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Home Front: WoT
George W. Bush -- grand strategist
2004-02-15
Too good to edit. It’s no wonder that the Democrats are having a hissy fit. It could have been "our" war. But no, the Republicans had to ruin it.
By Tony Blankley
THE WASHINGTON TIMES

The Boston Globe — the respected, liberal newspaper owned by the New York Times — ran an article last week that Bush critics may wish to read carefully. It is a report on a new book that argues that President Bush has developed and is ably implementing only the third American grand strategy in our history. The author of this book, "Surprise, Security, and the American Experience" (Harvard Press) to be released in March, is John Lewis Gaddis, the Robert A. Lovett professor of military and naval history at Yale University. The Boston Globe describes Mr. Gaddis as "the dean of Cold War studies and one of the nation’s most eminent diplomatic historians." In other words, this is not some put-up job by an obscure right-wing author. This comes from the pinnacle of the liberal Ivy League academic establishment.

If you hate George W. Bush, you will hate this Boston Globe story because it makes a strong case that Mr. Bush stands in a select category with presidents Franklin Delano Roosevelt and James Monroe (as guided by his secretary of state, John Quincy Adams) in implementing one of only three grand strategies of American foreign policy in our two-century history. As the Globe article describes in an interview with Mr. Gaddis: "Grand strategy is the blueprint from which policy follows. It envisions a country’s mission, defines its interests, and sets its priorities. Part of grand strategy’s grandeur lies in its durability: A single grand strategy can shape decades, even centuries of policy."

According to this analysis, the first grand strategy by Monroe/Adams followed the British invasion of Washington and the burning of the White House in 1814. They responded to that threat by developing a policy of gaining future security through territorial expansion — filling power vacuums with American pioneers before hostile powers could get in. That strategy lasted throughout the 19th and the early 20th centuries, and accounts for our continental size and historic security. FDR’s plans for the post-World War II period were the second grand strategy and gained American security by establishing free markets and self-determination in Europe as a safeguard against future European wars, while creating the United Nations and related agencies to help us manage the rest of the world and contain the Soviets. The end of the Cold War changed that and led, according to Mr. Gaddis, to President Clinton’s assumption that a new grand strategy was not needed because globalization and democratization were inevitable. "Clinton said as much at one point. I think that was shallow. I think they were asleep at the switch," Mr. Gaddis observed.

That brings the professor to George W.Bush, who he describes as undergoing "one of the most surprising transformations of an underrated national leader since Prince Hal became Henry V." Clearly, Mr. Gaddis has not been a long-time admirer of Mr. Bush. But he is now. He observes that Mr. Bush "undertook a decisive and courageous reassessment of American grand strategy following the shock of the 9/11 attacks. At his doctrine’s center, Bush placed the democratization of the Middle East and the urgent need to prevent terrorists and rogue states from getting nuclear weapons. Bush also boldly rejected the constraints of an outmoded international system that was really nothing more that a snapshot of the configuration of power that existed in 1945."

It is worth noting that John Kerry and the other Democrats’ central criticism of Mr. Bush — the prosaic argument that he should have taken no action without U.N. approval — is rejected by Mr. Gaddis as being a proposed policy that would be constrained by an "outmoded international system." In assessing Mr. Bush’s progress to date, the Boston Globe quotes Mr. Gaddis: "So far the military action in Iraq has produced a modest improvement in American and global economic conditions; an intensified dialogue within the Arab world about political reform; a withdrawal of American forces from Saudi Arabia; and an increasing nervousness on the part of the Syrian and Iranian governments as they contemplated the consequences of being surrounded by American clients or surrogates. The United States has emerged as a more powerful and purposeful actor within the international system than it had been on September 11, 2001."

