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| -Short Attention Span Theater- |
| Hurricane Dennis now Cat 2 |
| 2005-07-07 |
| EFL: HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A 8 AM EDT THU JUL 07 2005 AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 165 MILES... 265 KM...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. DENNIS WOBBLED TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER OR VERY NEAR JAMAICA LATER TODAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 968 MB...28.58 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF JAMAICA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. Track map |
| Posted by:Steve |
| #7 Phil - no sweat - we just got tangled up. I actually agree with you on NASA - they squandered my childhood dreams and the good will of 2 generations. Kills me. And I agree the private sector will do a better job, if left to pure entrepreneurial capitalism - and not regulated to ruin. And our kids? Sheesh. They start out "perfect" - with some measure of potential. Then we (society) fill 'em up with [insert % here] bullshit. My relief at how cool my kid turned out is beyond palpable - it can walk and talk, lol! We're both actually concerned and have hard experience to back up our views. I know you're as sincere as I am about such truly future-shaping concerns. I'm cool and happy and know you know your stuff. The crosstalk was on high in that thread, lol! A nick in the Cat-5, I bet. |
| Posted by: .com 2005-07-07 14:45 |
| #6 ...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. GUANTANAMO! Like, goddam Bush, man, is there like anything he won't like do to get reelected in like 2010, man... |
| Posted by: Lefty Moonbat: Wellstone Assassination Theorist 2005-07-07 14:17 |
| #5 I don't know where else to put this, and I'm having computer problems, but .com, I'm sorry about the other day, OK? |
| Posted by: Phil Fraering 2005-07-07 13:52 |
| #4 the NY Times will make sure that the jailed reporter remains in the headlines, never fear |
| Posted by: Frank G 2005-07-07 13:22 |
| #3 Mebbe it'll blow that Shiipman Nym Troll out to sea and drown his ass, lol. |
| Posted by: .com 2005-07-07 12:50 |
| #2 This is bad. FIXES FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE INDICATE THAT THE MOTION HAS BEEN MORE NORTHWESTWARD THAN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF DENNIS IS APPARENTLY WEAKER THAN EARLIER PREDICTED. THIS MAY IN PART BE A RESULT OF ADDITIONAL STEERING FLOW INFORMATION OBTAINED FROM THE NOAA G-IV JET SURVEILLANCE MISSION LAST NIGHT. CONSEQUENTLY...SOME OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE...IN PARTICULAR THE GFDL AND GFS MODELS...HAVE SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THEIR EARLIER SOLUTIONS. THIS NECESSITATES AN EASTWARD ADJUSTMENT OF THE OFFICIAL TRACK. ADDITIONALLY...THE AIRCRAFT DATA SHOW THAT DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED AND THAT THE WIND FIELD HAS EXPANDED...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NEW TRACK AND WIND FIELD FORECAST REQUIRES THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES FOR EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AT THIS TIME. |
| Posted by: Semi Worried Shipman 2005-07-07 12:48 |
| #1 It's a damn fine looking storm if you're into that sorta thing. |
| Posted by: Semi Worried Shipman 2005-07-07 12:46 |