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| Home Front: Politix |
| Ugly poll numbers for Obama in NC |
| 2008-05-01 |
| Jim Geraghty, National Review's "Campaign Spot" If InsiderAdvantage's numbers are right, we may be witnessing a huge shift in what was supposed to be Obama's safe state on Tuesday: A survey of 571 registered likely voters in North CarolinaÂ’s May 6 Democratic primary shows Sen. Hillary Clinton having moved from a double digit deficit in an InsiderAdvantage poll taken in mid-April to a two point lead over Sen. Barack Obama in this telephone survey, conducted April 29. The survey was weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8% . . . I'm looking for a reason to be skeptical of this poll, and I'm not seeing it. Good sample size, likely voters... 15 percent of the sample is unaffiliated voters. Under North Carolina law, Democrats and unaffiliated are permitted to vote in the Democratic primary; those registered with another party are not. Further evidence Team Obama worries about Wright fallout: Barack Obama is appearing on Meet the Press this weekend. |
| Posted by:Mike |