[NYP] The US could finally be free of the coronavirus in late September, and the whole world can expect to put the pandemic behind them in December, say scientists in Singapore.
The rosy forecasts are from the Singapore University of Technology and Design, where researchers are using artificial intelligence to continually update their charting of the pandemic’s "life cycle" by country.
At the end of April, predictions showed that the US would be virus-free by Sept. 20 and the UK could see the end of the coronavirus by Aug. 27, Metro.co.uk reported Saturday.
But the group has since taken down its country-by-country charts from its website — instead posting a disclaimer that the research was strictly for educational purposes and may contain errors.
Scientists at the university caution that their results are continually evolving and inexact— and that the predictions should not lead to hasty ends of lockdowns around the world.
"Over-optimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our disciplines and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus," they said.
#7
Scientific understanding is supposed to evolve as new data comes in. This action means they finally have come to understand that their models are fatally flawed in ways they do not yet understand, their artificial intelligence clearly not being smart enough to get the job done. No doubt once they succeed in predicting the past they’ll start posting actual predictions of the future again.
#8
This was never science. The idea that any place would be 'virus free' is ludicrous on its face. This thing will be with us for the foreseeable future, even if there is a vaccine.
#10
And now the CDC estimates the Infection Fatality Rate to be -- surprise surprise -- almost exactly what Dr. Ioannidis estimated it to be ... on March 17: 0.4% overall or adjusted even lower to 0.26% when one considers the CDC's own estimate that 35% of cases are asymptomatic.
Ioannidis concluded this -- and anybody else looking at the CDC's Diamond Princess cruiseship data would've come to the same conclusion -- months ago.
He was ignored. Instead, our policymakers imposed this ridiculous lockdown based on the WHO model's 3.4% IFR -- 10 times greater than what the actual, empirical data showed.
President Reagan commemorates those Americans who have willingly sacrificed their lives for their country, during the Memorial Day ceremonies held at the Arlington National Cemetery, May 31, 1982. Video (5/28/18) by Airman 1st Class Ryan Brooks, 31st Fighter Wing Public Affairs. Courtesy DVIDS. The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
[American Greatness] Ideas about liberty have evolved, thankfully.
Egas Moniz, a Portuguese neurologist, received a Nobel Prize for performing lobotomies on his vulnerable, unconsenting psychiatric patients—or, rather, victims. Today, he is the just recipient of the contempt of decent mental-health practitioners. (Those who do not hold him in contempt are not decent.)
The same fate may await Alan Dershowitz’s status as a constitutional scholar given his coronavirus jurisprudence. Dershowitz has declared that the state has the power of precedent to drag you to a doctor’s office and plunge a vaccine-filled syringe into your veins.
Contra Dershowitz’s forced-vaccination violence, and contrary to the opinions of many of my friends on the Right, social distancing and masking are mere inconveniences. They are not rights-infringing. Being inconvenienced is not the same as being unfree.
That you are asked to sanitize, suit-up, and give people space means only that you are inconvenienced. It means that you are being requested not to encroach upon others—not to rub-up against them, or expel sputum on them. This is but an inconvenience.
In the context of a pandemic, these are quotidian requests, to be associated with civility and comity. They crimp your style, not your rights. The thing that infringes on your natural rights to sustain life and liberty is the lockdown.
Sequestering you so that you cannot feed yourself and your dependents is a violation of both natural and constitutional rights.
But ordinary acts of prevention? Please.
Ilana Mercer is a Jewish South-african born American author, columnist, blogger and thinker. She has appeared on numerous radio, podcasts and television shows.
[American Greatness] Several American universities are fighting to block the release of documents confirming their ties to China, which are being sought by both the Department of Education and Congress, as reported by The College Fix.
The Department of Education’s General Counsel, Reed Rubinstein, sent a letter to Congress confirming that when the Department attempted to acquire said documents, lawyers on behalf of the universities claimed an exemption to the Freedom of Information Act to keep the records sealed. Rubinstein’s letter did not name any of the schools involved in the investigation.
As previously reported by American Greatness, several Ivy League schools, including Harvard and Yale, have been under investigation for failing to report all of their foreign donations. More recently, a former professor at Emory University was convicted for failing to report donations from the Chinese government.
The increased scrutiny towards American colleges comes as part of a broader nationwide skepticism over any aspect of American society that China is involved in, as a result of the country’s mishandling of the coronavirus outbreak. There have been calls for a wide variety of punishments for China, from efforts to remove American manufacturing to a ban on Chinese students coming to study in the U.S.
[The Hill - Changing America] Dr. Lisa Mosconi has been thinking about thinking for quite some time — in fact, since she was just a child.
"My parents are both nuclear physicists," she recounts, which encouraged her to catch the science bug from an early age.
A native Italian, she studied neuroscience and nuclear medicine at the University of Florence and NYU before joining Weill Cornell School of Medicine in 2016. Since 2018, she has been director of the Women’s Brain Initiative and associate director of the first Alzheimer’s Prevention Clinic in the United States.
Mosconi’s latest book, The XX Brain, sets out to detail the groundbreaking findings of her research into the comparatively understudied world of women's brains, including their cognitive distinctions from men’s brains, beginning at conception and continuing throughout the aging process.
Much of her ambitious research into women’s brains and nutrition is illuminated by a critical familial link: "I have a family history of Alzheimer's disease that affects the women in my family," she says. "And that's how I learned that it is not just my family, but that Alzheimer's disease really affects more women than men."
h/t Instapundit
[LAT] - In mid-March, as the specter of a society-upending pandemic grew, Los Angeles County emerged as something of a bright spot.
When Bay Area counties mandated on March 16 that all residents stay at home, officials said it didn’t make sense in L.A. County because far fewer cases of the coronavirus had been detected. Bureaucrats were naturally anti-locker because they don't like interruptions in their routines. Now, of course, lockup became routine
"We don’t have the same trajectory that they have up north," L.A. County Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer said that day when asked about a stay-at-home order. Wonder if she consulted with the eminent and estimable Dr Ioannides?
Two months later, the situation has shifted dramatically. L.A. County now has the highest rate of deaths from COVID-19 in the state, and the second highest infection rate. On Friday, federal officials singled out Los Angeles because of its stubbornly high case counts of the coronavirus, despite precautions to slow the spread.
...Compared with cities nationwide, Los Angeles’ rate of COVID-19 cases and deaths has been relatively low.
...But the region has emerged as an outlier within California. In L.A. County, 426 out of every 100,000 people have tested positive for COVID-19, compared with 270 in San Francisco. In L.A., 20 out of every 100,000 residents have died of COVID-19, compared with 4 in San Francisco.
...To try to make sense of these trends, data crunchers at the L.A. County Public Health Department recently ran some numbers, said chief science officer Dr. Paul Simon.
They looked into whether L.A. County’s population was older than the rest of the state’s. In Italy, an older-than-average population was believed to have contributed to that country’s alarmingly high death rate. But the L.A. County analysis found that its population was not older than the rest of the state, and perhaps even skewed a little younger, Simon said.
Analysts also looked into whether the county’s residents were more likely to have diabetes, high blood pressure or obesity compared with the rest of the state, factors that could make them more likely to die from COVID-19. Again, they found no difference, he said. So, what's the answer? Can you guess without peeking?
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
[American Greatness] Several American universities are fighting to block the release of documents confirming their ties to China, which are being sought by both the Department of Education and Congress, as reported by The College Fix.
[The Hill - Changing America] Dr. Lisa Mosconi has been thinking about thinking for quite some time — in fact, since she was just a child. 