In another recent article, written before the Iraqi war, Mr. Gaddis wrote: "[Bush’s] grand strategy is actually looking toward the culmination of the Wilsonian project of a world safe for Democracy, even in the Middle East. And this long-term dimension of it, it seems to me, goes beyond what we’ve seen in the thinking of more recent administrations. It is more characteristic of the kind of thinking, say, that the Truman administration was doing at the beginning of the Cold War." Is Mr. Bush becoming an historic world leader in the same category as FDR, as the eminent Ivy League professor argues? Or is he just a lying nitwit, as the eminent Democratic Party Chairman and Clinton fund-raiser Terry McAuliffe argues? I suspect that as this election year progresses, that may end up being the decisive debate. You can put me on the side of the professor.
Posted by:Daniel King

#11  "Get a breath of that country air, breath the bueaty of it evrywhere."
Posted by: Lucky   2004-2-15 11:47:41 PM  

#10  The Bell Curve is pure trash? Give examples, please.
Posted by: Les Nessman   2004-2-15 11:22:18 PM  

#9  There are lots of old guys at Harvard who have seen their "day in the sun" years ago. They were once great, made it to Harvard, fully tenured, professored, etc. THEN, they publish un-scientific high-brow trash, as I suspect this book is. (Remember the Bell Curve?? Pure trash.) Unfortunately, it takes scientists and historians years to undo the damage.

I've seen this alot in my years in academia. If someone previously liberal comes out against something they believe in that person is instantly made to be old, out-of-touch, or (my favorite) never really a liberal to begin with. Whatever happened to age bringing wisdom?

Old Patriot I agree with your assessment on State. Part of the problem is the career holdovers. They definitely need to be cleaned out.
Posted by: AF Lady   2004-2-15 10:35:51 PM  

#8  George Bush was bushwhacked on 9/11. Fortunately for the world, his first response was to find out what happened, who did what, and where things originated, rather than lashing out. He then used the exceptional talent he'd surrounded himself with to craft a response, not only to the attacks but to the fundamentals behind them. There's still a major battle to fight - he's got to take control of the State Department, and have it work for HIM, rather than the United Nations. That may require some very unethical housecleaning before it's all over. I had hoped Powell would be up to the task - he wasn't. It's time to give State to someone with the bare-knuckle power to take on the diplomatic doomsayers and kick them back into the Potomac swamp they crawled out of.
Posted by: Old Patriot   2004-2-15 10:03:23 PM  

#7  There are lots of old guys at Harvard who have seen their "day in the sun" years ago. They were once great, made it to Harvard, fully tenured, professored, etc. THEN, they publish un-scientific high-brow trash, as I suspect this book is. (Remember the Bell Curve?? Pure trash.) Unfortunately, it takes scientists and historians years to undo the damage.

Gaddis is too old, eh? Isn't ageist prejudice against liberal principles? As usual, the liberal left criticizes the color of the wallpaper instead of looking at the argument on its merits. No real surprises here - if you had to look at liberal arguments on their merits, they would be tossed out with the trash. The Bell Curve is pure trash? If all liberals have left is bilious putdowns, they should get out of political analysis and get into showbusiness.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2004-2-15 9:40:33 PM  

#6  There are lots of old guys at Harvard who have seen their "day in the sun" years ago. They were once great, made it to Harvard, fully tenured, professored, etc. THEN, they publish un-scientific high-brow trash, as I suspect this book is. (Remember the Bell Curve?? Pure trash.) Unfortunately, it takes scientists and historians years to undo the damage.
Posted by: Anonymous   2004-2-15 8:27:41 PM  

#5  AF Lady - excellent points. I, too, am very worried about November. I know that the real danger for us is to assume anything. If the Donks want to be fools and assume that, "Hey, it's obvious that 'Bush Lied!' - I see it, so everyone else sees it too!" - that's great. I don't want to be so blind or such a sucker!

Re: Bush intelligence
I once responded (long ago, now) to liberalhawk that I had seen people like Bush in action in the private sector. Unusually charismatic CEO's who didn't know squat about the details of the business, but were wizards on the big picture and the implications and seeing years down the road. They were very smart: they hired great detail people to surround them and then delegated full authority and responsibility (unusual to get the auth to go with the deliverables expected, heh) and left it to these lieutenants to make shit happen. These companies were all, at least in my experience, incredibly successful. I think it was due to zero micromanagement / second guessing and having a pro in each area of expertise in charge with full power to make success happen.

