You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Afghanistan
New Commander The Key To Taliban Spring Offensive
2006-05-18
Karachi, 18 May (AKI) - (Syed Saleem Shahzad) - Many jihadis in Afghanistan and farther afield are convinced that by year's end Taliban leader Mullah Omar will be back in power in Afghanistan, from where he was driven by US-led forces in late 2001.
They also think Elliot Yamin is a shoe-in to win American Idol
That may be wishful thinking, yet Taliban preparations over the past eight months indicate the so-called 'spring offensive' will be bloody.
(scratches head, looks at calendar) When exactly does spring start in Afghanistan?
The gunbattles in southern Helmand province which have killed at least 70 people in the past two days are proof. And crucial to the offensive is Mullah Omar's recent decision to bring in a legendary anti-Soviet fighter, Maulana Jalaluddin Haqqani as commander-at-large.
Since most of the deaders are Taliban, I approve this nominee
The winter buildup for the Taliban's ongoing attempts to destabilise the Karzai-led administration, as NATO troops move into the more restive southern provinces, has involved the mass recruitment of suicide bombers and underhand deals with local tribal elders in various Afghan provinces.

"Once again we are facing like situation like the mid-1990s when bloodshed was everywhere, the situation went from bad to worse and circumstances prompted the Taliban movement to emerge and boot our government out," warned former Afghan prime minister Ahmad Shah Ahmadzai, on a telephone with Adnkronos International (AKI) from Kabul. "The Karzai administration has no writ anywhere and we are once again in a limbo," added Ahmad Shah, acting premier of Afghanistan before the Taliban seized power in 1996.
Sounds like they could also be former Clinton administration officials

However, sources across the border suggest that while recent decisions by Mullah Omar have contributed to the Taliban broadening their armed revolt in southern Afghanistan, their progress has been made possible by long months of ground work and planning.

The major decision - which sources believe dates back to April 2006 - was bringing in Maulana Jalaluddin Haqqani as the key commander in Afghan resistance. Jalaluddin Haqqani was not part of Taliban movement when it emerged from Zabul in the mid-1990s, but he was the first, most powerful commander of the Afghan resistance who surrendered to Taliban, unconditionally.
So, being the first to surrender is a good career move.
Now in his 50s Haqqani is respected as a legendary commander of Mujahadeen who fought against the Soviet presence in Afghanistan and was responsible for seizing the first major city, Khost, in 1991 from the communist government.

Though Haqqani still command greatest respect all over Afghanistan and among tribal elders of Khost, Paktia Paktika and Gardez, because he did not belong to the original Taliban core, he could not acquire any central role in the Taliban-led resistance.

Yet he has always remained loyal to Mullah Omar. Proof of that was given in after 9/11, when Haqqani was invited to Islamabad by the Pakistani secret services, the ISI, who offered him the presidency if he would lead a revolt against Mullah Omar and carve out “moderate Taliban”. Haqqani refused and went back to the Ghulam Khan mountains to pitch intense battle against allied forces.
He continue to operate in the areas of Khost and Paktia with random attacks but Mullah Akhtar Osamani and Mullah Dadullah remained the central commanders of Taliban.

That all changed, sources believe, last month. Mullah Omar examined his forces and decided to 'promote' Jalaluddin Haqqani, giving him more funds, huge stockpiles of arms and ammunition and many hundreds of youths who had been trained with Iraqi resistance in the techniques of urban guerrilla warfare.
Mullah Omar has assigned geographic areas to each commander but now Jalaluddin Haqqani has been made commander at large. He is given control of suicide attackers to launch them through out Afghanistan and is authorized to pitch battles with his group any where on Afghan soil.

The flow of funds and human resources have boosted HaqqaniÂ’s influence in the southern region and many old veterans of the Afghan resistance, like Nasrullah MansoorÂ’s commander Saifullah Masoor, who were previously sitting idle in Gardez and other areas have joined Haqqani.
Checked his credit rating, did they?

The personnel change at the top comes at the end of steady preparations throughout 2005 and in to 2006. The Taliban launched a major recruitment drive all last year. When the Pakistan government clamped down on Jihadi activities and discouraged militants from infiltrating Indian-administered Kashmir, many fighters were re-routed to the Taliban.

In Pakistan, former members of banned organizations such as Laskhar-i-Toiba and Jaish-i-Mohamed gravitated towards North and South Waziristan, in the mountainous borderlands with Afghanistan, where the Taliban have established an Islamic state on the pattern of their regime in Afghanistan. All pledge their allegiance to Mullah Omar.

