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2024-09-03 Africa North

Record rains this year in the Sahara 6 deviations above the climatological mean

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Something must be extraordinarily wrong atmospherically to support such a deluge over the driest region on the planet.

Precipitable water anomalies over the Sahara are forecast to be 6 deviations above the climatological mean!

Lots of research needs to be done about this… pic.twitter.com/xKAFNaNrfG
— Andrew Austin-Adler (@weatherman_aaa) September 1, 2024

Isn’t the correlation between cooling climate and heavier rainfall? I seem to recall we’re heading into the La Niña side of the cycle…

Posted by 3dc 2024-09-03 00:46|| || Front Page|| [11161 views ] Top

#1 Methods simulated to try to predict these rains

Posted by 3dc 2024-09-03 00:57|| 2024-09-03 00:57|| Front Page Top

#2 IIUC, it hasn't rained yet. These anomalies are of water vapor in the atmosphere.

We've only been able to reliably measure this via satellite in the past 20 years or so as the measurement matrix has gotten more dense and the ability to vary the wavelength detection has improved.

Thus the 'six standard deviations' is basically a wild guess.

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-09-03 08:32|| 2024-09-03 08:32|| Front Page Top

#3 Can it be validated by cactus rings?

Posted by Super Hose 2024-09-03 12:45|| 2024-09-03 12:45|| Front Page Top

#4 ^
using biomarkers to estimate annual rainfall is tricky but if you had a big enough sample it would be doable

but it would be impossible to use biomarkers to estimate episodal rainfall

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-09-03 13:31|| 2024-09-03 13:31|| Front Page Top

#5 Ah'm gonna file this winsome curiosity in the 'shit that doesn't matter' [STDM] folder.

Posted by Skidmark 2024-09-03 13:50|| 2024-09-03 13:50|| Front Page Top

#6 The underwater volcano eruption in Tonga blew 150 million tons of water into the atmosphere. Seems like the likely cause of this and many other recent climate variations. This too shall pass.

Posted by Remoteman 2024-09-03 17:37|| 2024-09-03 17:37|| Front Page Top

#7 Not caused by climate change?

How sad.

Posted by Bobby 2024-09-03 18:38|| 2024-09-03 18:38|| Front Page Top

#8 Hunga tonga, more volcanoes due to grand solar minimum

12000 year cycle rolling round the sahara used to be green and it will again be green

Adapt2030 youtube talks a lot about this

Posted by Anon1 2024-09-03 22:14|| 2024-09-03 22:14|| Front Page Top

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