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Iraq-Jordan
‘Iraqis Ready to Take Over From US’
2005-07-13

Iraqi troops are ready to take control of selected cities in provinces unaffected by the insurgency as a first step toward sending American and other foreign soldiers home, Iraq’s Prime Minister Ibrahim Jaafari said yesterday. But he rejected any timetable for a pullout until Iraqi forces are ready. As a sign of the ongoing security crisis, gunmen stormed a house in western Baghdad yesterday and killed four Iraqi human rights activists, and a car bomb killed at least three people and wounded 15 in ethnically tense Kirkuk.

An American soldier died of injuries suffered in a land mine explosion south of the capital, the US military said — one of a series of scattered clashes across insurgency hotbeds. Speaking to reporters alongside US Deputy Secretary of State Robert Zoellick, Prime Minister Jaafari warned against setting a timetable for foreign troops to leave “at a time when we are not ready” to confront the insurgents. But he said security in many of Iraq’s 18 provinces — notably in the Shiite south and the Kurdish-controlled north — has improved so that Iraqi forces could assume the burden of maintaining order in cities there. “We can begin with the process of withdrawing multinational forces from these cities to outside the city as a first step that encourages setting a timetable for the withdrawal process,” Jaafari said. “We don’t want to be surprised by a decision to withdraw at a time when we are not ready.”

Jaafari’s comments were aimed in part at defusing growing calls by Sunnis and others for the Americans to set a date for them to leave Iraq. Jaafari, a Shiite, told Parliament yesterday that he wants any withdrawal plan to be “an Iraqi decision with an Iraqi timetable — not with a terror timetable.”
More here.
Posted by:Fred

#7  The Poles are pulling out (on schedule, officially) in a few months. Rather than put more US or UK troops in, I think the idea is to formally turn over some provinces to the Iraqi forces. Troops will be shifted around, so that that the Iraqis can take the quietist places.

BTW Basra is one of the less quiet places in the Shia south, having both a substantial Sunni minority, and a bunch of Sadr supporters (thouhg it still quieter than the triangle). I think the Brits will be there for a while yet. There are other smaller cities in the south that are much quieter.

The real question is opimizing your use of limited first line Iraqi troops. So far the attempt seems to have been to use them in Baghdad, which is likely the keystone of the entire counterinsurgency effort, and where they are particularly valuable. Putting them in the south, purely to make the political point that there are cities with no foreign troops, means that many less available for Baghdad.

Note - the political angle is not only for the US and UK public, but for the Iraqi (sunni arab) fence sitters who may be willing to join the political process, but are uncomfortable with the coalition presence. Im not sure if such a limited change really buys much, but I assume the Iraqi pols know better than I do.
Posted by: liberalhawk   2005-07-13 12:53  

#6  I also think it's a PR story to try and quiet some of the 'timetable' talk. That said, there are indeed provinces where coalition forces could be removed (or withdrawn to secure bases and used only in emergencies) without changing things. The Kurdish region, the south-central region, and Basra seem pretty quiet these days.
Posted by: Steve White   2005-07-13 08:54  

#5  I think we're o.k. with pulling out of the northern (Kurdish) areas. The southern areas I'm not so sure about. Just a P.R. move, in my mind.
Posted by: BA   2005-07-13 08:31  

#4  ...he wants any withdrawal plan to be “an Iraqi decision with an Iraqi timetable — not with a terror timetable.”

Catchy! And no Senator Weasel timetable, either!
Posted by: Bobby   2005-07-13 07:56  

#3  I think they are. But Iraqi government tactics will be a little different if Uncle Sam bails - expect a major bloodbath, as entire Sunni tribes are massacred to the last man, woman and child. Sunnis should worry when Shiite officials make statements like this.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2005-07-13 07:35  

#2  I suspect Jaaf is feeling heat from the ashholes in the US Congress and other unimpressive MSM freaks. He is also hearing from Tater and Company.

Not a bad PR move, however, as he knows full well that the US will not pull out prematurely.
Posted by: Captain America   2005-07-13 04:38  

#1  Sheesh. I want to be happy about this, but something tells me Jaafari's several bricks shy of a load and should really just STFU a lot more often. Sigh.
Posted by: .com   2005-07-13 02:56  

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