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Terror Networks & Islam
U.S. Terror Attack — "Ninety Days at Most"
2005-07-08
Um, you sure you wanna go with that?
Counterterrorism expert Juval Aviv spoke with FOX Fan Central about what Americans can do to protect themselves in case of a terror attack.

Do you believe another terrorist attack is likely on American soil?

I predict, based primarily on information that is floating in Europe and the Middle East, that an event is imminent and around the corner here in the United States. It could happen as soon as tomorrow, or it could happen in the next few months. Ninety days at the most.

What advice do you have for individuals that have the misfortune of finding themselves in the middle of a terror attack?

Since mass transportation is the next attack, when you travel to work have with you, a bottle of water, a small towel, and a flashlight. A HGG Guy? What happened in London is exactly a point to look at. Those people who were close to the bombs died, then others were injured or died from inhaling the toxic fumes or getting trampled. The reason you take a bottle of water and a towel is that if you wet the towel and put it over your face, you can protect yourself against the fumes and get yourself out of there.

Don’t be bashful. If your gut feeling tells you when you walk on to a bus there is something unusual or suspicious, get out and walk away. You may do it 10 times for no reason, but there will be one time that saves your life. Let your sixth sense direct you.

Try to break your routine. If you travel during rush hour everyday, try to get up a little earlier and drive to work or take the train when it’s still not full. Don’t find yourself every day in the midst of rush hour. Terrorists are not going to waste a bomb on a half empty train.

What portion of the American infrastructure do you believe is at the greatest risk for a terror attack?

We have put all of our emphasis, right or wrong, on the aviation area. What has happened, in the last two to three years, based on information we have, the terrorists have realized that they cannot hijack a plane in America soon because the passengers are going to fight back. So they realize what they have been very successful with over the last 50 years in Madrid, London, Iraq, Israel: demoralizing the public when they go to work and when they come back from work.

What they’re going to do is hit six, seven, or eight cities simultaneously to show sophistication and really hit the public. This time, which is the message of the day, it will not only be big cities. They’re going to try to hit rural America. They want to send a message to rural America: ‘You’re not protected. If you figured out that if you just move out of New York and move to Montana or to Pittsburgh, you’re not immune. We’re going get you wherever we can and it’s easier there than in New York.’

What more do you think the government can do to protect the public?

Number one, and this is the beef I’ve had with Homeland Security for the last four years, is educating the public on how to deal with those types of events. There’s no education. We’re raising the color code alert and that means nothing to anyone. Whether it’s green, yellow, pink, no one ever educated the public how to identify suspicious items or people. In Israel, so many of them [terrorists] have been apprehended just because people have phoned in. We don’t have that training on campuses, schools, or kindergarten.

In Israel, it’s very popular right now [amongst terrorists] to put one device to explode and time another one for five minutes later when it’s all calm, people are getting up, and the rescue teams have responded. You need to know all those things and think about those things. The government must pursue that. Law enforcement will never have enough people on the street to detect things. We don’t have that kind of manpower. That’s why the government must enlist the public.

Juval Aviv is a former Israeli Counterterrorism Intelligence Officer and President and CEO of Interfor, Inc. Mr. Aviv has also served as a special consultant to the U.S. Congress on issues of terrorism and security and is the author of “Staying Safe : The Complete Guide to Protecting Yourself, Your Family, and Your Business.”
And there you have it - a Futures play with panache.
Posted by:.com

#21  #1: "...when you travel to work have with you, a bottle of water, a small towel, and a flashlight."

Screw that shit; tomorrow I'm going out and buying a Smith & Wesson.

Very good Dave, but don't forget the flashlight, (Too see the bad guy) the towel, (To see the bad guy) and the small water bottle(To se the bad guy) and an extra clip or two.(9mm is sufficient)

I would also suggest a cell phone that has a camera, pictures are extremely valuable, no need to contract with your phone company for the service to transmit pictures or send anything, just keep the picture(s) in the phone memory.

Belly bags are back in style, get a permit if allowed, if not just ignore the stupid rules.

My personal experience is to simply ignore the rules that can get you killed, most folks will NOT do this, (but then, I class them as sheep.)

I recall the Russian theatre, no mention of the patrons being armed at all. Why?

Mind you, the most difficult thing (At first) is to completely ignore that gun you carry.

No checking to see if it's showing, bulging in the pocket, or such.

When you can ignore it, others will too, draw attention and you'll get busted.
Posted by: Redneck   2005-07-08 23:37  

#20  As much as I'd love to shoot a terrorist... the likelihood is that the chickenshit is going to quietly leave a bomb and get off at the next stop or move to the next car of the train.

Look for un-tended packages on mass-transit and keep AWAY from them.
Posted by: Leigh   2005-07-08 20:32  

#19  Friend Wesson or Colt has his place when the terrorists try a Breslin, but they'd have just weighed you down if you'd been in London. Your call, though.

9/11 didn't make me more wary than before: a nutjob ignited a bucket of gasoline on a Madison bus and I've been rather more attentive to my surroundings since.

Posted by: James   2005-07-08 20:24  

#18  ...no one ever educated the public how to identify suspicious items or people. In Israel, so many of them [terrorists] have been apprehended just because people have phoned in. We don’t have that training on campuses, schools, or kindergarten.

How can you do that without profiling?
Posted by: SwissTex   2005-07-08 19:57  

#17  Minimizing my risk:

Motorcycle I just got.

