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Korea
David Frum - The Boom is Lowered on South Korea’s Roh
2003-05-15
For the real news of the summit was contained — not in President Bush’s words but in the official communiqué released at the same time. Bear with me: I know it is dull reading, but it’s very important.

“In the context of modernizing the alliance, the two leaders agreed to work out plans to consolidate U.S. forces around key hubs and to relocate the Yongsan garrison at an early date. President Bush pledged to consult closely with President Roh on the appropriate posture for USFK during the transition to a more capable and sustainable U.S. military presence on the peninsula. They shared the view that the relocation of U.S. bases north of the Han River should be pursued, taking careful account of the political, economic and security situation on the peninsula and in Northeast Asia.”
Let me now translate:

U.S. forces in Korea are today concentrated near the border between North and South Korea — the famous DMZ, demilitarized zone. There they are easy targets for North Korea’s masses of old-fashioned artillery. Because they are so vulnerable, US forces are in effect hostages. If for example the US were to hit North Korea’s nuclear plants, the lives of thousands of American soldiers would be put at risk.

Which is why soft-liners like President Roh Moo-Hyun — who used to oppose the U.S. presence in South Korea — now wish to keep US troops shoved right up against the DMZ. They may say they want the troops to deter North Korea — but they know full well that the vulnerability of those troops in fact deters the United States from confronting North Korea.

For the decade since North Korea’s blackmail campaign began in 1993, those 40,000 US troops on the peninsula have stayed put, under the North’s guns. Now suddenly we learn that American forces will be redeploying in the south — out of reach of the North’s guns, but close enough to be used as a striking force if need be. South of the Han River, those forces cease to be hostages, and become again dangerous and deadly fighters. Bush’s drab communiqué is the first giant step toward regaining the ability to fight effectively in Northeast Asia.
Posted by:Anonymous

#5  Point 1: The Han flows right through the middle of Seoul - dissects the city in two. Looks cool at night, too.
Point 2: It would seem that the parts of the joint statement concerning the 2ID are being taken over here as meaning, "They aren't being moved anytime soon." "Taking careful account of the political, economic and security situation on the peninsula and in Northeast Asia" means Seoul is going to stall that move for as long as possible. Watch for "citizens groups" to start protesting at planned redeployment spots south of Seoul (e.g. Pyongtaek/Osan, Waegwan). Previous plans to consolidate bases have been held up because of similar shinanigans; a couple of days ago, 10 protestors broke into Uijeongbu City Hall demanding that the mayor hold a referendum on land transfers to the USFK (something he promised to do during his election campaign last year). I'll be shocked (shocked, I tell ye!) if the 2ID goes anywhere soon. I hope to hell I'm wrong, though.

BTW, I've posted the Korean media response to the communique at my blog and at Command Post, just in case anyone cares.
Posted by: The Marmot   2003-05-15 12:31:47  

#4  Is the 2nd Infantry mechanized now? For a long while they were straight leg infantry.
Posted by: Shipman   2003-05-15 11:34:00  

#3  Dan, I think the point here was that the troops north of the Han River would be moved, not that the troops would be moved north of the Han River.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2003-05-15 09:41:56  

#2  I checked a map of Korea. The Han river runs south Seoul. If the troups are stationed north of the Han river they will still be fairly close to the border with NKOR.
Posted by: Canaveral Dan   2003-05-15 09:24:38  

#1  Amen and about time that we ran amuck. Sounds like we have our own army-based policy and it doesn't forsee being abused by SKorean demonstrators while we put our lives on the line to protect them
Posted by: Frank G   2003-05-15 08:54:38  

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