So, as I came to realize, Bush was on-target, had organized the right people into a team, and had given them the big picture result he expected - then turned them loose to do it. I've eaten a lot of personal crow about him - and quite happily, too. I've even gotten used to the "nyukyuler" thing, though my inner English-major still cringes a bit. ;-)
Posted by: .com   2004-2-15 8:21:56 PM  

#4  What worries me is that although .com and Dave D. have decided the democrat party do not have good answers to the WOT, how many people out there do not research, read, and disgest the information available on the internet like Rantburg, Powerline, and all the other good blogs. Few, I am afraid. I hear too many of my students and colleagues who talk as if they know everything and think GW is doing a bad job on the WOT and when questioned can not give me specifics.

The other thing is this thing about GW not being intellectual. Often intellegence is mistaken for being able to speak in flowing terms and with a big vocabulary. I like to tell my students about how when I graduated from college I didn't have a lick of common sense. Lots of book knowledge but no knowledge of how the world really runs. It took the college of hard knocks to instill some of that in me. I think GW has a lot more going in the intellegence area than many assume.
Posted by: AF Lady   2004-2-15 7:59:18 PM  

#3  I do not think much of GW from an intelectual POV. I get as much charge as any body else from the stories about the GWB Library losing half its volumes to a fire when they lost the Archie and Jughead comic book. But that said GWB does seem to know what is right and what the f**k is wrong. For being a "unilateralist" and a "non-respector of international law" just why did he go to the UN twice in late winter 2003. Why has he continually tried( and succeeded mostly) to engage other countries in the WOT. Because he recongnizes as most of us here do that the WOT is the defense of civilization itself.
Posted by: Cheddarhead   2004-2-15 7:25:55 PM  

#2  My transformation from lifelong Democrat to "broken-glass Republican" took place during the run-up to the 2000 presidential election, so I was not inclined to be terribly skeptical of Bush before 9/11; yet he has managed to exceed my expectations, too.

Certainly, the attacks on 9/11 ought to have forced a complete, hard-nosed reassessment of our entire foreign policy: of what our place and posture in the world should be; of our willingness to entrust our safety to corrupt, ineffective international institutions like the UN; and of what the term "ally" has meant in the past and what it must mean in the future.

It also ought to have forced an equally drastic reassessment of our approach to dealing with the threat of Islam's more radical, totalitarian strains; with the threat of nuclear proliferation among repressive third-world regimes, warlords and terrorist groups; and with the Arab/Palestinian/Israeli conflict.

The Bush administration seems to have undertaken that reassessment, and taken it seriously.

Unfortunately, the Democratic Party has not, and it seems unwilling to part with its shopworn, cherished notions of feel-good, warm 'n fuzzy internationalism.

The only Democrat I possibly could have voted for was Lieberman (not that I would have, with Bush as the incumbent); God help us if Kerry is elected.
Posted by: Dave D.   2004-2-15 6:23:13 PM  

#1  I certainly don't have Gaddis' scholarly background and ability to weave what Bush & Co (I think the entire team must be credited) have done into a grand historical picture, but simple intuition has led me to the same conclusion (blind dumb luck? mebbe...heh) about Bush.

What I have personally learned about Islam, Arabs, terrorism, and the whole lot of variables involved led me to eat crow regards Bush. Before his dramatic course change to engage terrorism, I was not a supporter. But when faced with the dire threat evidenced by the evil deeds from African embassies to the USS Cole to the WTC, Bush suddenly grew to fill the shoes and respond forcefully and in ways that made me incredibly proud to be an American, again.

Beyond the initial responses were the amazing policy changes which address the real root causes, sans the "Why do they hate us?" simplicity and idiocy. To say I have been impressed with Bush's Foreign Policy is a complete understatement.

Having people such as Gaddis publicly confirm with reams of research and decades of knowledge what regular folks such as myself understood through mere intuition is quite a boon. I am extremely grateful he (and others) have publicly stated their views - and rebuked the otherwise LLL world of academia. Bravo, Dr - long life to you! And thanx, big time!
Posted by: .com   2004-2-15 5:46:00 PM  

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