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Iraq
The Real Surge
2007-11-27
While the "surge" of five US brigades plus their accompanying support elements, about 30,000 US troops total, is the main focus of commentators when discussing the current situation in Iraq, the real surge in Iraq is happening behind the scenes. The rapidly expanding Iraqi Army is where the real surge in forces is occurring.

Chart of Progression of Iraqi Army Expansion since 2 Nov 2006 Announcement

Over the last year the Iraqi Army has grown to 12 divisions, 41 brigades, 123 battalions, and four ISOF battalions. By the time the US plans to reduce its combat forces to pre-surge levels (July 2008), the real surge is planned to have increased the Iraqi Army to 13 divisions, 49 brigades, 154 battalions, and five or six ISOF battalions.

The US is considering plans to draw down to 10 combat brigades by early 2009. The Iraqi Army plans to continue growing to 13 divisions, 52 brigades, 162 battalions, and seven or eight ISOF battalions. This does not include the additional fire support, logistics, and engineer battalions being formed for each brigade. Part of that increase is the 33,000 Iraqi Army support troops that was funded by the US FY07 Supplemental. These additional 33,000 soldiers represent a 250 percent increase over the current 14,000 Iraqi Army support troops. This increased logistics support will allow Iraqi Army units to operate independently and will release US logistics units for redeployment.

In 2009 the Iraqi Army plans to start forming the 13 divisional field artillery regiments and their 39 subordinate field artillery battalions.

The Iraqi Army is replacing the US forces departing Iraqi by the end of 2008 at rate of two Iraqi brigades for one US brigade.
Posted by:3dc

#7  Biggest part of the surge is the change in tactis, straegy, and most of all, an agressive consistent ROE.
Posted by: OldSpook   2007-11-27 23:17  

#6  WAFF/TOPIX > USA PLANS PERMANENT [Forces/Bases]PRESENCE IN IRAQ. Dubya-Maliki Accord. DEBKA > indics up to 20 LARGE/MASSIVE GROUND AND AIRBASES BEING CONSTRUCTED.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2007-11-27 20:26  

#5  I would not be unhappy to see Iraq "liberate" Syria and the Arab portion of Iran. Even if that mean US airpower was involved.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2007-11-27 17:58  

#4  Thats not really a very big army in proportion to the population of Iraq. Its a lot smaller than the old Iraqi army has been since the 1960's.
Its also going to be pretty limited in offensive capacity. Nobody is going to give them thousands of tanks.
Posted by: buwaya   2007-11-27 15:11  

#3  Bobby,

You bet. That has always been the plan since about 2005 when it suddenly appeared that Iran wanted to be the big cheese and threaten the oil fields of the majority Sunni arab states. Iraq will soon have the most experienced, best trained, combat induced, combat ready armed force in all of Arabia and the middle-east. That is why we need the presence there - to control it, to direct it and to discipline it.
Posted by: Jack is Back!   2007-11-27 09:04  

#2  Well, they'll definitely have far more combat experience, particularly in urban combat than anyone else's armies in the immediate region.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2007-11-27 08:02  

#1  Goodness! What are they gonna do with all that military might when the insurgency dies out?

Finish something Saddam started 27-odd years ago?
Posted by: Bobby   2007-11-27 06:51  

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