The link is now up, to the right, in the little yellow box...
Some comments from last night, when I was sitting helplessly with a hosed internet connection... Now, if we just have a standard deviation calculation, wait, belay that.........
Posted by: Alaska Paul 2003-8-18 11:00:54 PM
| Belayed for awhile. I'm still working on it and I'll probably be rewriting the whole thing to do some of the things I'd like to do... |
So who is going to handle the site for off-line betting? We could incorporate pay-pal or something........watch the monster grow.
Posted by: Alaska Paul 2003-8-18 11:03:30 PM
| I'm still thinking about that one. Or I could provide the mechanism and you guys could place your bets. I'm not really into online casinos â I get enough spam, and I don't have any experience as a bookie. |
Fred-
What prevents people from entering in many different aliases to skew the results? I know that this sounds sophomoric, but another web site allowed members to numerically rate other members based on their posts. Some idiots created over twenty different handles to flame the posters they despised and rate them negatively. And in the case of the other website, you had to register a unique email address.
The website owners had to pull the rating system because of it was screwing up the purpose of the website.
Because there is no money up front, the posts in Futuristic Toy will be skewed by idiots. And it won't be interesting anymore. And that would be a shame.
Ways to prevent this are probably easy to come up with, but too complex to manage.
Hopefully some of you smart people will come up with a plan.
Posted by: Penguin 2003-8-18 11:19:12 PM
| I think phase two is going to take the last half dozen (approximately) quotes as the current probability, with the overall probability being shown next to it and a +/- figure given. That way the system will be self-correcting over time. I'd also like to take the entries when they expire and post them here on the main page for comment. |
You could filter the regulars from the ones that never posted here before. Or have a condition that you have to be "known" to Rantburg (but not necessarily have to register). Or something... I'm not smart with these things so I'll pass the mic on to someone else...
Posted by: Raphael 2003-8-18 11:38:10 PM
I'd like to leave them open to anyone who has an opinion. It's kind of like polling, only using an informed base. The wider the opinion range among informed readers, the more checks and balances we get. I think. Unless it leaves us at 50-50 on every item. Then we'll have to think of something else.
If the system's self-correcting, trolls â even Stevey â won't be a problem, at least not for more than a day or so, because their opinions will age off even though they'll go into the overall prob.
If we create an item on the main page along with who said what, it'll be open to comments just like any other article. The trolls â and those who were generally off the mark â could end up collecting razzberries, and the occasional reminders will keep us all honest. |
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