Glock (when not going into work - not allowed to carry onto the facility, even with my permit)

Suspicious as hell from a lot (too many?) years "in the business".

Keeps me out of the probable target zone other than when I go to the mall (which I dont do unless the Mrs is dragging the there).

As for work:

1st story underground, controlled area inside a secure building (concrete and steel, no windows, TEMPEST shielded, have our own water and power, only 1 story above ground, everything else is down from there), protected on all sides with barbed wire on a 7 ft electrified fence (minimum of 100m between the fence and the building perimeter) and US military police with M-16s patrolling the outside of the fence with "deadly force authorised" per the signs they have posted. And that itself is inside a fenced-in restricted access US military base.

I'm not too worried about work.
Posted by: OldSpook   2005-07-08 19:17  

#16  I know remoteman, I was just daydreaming out loud.
Posted by: JerseyMike   2005-07-08 19:06  

#15  My two friend are Mosin and Nagant.
Posted by: badanov   2005-07-08 19:04  

#14  Could be tomorrow, could be next week, likely was not 2 weeks ago. Fear your neighbor, eat whole grains, fly a dog flag, glare at people just in cast. Be afraid and stay tuned.
Posted by: Shipman   2005-07-08 18:57  

#13  Uh, no JerseyMike. That would be San Francisco Gate. I live among the "gentle progressives" who hate themselves and their country.
Posted by: remoteman   2005-07-08 18:49  

#12  too true: Let's suppose for a moment that some jihadi tried an attack of some type in a place where a lot of people are armed, and was killed before the attack succeeded.

The fellow-traveling MSM would then proceed to instruct the jihadis where to go so that wouldn't happen in their next attack - using the excuse of "terrorists' public's right to know." :-(

The only saving grace is that gun-restricted places are the MSM's back yard, so maybe they'd be affected. But since they're on the other side, I don't think they'd worry about that.
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2005-07-08 18:48  

#11  informal poll about what should be done to prevent another attack here in the US. 75% say that we should change our foriegn policy

That's the 75% that I'm in right?, I'm happy to hear that so many think the way I do, where we ought to slam the living shit out of the Middle East and Indonesia then tell who's ever left standing how they'd best behave.
Notice how I don't make exceptions for "moderates"?
I don't believe they exist.
Posted by: JerseyMike   2005-07-08 18:43  

#10  Agreed re: rural America and guns. But this guy apparently thinks 'rural' applies to e.g. Pittsburgh. And if the next attack really is on smaller city mass transit, there may or may not be a critical mass of gun-owning / capable people to defend it.
Posted by: too true   2005-07-08 18:33  

#9  Ahhh... you can survive just about anything as long as you have a trusty towel.
Posted by: Damn_Proud_American   2005-07-08 18:30  

#8  In war each side takes turns attacking the other

Yup - one reason the Law Enforcement model doesn't work for terrorists. They don't just hit and run - they're in this for keeps.
Posted by: too true   2005-07-08 18:28  

#7  Right you are CS. They are not going to stop because they think that they are guided by God. Fools. And if one gets through, it will be interesting to see if how the population will react to the left's immediate claim that it is Bush's fault becuase we attacked Iraq and Afghanistan. If you have the stomach to visit sfgate.com you'll see the informal poll about what should be done to prevent another attack here in the US. 75% say that we should change our foriegn policy. I suppose that's the expected response here in the left coast fever swamp. I doubt it would be the same in much of the rest of the country.
Posted by: remoteman   2005-07-08 18:21  

#6  I almost feel sorry for the assholes who try this shit in rural America.

They're going to find out most people outside the moonbat cities have at least two friends - named Smith and Wesson.

Dave D., mmurray - it does make a difference. ;-p
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2005-07-08 18:14  

#5  In war each side takes turns attacking the other. You can’t stop or prevent all attacks; you can just minimize the loss and the affect of an attack. The fact that we haven’t been attacked is more troubling that comforting. Any one who thinks the bad guys are not gunning for us need to go look at the remains of the World Trade Center. During the waning years of we thought that Germany was beaten and on a snowy winter day they shocked our forces into long retreat and extended the war for months and cost thousands of lives. Japan launch their ‘divine wind’ to stave off ultimate defeat. Trust me the Jihadis are waiting to strike and there isn’t too much we can do to stop them. The best you can do is be prepared for an attack and be mindful of your surroundings. If we manage to stop a group trying a similar attack in the U.S. it will probably be more about luck than anything we have done. Israel expends a huge amount of resources and manpower to prevent such attacks and still some manage to get through. We can only hope to be as successful as they are.
Posted by: Cyber Sarge   2005-07-08 17:59  

#4  And have a nice day
Posted by: Captain America   2005-07-08 17:57  

#3  It could happen as soon as tomorrow, or it could happen in the next few months. Ninety days at the most.

That would not be very smart, to put it lightly.

Since mass transportation is the next attack,..

Heh, I live and work in Sillycon Valley, where we don't believe in that crap. It's single cars for us! Bwaaahahahahahaha!!!!! (or motorcycles, in my case)
Posted by: Bomb-a-rama   2005-07-08 17:49  

#2  Amen Dave. I am gonna go apply for a conciled weapons permit.
Posted by: mmurray821   2005-07-08 17:48  

#1  "...when you travel to work have with you, a bottle of water, a small towel, and a flashlight."

Screw that shit; tomorrow I'm going out and buying a Smith & Wesson.
Posted by: Dave D.   2005-07-08 17:43  

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