21 18:25 |
| #2 Intervention in Mexico by the US would be pointless, because its problem will be much like Pakistan. And the Mexicans will be equally obstinate about Americans in Mexico. Parts of northern and southern Mexico will be like FATA and the NWFP. Bandito leaders will arise and the central government and the army will be internally divided and weak. The average Mexican doesn't want a civil war, so it won't look like a civil war at first. Instead it will look much like this current drug war between gangs. The D.F. will remain untouched, like with their last civil war. A whole handful of other countries will want to involve themselves, however. |
| Posted by: Anonymoose 2008-12-21 18:19 |
| #1 NS, I couldn't get the link to work. |
| Posted by: Jolutch Mussolini7800 2008-12-21 17:19 |