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Terror Networks
Belmont Club: The Toothpaste Effect
2004-03-19
Trimmed to one paragraph; I suggest reading the whole thing.
The Serbs will flee and the UN with them. The US offensive in Pakistan and Afghanistan,  unrest among Syrian Kurds and continued resistance to the Mullahs in Iran against which the Islamists can mount no military riposte has naturally reduced them to attacking civilian targets wherever they can -- attacks which the press represents as great victories -- and there are no softer targets than those in Europe. The dreadful strokes which will now descend upon the Old Continent will not, as some imagine, bring down the New. They will simply smite the Old, passing easily through their Maginot Line of treaties and accords with the same ease as an icepick through a sheet of paper.
Reiterating some comments on my ’blog: There was a 48 hour turnaround between the new Spanish Government’s declarations and the upsurge in violence there. That’s pretty fast; they’ve either planned this or are adapting very fast. I think they’ve been searching for a while for a place where their attacks are effective, not in a tactical sense of being able to massacre civilians, but in being able to turn it to strategic advantage. You see, the terrorists, as far as the Iraqi theater of operations go, are having problems, unless something changes soon (and it might): they can kill a lot of civilians but it doesn’t get them anywhere. Contrast this with the Tet Offensive, which did have strategic (or perhaps the better term is moral? Hmm, too many different meanings there) effects despite the fact that the VC sufffered huge casualties and lost the battles. Giap wrote that they thought they had lost the Tet Offensive, until they saw the TV reports of demonstrations in the US. Al Qaeda needs a place to fight battles where they’ll have a strategic effect even if they lose. I suspect they think they’ve just found it.
Posted by:Phil Fraering

#5  PROUFOUND PROUFOUND!!! How short sighted can we we be! We must MUST take a lesson fron the history books of the communist agenda to "take over the world" Lets all look at the profile that is now history "and remember history repeats itself" and take some pages out of Lennin for he was the "fire-brand" on the revolution ; Karl Marx was just the philosopher which agitated the masses: QUESTION? are we experiencing a parallell to the communist revolution but now in the name of dogmatic islamic (note the non capitalization) fundemalatist who belive that WORLD DOMINATION will be achived through murder and mayhem against civilized populations. In the early 19'hundreds Lennin, Trotsky, Bulganin, Beira, Stalin et-al would love to have been in the position al-quida is in today; the possibility of WORLD terrorisim, all they could hope for was what ended up as the ex "soviet-"NON" union" and that is all al-quida and their "rag-head" followers can hope for. I have but one lasting wish for them "GO TO FU%$#&)-HELL" JUST LIKE ALL YOUR FRIENDS: Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Idi Amin, and all the many others who thought that they could take over the human will to live and be free.
@ century The sxn perptrated erl Marks
Posted by: Barry   2004-3-20 3:12:18 AM  

#4  Good post, Phil!
This Belmont Club guy is very good--the blogosphere's own Victor Davis Hanson.
I,too, posited on my blog that the new violence in Kosovo was linked to Spain's latest events.
Looks like it's open season for IslamoFascist terrorists in EUrope.
Damn. What an awful week.
If only the US, UK and NATO troops would change sides and help the Serbs!
Posted by: Jen   2004-3-19 9:43:16 PM  

#3  Robert: you're probably right; it's just that morale gets used in other ways than the meaning I'm thinking of, too.
Posted by: Phil Fraering   2004-3-19 8:50:29 PM  

#2  When I first saw how Dan had titled this, I thought he was alluding to the unusual use for toothpaste the the Gitmo Islamikooks were developing.
Posted by: Super Hose   2004-3-19 8:30:46 PM  

#1  contrast this with the tet offensive, which did have strategic (or perhaps the better term is moral? hmm, too many different meanings there)

the word you're looking for is morale.
Posted by: robert crawford   2004-3-19 8:10:04 PM  

00:00