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-Short Attention Span Theater-
Rantburg Weather Center - Hurricane Rita Updates
2005-09-23
EFL:
HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2005

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF RITA WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A FURTHER SLOW WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL...BUT RITA IS STILL EXPECTED TO COME ASHORE AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. AN ELEVATED PLATFORM ON ISLE DENIERES NEAR THE SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST JUST REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 58 MPH. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AS IT MOVES INLAND. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SINCE RITA IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...27.8 N... 92.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 931 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
Projected storm track here. Still looking like Port Arthur/Beaumont area.
Posted by:Steve

#14  Fox News is showing live video of the levee break. Looks like white water rapids, not that it can cause much more damage to that neighborhood.
Posted by: Steve   2005-09-23 14:42  

#13  A surfer off the shore of Galveston, Texas, was arrested Friday for not adhering to evacuation orders and surfing the large waves created by an approaching Hurricane Rita, according to a Local 6 News report. The man, who was not identified, was taken into custody by police after coming out of the surf.

Police said he was apparently not taking Rita serously, attempting to surf off the shore of Galveston.


But, dooooooood, I was like totally serious! This was the Big Kahuna of set-ups.


Link to source
Posted by: Jackal   2005-09-23 13:43  

#12  Gee whiz, 3dc, you mean they can't predict a chaotic system?

/sarcasm
Posted by: mojo   2005-09-23 12:33  

#11  previous seems to have lost the /sarcasm=off tag in case anyone needed it.
Posted by: AlanC   2005-09-23 12:04  

#10  I BLAME BUSH!!!!!

WHY HASN'T HE PERSONALLY FIXED ALL THOSE LEVEES ALREADY!!! THIS IS JUST MORE EVIDENCE OF HIS RACISM AGAINST THE POOR BLACKS!!!!!


Posted by: AlanC   2005-09-23 12:03  

#9  Bad news in New Orleans:
Water Pours Into New Orleans' Ninth Ward
NEW ORLEANS - Hurricane Rita's steady rains sent water pouring through breaches in a patched levee Friday, cascading into one of the city's lowest-lying neighborhoods in a devastating repeat of New Orleans' flooding nightmare.
"Our worst fears came true," said Maj. Barry Guidry of the Georgia National Guard."We have three significant breaches in the levy and the water is rising rapidly," he said. "At daybreak I found substantial breaks and they've grown larger." Dozens of blocks in the Ninth Ward were under water as a waterfall at least 30 feet wide poured over and through a dike that had been used to patch breaks in the Industrial Canal levee. On the street that runs parallel to the canal, the water ran waist-deep and was rising fast. Guidry said water was rising about three inches a minute.
The impoverished neighborhood was one of the areas of the city hit hardest by Katrina's floodwaters and finally had been pumped dry before Hurricane Rita struck. Sally Forman, an aide to Mayor Ray Nagin, said officials knew the levees were compromised, but they believe that the Ninth Ward is cleared of residents. "I wouldn't imagine there's one person down there," Forman said.
Mitch Frazier, a spokesman for the Army Corps of Engineers, said contractors were being brought in Friday morning in an effort to repair the new damage. The corps had earlier installed 60-foot sections of metal across some of the city's canals to protect against flooding and storm surges. Forecasters have called for between 3 and 5 inches of rain in New Orleans as Rita passes Friday and Saturday, dangerously close to the 6 inches of rain that Corps officials say the patched levees can withstand. Another concern is the storm surge accompanying Rita, which could send water rising as much as 4 feet above high tide. Already Friday morning, a steady 20 mph wind, with gusts to 35 mph, was blowing, along with steady rains.
Posted by: tu3031   2005-09-23 11:28  

#8  Mobile Alabama, 10:20 CST, overcast, no wind, no rain, all is well here.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2005-09-23 11:11  

#7  Different Models tracks

Slide down to "track guidance" and look at the projected tracks with the different models. Its a bowl of noodles. I say flipping a coin is just as accurate.
Posted by: 3dc   2005-09-23 10:40  

#6  Phil, this may explain your friends report:
BATON ROUGE -- State police issued a plea for Texans and residents of southwest Louisiana to head north, and not east into Lafayette and Baton Rouge, as they evacuate from the approach of Hurricane Rita. State Police spokesman Lt. Lawrence McLeary said troopers are “seeing a big influx (of drivers) from Texas’’ and highways in Baton Rouge are “jam-packed.’’
“The tendency is for people to come east,’’ McLeary said. “But lodging is at a premium (and evacuees) will deplete gasoline supplies.’’
Baton Rouge is now home for many of the New Orleans area residents forced from their homes by Hurricane Katrina three weeks ago.
McLeary said State Police will work with Baton Rouge police and officials in nearby Denham Springs in Livingston Parish to rework traffic lights and other traffic flow to ease a growing gridlock on Baton Rouge streets and highways.
Posted by: Steve   2005-09-23 10:39  

#5  New Orleans 9th Ward Floods
September 23, 2005 09:42 AM EST
By Sher Zieve - As Hurricane Rita's rains began to come onshore, Friday morning, New Orleans' 9th Ward has begun to flood again. It is unclear as to whether or not the newly-patched levees will withstand the current storm. The original levees were constructed to withstand a Category 3 hurricane and the Army Corps of Engineers has not, as yet, had enough time to fully repair them. Rita is currently at Category 4 status.

If Rita continues to track eastward, there is the possibility that New Orleans will be hit with enough force to re-flood the city. However, this time Mayor Nagin arranged for buses to transport those still in the city or residents who had returned after Katrina out of the area.


Early reports are that they had another failure on Industrial Canal levee.
Posted by: Steve   2005-09-23 10:36  

#4  Wednesday night I tried to take US90 out but was stopped by the police from getting onto it in Dayton; ended up on SR105 to Beaumont, then I-10, without problem. Never heard the logic of it; perhaps part of closing entrance ramps to major routes in order to enhance through-flow, but that is the opposite of Phil's story.
Posted by: Glenmore   2005-09-23 10:24  

#3  Same thing being reported at NRO and other blogs. How stupid can you get.
Posted by: Steve   2005-09-23 10:20  

#2  The authorities in Texas have been forcing people off of back roads and into the interstates which have become parking lots. A friend of mine tried to cross from Texas to Louisiana in Port Arthur, but the authorities had closed the bridge and sent him BACK to Beaumont.

I haven't been able to reach him on the phone since then.
Posted by: Phil Fraering   2005-09-23 09:35  

#1  8:40 a.m.: Dallas television station WFAA reports at least 20 people were killed in an I-45 bus fire, out of about 45 elderly evacuees on board. "The early indications are this is a mechanical issue. The driver did survive the accident," Dallas County sheriff's spokesman Sgt. Don Peritz said. "It's my understanding he went back on the bus several times to try to evacuate people.'' He said there were indications that oxygen used by elderly evacuees could have had a role in the fire. The accident caused a 17-mile backup on a freeway that was already heavily congested with evacuees from the Gulf Coast.
Posted by: tu3031   2005-09-23 09:16  

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