Jihadi sources indicate that there may be up to 27,000 fighters gathered in North Waziristan alone, with a further 13,000 believed grouped in South Waziristan. It is from this predominantly tribal area - where Pakistan's central government has no writ despite attempts to send troops - that militants can pass into southern Afghanistan, stage their attacks, and retreat.

The local Taliban leadership is believed to have formed 100 suicide squads by February 2006. Their motto “fight till the last man and last bullet” though if they carry out suicide attacks there will, naturally, be no fighting at all.
Posted by:Steve

#14  Don't be fergitin' the 2008 US POTUS elex. As for HAQQANI, I remember him - iff Osama is an intellectual warrior, Haqqey is more hands-on. As a field commander, he's wily, pragmatic, and brutish, and has no qualms sacrificing a lot of men to wear down an enemy and achieve an objective.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2006-05-18 22:26  

#13  OhMyGawd! Elliot a taliban?
Posted by: Captain America   2006-05-18 17:31  

#12  "The problem for them is that if the deadline materializes, and they're not in charge, they're a spent force."

Although it sounds reasonable to my ears, I'd say there's no evidence of such logic anywhere within Islam.
Posted by: eniac   2006-05-18 16:45  

#11  Article: Many jihadis in Afghanistan and farther afield are convinced that by year's end Taliban leader Mullah Omar will be back in power in Afghanistan, from where he was driven by US-led forces in late 2001.

The question is what happens if the deadline passes and they're not in power. You could say that issuing arbitrary timelines isn't so smart - but I think the people they recruit don't have a lot of patience. They're willing to die for the cause, but only if there's a realistic hope of winning. So there has to be a deadline. The problem for them is that if the deadline materializes, and they're not in charge, they're a spent force. Money and new recruits will tail off sharply after that. They had better get going. Muslim financiers are probably getting tired of shelling out cash for no results. And potential Muslim recruits are getting discouraged after seeing so much sacrifice and so few results.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2006-05-18 16:21  

#10  "underhand deals with local tribal elders in various Afghan provinces."
This means that we should start a advertising campaign. After all, we have more mney than them.
"We will beat any bonafide offer" it's spring time in Afghanstan, and our prices will not be beat."
Posted by: plainslow   2006-05-18 16:19  

#9  This time, I think their "spring offensive" consists of waking up to the sound of a bullhorn saying, "YOU ARE SURROUNDED, SURRENDER OR DIE!"
Posted by: Anonymoose   2006-05-18 16:08  

#8  tu...that's brutal.

:)
Posted by: anymouse   2006-05-18 16:07  

#7  Nice wet dream, Syed. They can change commanders all the want but with Blinky in charge, they'll always be screwed.
Stick with the goat porn...
Posted by: tu3031   2006-05-18 16:06  

#6  "It is from this predominantly tribal area - where Pakistan's central government has no writ despite attempts to send troops - that militants can pass into southern Afghanistan, stage their attacks, and retreat."

BWAHAHAHA! This sentence sums up what a load of B/S this article is. If they are on the point of storming back into Kabul, why the hell are they reduced to carrying out hit-and-run attacks from Pakistan? Why retreat after an attack? The truth is they don't control an inch of Afghan territory because as soon as they declare that they have 'liberated' some Godforsaken border town, the Afghan/NATO forced turn them into goat dung. I think it's about time the Afghan government paraded some of their Talib prisoners on TV telling the world that Mullah Omar is a faggot.
Posted by: Apostate   2006-05-18 15:56  

#5  IF there are 27,000 fighters in South Waziristan and Pak forces have not been able to secure the area... perhaps it time for a month of Arc Lighting?
Posted by: 3dc   2006-05-18 15:50  

#4  Excellent commentary, Steve. *kudos*
Posted by: Seafarious   2006-05-18 15:20  

#3  spooky on site to celebrate the spring offensive?
Posted by: Frank G   2006-05-18 14:54  

#2  The NATO troops are also a lot better trained, motivated and have better equipment than the Soviets. Go ahead Mullah, attack. We dare ya, you little girl!
Posted by: DarthVader   2006-05-18 14:20  

#1  News Flash to Mullah Omar: US and NATO forces are not the the WWII relic the USSR sent in in the 80s. Yes, it may be bloody...but I would wager the kill ratio will be closer to 50:1 (Taliwhackers:NATO). Their only hope is to continiue the semi-succesful CONOP of an endless parade of suicide bombers for the next 10 years.
Posted by: anymouse   2006-05-18 14:11  

00:00