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Home Front: Politix
NOBODY LIKES HIM
2004-09-17
By DICK MORRIS
JOHN Kerry is in deeper trouble than the polls indicate. While the Fox News survey taken last week after the Republican convention shows Bush with a small lead over Kerry, the internal data indicates big shifts against the Democrat. For example, Kerry is now seen unfavorably by a record 44 percent of the voters (his personal worst), giving him a slightly higher unfavorable ratio than Bush — whom 43 percent dislike. (Bush's edge comes from the fact that he gets 51 percent to rate him favorably, while Kerry has only a 46 percent favorable rating.)

But worse, the poll shows that Kerry must face a basic problem: His own voters don't like him very much. The Fox News poll asked Kerry supporters if their vote for the Democrat could best be described as motivated by support for Kerry (41 percent) or by opposition to Bush (51 percent). By contrast, Bush voters emphatically say, by 82-13, that they are voting for the president rather than against the challenger. This puts Kerry in a tough position in the coming debates. He has no real base of support and any attenuation of the dislike his voters feel for Bush will weaken him substantially. All Bush has to do is to persuade a few Kerry voters to stop disliking him, and he can get their votes. There is no residual affection for the Democrat to get in the way of their switching to the president.

The polls already have shown how Kerry's own voters break almost evenly on the issues, with half supporting the war in Iraq and half opposing it, and almost equal numbers saying we must stay the course as say we should bring the troops home. So Kerry can't use issues to hold his own in the debates: Whatever he says will antagonize some of his base. And now it's plain that he can't rely on personal popularity to hold them, since most are just voting against Bush. If the president gives an even moderately effective presentation and comes across as even somewhat likeable, he can cut deeply into Kerry's vote.
Posted by:Anonymous5089

#9  #2 JK: It's Carville, not Carvile.

But your spelling is much more descriptive of the little POS. :-p
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2004-09-17 6:23:40 PM  

#8  #3 BigEd: Wow.

Thanks for the link.
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2004-09-17 6:20:41 PM  

#7  Who walked to the rostern cool and slow..

the rest an exercise for the students
Posted by: Shipman   2004-09-17 4:50:09 PM  

#6  Kerry Accuses Bush of Hiding Troops Plan

Democratic Sen. John Kerry on Friday accused the Bush administration of hiding a plan to mobilize more National Guard and reserve troops after the election while glossing over a worsening conflict in Iraq. . .

Why is everybody always pickin' on me??? -John Kerry

And... Hannity is saying he is acting paranoid...

Why is everybody always pickin' on me??? -John Kerry





Posted by: BigEd   2004-09-17 4:30:34 PM  

#5  

My oh my... So many chew toys, so little time.

Posted by: BigEd   2004-09-17 4:12:46 PM  

#4  Political Pet-Toys

Even Dogs Hate Him


Posted by: BigEd   2004-09-17 3:38:49 PM  

#3  A New Anti-Kerry 527

Kerry and Jabba
Posted by: BigEd   2004-09-17 3:30:35 PM  

#2  Quagmire!

Yes, Mr Carvile? Oh.. they're talking about us?

Bright Shiny! Look over there! I didnt say quagmire, it was a youthful indescretion!
Posted by: JohnKerry   2004-09-17 12:46:45 PM  

#1  

Why is everybody always pickin' on me???

Posted by: BigEd   2004-09-17 12:17:58 PM  

00:00