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Iraq
Tet Offensive Coming in Iraq?
2007-07-11
The gangs are united by common needs, common enemies, and a desire to see Sunni Arabs running Iraqi again. The chatter among the gangs is that something spectacular needs to be done now, to prevent the gangs from being hammered into a state of marginalized ineffectiveness. That's where the talk of a "Tet Offensive" comes from. This would emulate the suicidal attacks South Vietnamese guerillas and North Vietnamese troops made in 1969. The idea then was that such a broad offensive would encourage the South Vietnamese population to rise up in support of the communists. Most South Vietnamese were anti-communist, but the communists had convinced themselves otherwise. Militarily, the attacks were a major defeat for the Viet Cong (the South Vietnamese guerillas) and a big setback for the communist effort to take over South Vietnam. But the American media declared it a U.S. defeat, and U.S. government support for South Vietnam declined, reached the point where, in 1975, the second North Vietnamese attempt at taking South Vietnam via conventional invasion worked, because the American Congress had halted even ammo shipments to South Vietnam.

Just like in Vietnam, such an offensive would be a military disaster for our opponents, but would likely force our withdrawal from the battlefield. Unlike Vietnam, it would NOT lead to eventual victory by our attackers, but to their ultimate extermination by the Shia (with or without Iranian 'assistance'.) It is essential for both the US and Iraq that any such 'offensive' be stopped utterly cold, because the media will paint anything less as our defeat and proof of the hopelessness of our cause.
Posted by:Glenmore

#8  Amongst other things, what died with the VietCong in TET 1968 was also any Commie sectarian hope of a COMMUNIST SOUTH VIETNAM INDEPENDENT AND SOVEREIGN FROM HANOI + NORTH VIETNAM. As for Iraqi gangs wanting to do something spectacular now, Iran is already moving down a general course for war wid the USA, vv AQ cells inside Amer + potential Amer Hiroshimas, escalating Iran-specific arms and military support for Iraqi insurgents [e.g. QUDS FORCE],escalating mil tensions in Lebanon in collusion wid Syria-Hizzies, etal. agz Israel, and routinely enticing or requesting the UNO + major foreign powers to unilaterally intervene on Iran's behalf agz the USA, be said intervention diplomatic andor military. REALITY > IFF NOT FOR WATERGATE AND NIXON'S RESIGNATION, SOUTH VIETNAM WOULD LIKELY STILL EXIST AS A NATION. NIXON REDUCED US COMBAT FORCE LEVELS IN SOUTH VIETNAM = "VIETNAMIZED" THE COMBAT, NOT ENDED US COMMITMENT TO SOUTH VIETNAM'S EXISTENCE. DUBYA IS NOT NIXON > will NOT resign nor stop entrenching while he's alive and still Prez.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2007-07-11 22:55  

#7  I would bet on AQ trying to make a big splash about the time Petraeus report is due. I would also bet on the MSM wringing their collective evil little hands and yelling quagmire; surrender. The Harry Reid, John Kerry, Murtha, and Nancy Pelosi, etc. will go along with the MSMs doom and gloom pronouncements.

On the other hand if AQ comes out for a Tet-like attack it be much to identify them and kill them.
Posted by: JohnQC   2007-07-11 18:13  

#6  Problem is Tet took us by surprise, this one won't.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2007-07-11 14:58  

#5  You should be able to tell when its about to start. That's when the AP finally has all its stringers in place and embeded with AQ terrorists insurgent forces in Iraq.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2007-07-11 12:19  

#4  I agree w/'moose. Though I'm sure the msm will overplay any brave freedom fighter fighting to the last bullet as much as they down play or not report at all our rebuilding schools, roads, and doing medical/dental liaison work w/the local iraqi communities.
Posted by: Broadhead6   2007-07-11 11:48  

#3  They have a multiple problems, though. First is that they lack the raw numbers to pull off a major attack. Second and third is that they are hated by the non-criminal Iraqis and they cannot maintain OPSEC.

Plus they've already tried that sort of thing. The only parallel holiday they have to Tet is Ramadan, but that has been used for violence for so long that nobody is going to have their guard down, in fact, they will be expecting trouble.

So many of them are known to the police it will be near impossible for them to infiltrate Baghdad in any number, and they are also prone to spilling their guts when captured.

They are years late and a LOT of dollars short to pull of that sort of thing.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2007-07-11 11:31  

#2  Something offensive in Iraq, no doubt whatsoever about that.
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418   2007-07-11 11:16  

#1  Oooohh, and Unca Walty Cronkheit's heirs in the legacy media are just a-tremble with happy anticipation for some big splashy "last offensive" like Tet... so they can join in one mighty chorus of "Flee! all is lost! Flee, I tell you!!!"

Never mind that the various criminal gangs would have been turned into so many puddles of something closely resembling strawberry jam. It's the essential truthiness that counts!
Posted by: Sgt. Mom   2007-07-11 10:34  

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