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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iran nuclear weapons 'years away'
2005-09-06
EFL
Iran is still several years away from acquiring a nuclear weapons capability, according to a study published by an influential London-based think tank.
The International Institute for Strategic Studies has assessed Iran's nuclear, chemical, biological and long-range missile activities.
Based on complete disclosure by the Mullahs no doubt.
It says a diplomatic showdown with the European Union and the United States could be inevitable.
Iran's political restraint thus far may not last, the report's authors say.
One of them, Dr Gary Samore, told the BBC that it might take five years for Iran to overcome all the technical difficulties to produce a nuclear weapon.
But given Tehran's cautious behaviour so far, a decision on whether to build such a capability may be much further away.
That is the exact opposite of the conclusion I've reached.
"They're trying to avoid international reaction and I think it's perhaps more likely that they would try to develop their nuclear capabilities over a much longer period of time, a decade or 15 years," he said.
This is another 'spike the guns' article, The institute must be afraid someone is close to actually doing something.
More at link.
Posted by:JerseyMike

#6  Still comes down to indigenous nukes versus nukes based or hidden in Iran = North Korea but controlled by mil units from Moscow or Beijing. If the Russians could help Saddam hide his WMD caches in Syria and Lebanon, they can also do the reverse and rapidly supply Tehran and Pyongyang with nukes/WMDS. ALso helps Iran and NK when the US DemoLeft "scalpelizes" between nukes vs. other WMDS, and between Communists versus Communist-controlled alleged "Fascists". Most in US INTEL have long known that the Norkies already possess nukes, albeit Chicom-controlled.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2005-09-06 23:14  

#5  That's the kind of thing that used to be said in 1946 about the USSR and the atomic bomb. Four years later the USSR suddenly joined the nuclear club. When the issue is merely reverse engineering, time is not the limiting factor.
Posted by: trailing wife   2005-09-06 21:04  

#4  "They're trying to avoid international reaction and I think it's perhaps more likely that they would try to develop their nuclear capabilities over a much longer period of time, a decade or 15 years,"

Wow, love those firm conclusions. I know I'll sleep easier tonight hearing those words of comfort.
Posted by: Xbalanke   2005-09-06 13:47  

#3  Bridge for sale! Brooklyn Bridge for sale!
Posted by: Chris W.   2005-09-06 09:25  

#2  I hear North Korea's nukes are years away too.

Nothing to see here... please continue t whistle past that graveyard folks...
Posted by: CrazyFool   2005-09-06 09:08  

#1  55,288 posts about: Iran nuclear
http://www.technorati.com/search/iran%20nuclear

To be continued...
Posted by: SwissTex   2005-09-06 09:01  

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